Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?

$81.8K Vol
Dec 31, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
No 91.5%
Yes 8.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, No is dominating the market with an overwhelming 91.5% chance of winning. Yes follows in second place at 8.5%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $81.8K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • No (91.5%): Currently commanding the highest probability, No is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 92¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Yes (8.5%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Yes maintains a 8.5% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9¢.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1No91.5%92¢
2Yes8.5%92¢

Result Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump, Vladimir Putin, and Volodymyr Zelensky are photographed or videotaped together, in the same frame, between this market's creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic, not the result of artificial intelligence or video editing.

The resolution source for this market will be the images or video of Donald Trump, Vladimir Putin, and Volodymyr Zelensky together.

AI Valuation Analysis: Finding Market Mispricings & EV Gaps

While human consensus and speculative volume shape the broader prediction market, our quantitative algorithms offer a data-driven counter-perspective. By analyzing fundamental signals, underlying trends and historical distributions, our AI Valuation model calculates an independent “Fair Value” probability for each outcome.

Comparing this Fair Value against the current Trade Value uncovers major disparities — known as the Expected Value (EV) Gap. Contracts with a positive EV Gap represent statistically underpriced outcomes, whereas a negative EV Gap flags a potential market overreaction.

Top AI Alpha & Mispriced Arbitrage Opportunities

Based on the latest data model run, several key contracts stand out with significant deviations:

  • The Most Overvalued Outcome No currently trades at 91.5%, but our AI places its Fair Value at just 83.6%. This creates a large negative EV Gap of -7.9%, suggesting the crowd may be overhyping this outcome and driving the premium too high.
  • The Best Value Play (Highest EV) Our model identifies Yes as the premium value opportunity on the board. While the market only assigns it a 8.5% trading probability, our AI’s Fair Value assessment sits at 16.4% — yielding an impressive +7.9% EV Gap.
MarketTrade ValueFair ValueEV Gap
No91.5%83.6%-7.9%
YesBest EV8.5%16.4%+7.9%

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Jun 28, 2026

  • 02:06 PM
    LOlottonakamoto
    $13.65

    Bought 15 No for Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027? at 0.91

  • 03:44 AM
    LOlottonakamoto
    $13.65

    Bought 15 No for Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027? at 0.91

Jun 26, 2026

  • 02:03 PM
    WIwildboar08
    $2.56

    Sold 2.88 No for Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027? at 0.89

  • 09:53 AM
    $3.50

    Bought 35 Yes for Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027? at 0.1

Jun 24, 2026

  • 03:11 AM
    EMEmberLiON
    $0.08

    Sold 1 Yes for Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027? at 0.08

Jun 23, 2026

  • 10:47 PM
    EMEmberLiON
    $0.10

    Bought 1 Yes for Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027? at 0.1

  • 10:00 AM
    LOlottonakamoto
    $8.10

    Sold 9 No for Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027? at 0.9

Jun 22, 2026

  • 10:15 AM
    0X0xf5A6509097dE9B020Af6b76288AEb23447F8fFA5-1761641345080
    $1.65

    Bought 15 Yes for Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027? at 0.11

  • 10:07 AM
    PEPetherick
    $307.58

    Sold 338 No for Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027? at 0.91

  • 10:07 AM
    PEPershore
    $313.94

    Sold 344.99 No for Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027? at 0.91

  • 10:06 AM
    PEPerivale
    $284.82

    Sold 312.99 No for Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027? at 0.91

  • 10:06 AM
    PEPepyst
    $336.70

    Sold 370 No for Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027? at 0.91

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

SE1
sentropy
Event PnL
+$131.40
Volume
$1,236.51
Positions
No
LO2
lottonakamoto
Event PnL
+$36.03
Volume
$1,220.21
Positions
No
M83
M888
Event PnL
-$83.18
Volume
$1,174.69
Positions
Yes
314
0x3115…8283
Event PnL
+$74.35
Volume
$1,174.15
Positions
No
EA5
Eatpraylove
Event PnL
-$45.65
Volume
$436.14
Positions
Yes
SC6
ScottyNooo
Event PnL
-$64.12
Volume
$357.47
Positions
Yes
CA7
captainahab
Event PnL
-$44.27
Volume
$314.99
Positions
Yes
FR8
Friday
Event PnL
+$1.61
Volume
$310.95
Positions
Yes

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?"?

As of the latest update, No leads the field as the frontrunner with a 91.5% win probability, followed by Yes at 8.5%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $81.8K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

How does the AI Fair Value differ from the live Market Trade Value?

The live Market Trade Value reflects public sentiment, order-book momentum and speculative capital. Our AI Fair Value is computed independently with quantitative models that strip out hype to focus on underlying data. When the two diverge, it creates an EV Gap, flagging where the market may be mispricing an outcome.

Which outcome represents the highest Expected Value (EV) right now?

Our latest run flags Yes as the most significant mispricing. While the market trades it at a 8.5% implied probability, our AI calculates a Fair Value of 16.4% — an Expected Value gap of +7.9%, making it the premium value play in this pool.

Is the market consensus overreacting to any specific outcome?

Yes — our data suggests a notable overreaction around No. The crowd has pushed its live Trade Value up to 91.5%, yet our Fair Value assessment puts its real likelihood at just 83.6%, a negative EV Gap of -7.9% that signals the contract is overpriced.

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