Samsunspor vs. Fenerbahçe SK - More Markets

$67.2K Vol
Aug 30, 2026
Resolved
Probability Trend
Under 100.0%
Over 0.1%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Samsunspor vs. Fenerbahçe SK - More Markets”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Both Teams to Score is dominating the market with an overwhelming 54.5% chance of winning. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $67.2K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Both Teams to Score (54.5%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Both Teams to Score is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 55¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $3.5K in volume.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Both Teams to Score54.5%$3.5K55¢45¢

Result Rules

More markets for the Süper Lig game, scheduled for August 30 at 2:30 PM ET.

AI Valuation Analysis: Finding Market Mispricings & EV Gaps

While human consensus and speculative volume shape the broader prediction market, our quantitative algorithms offer a data-driven counter-perspective. By analyzing fundamental signals, underlying trends and historical distributions, our AI Valuation model calculates an independent “Fair Value” probability for each outcome.

Comparing this Fair Value against the current Trade Value uncovers major disparities — known as the Expected Value (EV) Gap. Contracts with a positive EV Gap represent statistically underpriced outcomes, whereas a negative EV Gap flags a potential market overreaction.

Top AI Alpha & Mispriced Arbitrage Opportunities

Based on the latest data model run, several key contracts stand out with significant deviations:

  • The Best Value Play (Highest EV) Our model identifies Both Teams to Score as the premium value opportunity on the board. While the market only assigns it a 54.5% trading probability, our AI’s Fair Value assessment sits at 58.1% — yielding an impressive +3.6% EV Gap.
MarketTrade ValueFair ValueEV Gap
Both Teams to ScoreBest EV54.5%58.1%+3.6%

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Aug 30, 2026

  • 08:19 PM
    0X0xbfD770B7ff0
    $35.36

    Bought 235.733332 Over for Samsunspor vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 2.5 at 0.15

  • 08:19 PM
    HIhighercreed
    $2.02

    Bought 13.46 Over for Samsunspor vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 2.5 at 0.15

  • 08:19 PM
    UPUpTheBlues
    $4.30

    Bought 5 Under for Samsunspor vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 2.5 at 0.86

  • 08:19 PM
    FLFlaznorp
    $83.32

    Bought 98.023526 Under for Samsunspor vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 2.5 at 0.85

  • 08:19 PM
    FLFlaznorp
    $1,341.29

    Bought 1616.01 Under for Samsunspor vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 2.5 at 0.83

  • 08:18 PM
    PLPleaseNoCopy
    $49.50

    Bought 61.875 Under for Samsunspor vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 2.5 at 0.8

  • 08:17 PM
    0X0x31D4d4F3d4E6Ac5327e9B070b8aa9Fee7D6E5C13-1761658833084
    $10.00

    Bought 62.5 Fenerbahçe SK for Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-2.5) at 0.16

  • 08:17 PM
    BObombaclaat
    $60.00

    Bought 75 Under for Samsunspor vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 2.5 at 0.8

  • 08:16 PM
    CEcezavar
    $8.75

    Sold 9.83 Fenerbahçe SK for Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-1.5) at 0.89

  • 08:16 PM
    FLFlaznorp
    $29.17

    Bought 37.883113 Under for Samsunspor vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 2.5 at 0.77

  • 08:15 PM
    FLFlaznorp
    $12.44

    Bought 14.987947 Samsunspor for Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-2.5) at 0.83

  • 08:14 PM
    UMumannnnn
    $100.36

    Bought 141.3569 Under for Samsunspor vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 2.5 at 0.71

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

BI1
biruleybe
Event PnL
-$147.11
Volume
$14,738.74
Positions
Over
KI2
Kidfp
Event PnL
+$137.80
Volume
$14,503.89
Positions
Under
UP3
UpTheBlues
Event PnL
+$2,996.58
Volume
$12,625.94
Positions
UnderUnderOver+10
FL4
Flaznorp
Event PnL
+$2,553.68
Volume
$10,435.40
Positions
UnderOverSamsunspor+7
GO5
GoalLineGhost
Event PnL
-$2,155.84
Volume
$7,744.71
Positions
Fenerbahçe SKFenerbahçe SKOver+4
PA6
patandart
Event PnL
-$1,113.88
Volume
$3,836.29
Positions
OverYesOver
RN7
RN1
Event PnL
-$228.38
Volume
$3,410.81
Positions
UnderOverOver+5
SN8
SnakeBall
Event PnL
+$177.95
Volume
$3,134.01
Positions
UnderUnderOver+13

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Samsunspor vs. Fenerbahçe SK - More Markets"?

As of the latest update, Both Teams to Score leads the field as the frontrunner with a 54.5% win probability. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $67.2K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

How does the AI Fair Value differ from the live Market Trade Value?

The live Market Trade Value reflects public sentiment, order-book momentum and speculative capital. Our AI Fair Value is computed independently with quantitative models that strip out hype to focus on underlying data. When the two diverge, it creates an EV Gap, flagging where the market may be mispricing an outcome.

Which outcome represents the highest Expected Value (EV) right now?

Our latest run flags Both Teams to Score as the most significant mispricing. While the market trades it at a 54.5% implied probability, our AI calculates a Fair Value of 58.1% — an Expected Value gap of +3.6%, making it the premium value play in this pool.

Get Started