IK Sirius vs. IF Brommapojkarna - More Markets

$56.1K Vol
Aug 10, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
IF Brommapojkarna 50.5%
IK Sirius 49.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “IK Sirius vs. IF Brommapojkarna - More Markets”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Both Teams to Score is dominating the market with an overwhelming 58.5% chance of winning. Both Teams to Score in First Half follows in second place at 24%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $56.1K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Both Teams to Score (58.5%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Both Teams to Score is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 59¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $976 in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Both Teams to Score in First Half (24%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Both Teams to Score in First Half maintains a 24% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 24¢.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Both Teams to Score58.5%$97659¢42¢
2Both Teams to Score in First Half24.0%$5024¢76¢

Result Rules

More markets for the Allsvenskan game, scheduled for August 10 at 1:00 PM ET.

AI Valuation Analysis: Finding Market Mispricings & EV Gaps

While human consensus and speculative volume shape the broader prediction market, our quantitative algorithms offer a data-driven counter-perspective. By analyzing fundamental signals, underlying trends and historical distributions, our AI Valuation model calculates an independent “Fair Value” probability for each outcome.

Comparing this Fair Value against the current Trade Value uncovers major disparities — known as the Expected Value (EV) Gap. Contracts with a positive EV Gap represent statistically underpriced outcomes, whereas a negative EV Gap flags a potential market overreaction.

Top AI Alpha & Mispriced Arbitrage Opportunities

Based on the latest data model run, several key contracts stand out with significant deviations:

  • The Most Overvalued Outcome Both Teams to Score in First Half currently trades at 24%, but our AI places its Fair Value at just 14.6%. This creates a large negative EV Gap of -9.4%, suggesting the crowd may be overhyping this outcome and driving the premium too high.
MarketTrade ValueFair ValueEV Gap
Both Teams to Score58.5%57.7%-0.8%
Both Teams to Score in First Half24.0%14.6%-9.4%

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Aug 10, 2026

  • 08:15 AM
    0X0x68F8B68c51a6659578cBBd3E34655A55098612C8-1781881177152
    $18.00

    Bought 34.615383 IK Sirius for Spread: IK Sirius (-1.5) at 0.52

  • 08:12 AM
    DRDriftCapital
    $2.55

    Bought 5 Under for IK Sirius vs. IF Brommapojkarna: O/U 3.5 at 0.51

  • 08:12 AM
    DEdentleightadman
    $1.00

    Bought 1.960783 Under for IK Sirius vs. IF Brommapojkarna: O/U 3.5 at 0.51

  • 08:12 AM
    SHShori888
    $52.80

    Bought 110 IF Brommapojkarna for Spread: IK Sirius (-1.5) at 0.48

  • 08:12 AM
    DRDriftCapital
    $2.55

    Bought 5 Under for IK Sirius vs. IF Brommapojkarna: O/U 3.5 at 0.51

  • 08:12 AM
    DEdentleightadman
    $1.00

    Bought 1.960783 Under for IK Sirius vs. IF Brommapojkarna: O/U 3.5 at 0.51

  • 08:12 AM
    XIxiaolubambi
    $1.01

    Bought 1.04 IK Sirius for Spread: IF Brommapojkarna (-1.5) at 0.97

  • 08:10 AM
    SNSnakeBall
    $0.92

    Bought 2.87 IK Sirius for Spread: IK Sirius (-2.5) at 0.32

  • 08:10 AM
    HFhfxtdgd1
    $35.69

    Bought 68.64 IK Sirius for Spread: IK Sirius (-1.5) at 0.52

  • 08:09 AM
    HFhfxtdgd1
    $4,433.52

    Bought 8526 IK Sirius for Spread: IK Sirius (-1.5) at 0.52

  • 08:07 AM
    BAbarr1
    $8.00

    Bought 27.586205 Under for IK Sirius vs. IF Brommapojkarna: O/U 2.5 at 0.29

  • 08:07 AM
    DRDriftCapital
    $2.72

    Bought 5.24 IK Sirius for Spread: IK Sirius (-1.5) at 0.52

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

SH1
Shori888
Event PnL
+$105.59
Volume
$30,845.50
Positions
IF Brommapojkarna
HF2
hfxtdgd1
Event PnL
-$89.73
Volume
$23,638.15
Positions
IK Sirius
KI3
king1605
Event PnL
-$29.95
Volume
$4,021.76
Positions
IF Brommapojkarna
QU4
quavoo
Event PnL
+$1.43
Volume
$2,284.00
Positions
OverYesIK Sirius
MR5
mr-sarkozy
Event PnL
+$7.47
Volume
$2,198.95
Positions
IK SiriusOverUnder+4
SW6
swisstony
Event PnL
+$13.94
Volume
$2,116.20
Positions
UnderIK SiriusUnder+14
GO7
goodman5
Event PnL
-$28.84
Volume
$1,923.08
Positions
IK Sirius
VV8
vvd36
Event PnL
-$28.84
Volume
$1,923.08
Positions
IK Sirius

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "IK Sirius vs. IF Brommapojkarna - More Markets"?

As of the latest update, Both Teams to Score leads the field as the frontrunner with a 58.5% win probability, followed by Both Teams to Score in First Half at 24%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $56.1K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

How does the AI Fair Value differ from the live Market Trade Value?

The live Market Trade Value reflects public sentiment, order-book momentum and speculative capital. Our AI Fair Value is computed independently with quantitative models that strip out hype to focus on underlying data. When the two diverge, it creates an EV Gap, flagging where the market may be mispricing an outcome.

Is the market consensus overreacting to any specific outcome?

Yes — our data suggests a notable overreaction around Both Teams to Score in First Half. The crowd has pushed its live Trade Value up to 24%, yet our Fair Value assessment puts its real likelihood at just 14.6%, a negative EV Gap of -9.4% that signals the contract is overpriced.

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