Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club - More Markets

$135.6K Vol
Aug 21, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Under 54.5%
Over 45.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club - More Markets”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Both Teams to Score is dominating the market with an overwhelming 55.5% chance of winning. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $135.6K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Both Teams to Score (55.5%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Both Teams to Score is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 56¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $6.1K in volume.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Both Teams to Score55.5%$6.1K56¢44¢

Result Rules

More markets for the Saudi Professional League game, scheduled for August 21 at 12:00 PM ET.

AI Valuation Analysis: Finding Market Mispricings & EV Gaps

While human consensus and speculative volume shape the broader prediction market, our quantitative algorithms offer a data-driven counter-perspective. By analyzing fundamental signals, underlying trends and historical distributions, our AI Valuation model calculates an independent “Fair Value” probability for each outcome.

Comparing this Fair Value against the current Trade Value uncovers major disparities — known as the Expected Value (EV) Gap. Contracts with a positive EV Gap represent statistically underpriced outcomes, whereas a negative EV Gap flags a potential market overreaction.

Top AI Alpha & Mispriced Arbitrage Opportunities

Based on the latest data model run, several key contracts stand out with significant deviations:

  • The Most Overvalued Outcome Both Teams to Score currently trades at 55.5%, but our AI places its Fair Value at just 55%. This creates a large negative EV Gap of -0.5%, suggesting the crowd may be overhyping this outcome and driving the premium too high.
MarketTrade ValueFair ValueEV Gap
Both Teams to Score55.5%55.0%-0.5%

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Aug 21, 2026

  • 07:25 AM
    Z2Z2017214
    $100.00

    Bought 185.185184 Under for Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 3.5 at 0.54

  • 07:25 AM
    Z2Z2017214
    $100.00

    Bought 185.185184 Under for Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 3.5 at 0.54

  • 07:25 AM
    Z2Z2017214
    $100.00

    Bought 185.185184 Under for Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 3.5 at 0.54

  • 07:23 AM
    Z2Z2017214
    $99.41

    Bought 187.574073 Under for Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 3.5 at 0.53

  • 07:17 AM
    0X0x34a6Ae12EBBEc3b958dC7DD22226DB06CC2fe544-1771231725005
    $100.43

    Bought 104.614575 Over for Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: Al Nassr Saudi Club O/U 0.5 at 0.96

  • 06:57 AM
    DEdentleightadman
    $1.00

    Bought 1.369862 Under for Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 4.5 at 0.73

  • 06:54 AM
    SUsuntori
    $5.71

    Bought 11.895832 Over for Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 3.5 at 0.48

  • 06:54 AM
    SUsuntori
    $285.71

    Bought 595.229165 Over for Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 3.5 at 0.48

  • 06:53 AM
    $1.66

    Bought 1.886358 Over for Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 1.5 at 0.88

  • 06:53 AM
    $3.86

    Bought 4.386358 Over for Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 1.5 at 0.88

  • 06:47 AM
    MIMikiMuster
    $3.65

    Bought 5 Under for Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 4.5 at 0.73

  • 06:47 AM
    DEdentleightadman
    $1.00

    Bought 1.369862 Under for Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 4.5 at 0.73

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

VE1
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
-$1,142.04
Volume
$16,987.13
Positions
UnderUnderAl Riyadh Saudi Club+5
RN2
RN1
Event PnL
+$738.72
Volume
$15,796.20
Positions
OverOverOver+4
CR3
crisp1973
Event PnL
+$3,770.94
Volume
$11,971.20
Positions
Al Nassr Saudi Club
GO4
GoalLineGhost
Event PnL
+$1,468.80
Volume
$11,715.67
Positions
Al Nassr Saudi ClubUnderUnder+6
FE5
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
+$463.44
Volume
$11,440.20
Positions
OverOverOver+6
9E6
0x9e3e…9396
Event PnL
-$1,598.26
Volume
$11,402.82
Positions
UnderAl Nassr Saudi ClubYes+8
SY7
Syrianbutterfly
Event PnL
+$298.76
Volume
$10,966.23
Positions
Under
UP8
UpTheBlues
Event PnL
-$170.68
Volume
$8,848.29
Positions
OverOverAl Riyadh Saudi Club+12

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club - More Markets"?

As of the latest update, Both Teams to Score leads the field as the frontrunner with a 55.5% win probability. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $135.6K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

How does the AI Fair Value differ from the live Market Trade Value?

The live Market Trade Value reflects public sentiment, order-book momentum and speculative capital. Our AI Fair Value is computed independently with quantitative models that strip out hype to focus on underlying data. When the two diverge, it creates an EV Gap, flagging where the market may be mispricing an outcome.

Is the market consensus overreacting to any specific outcome?

Yes — our data suggests a notable overreaction around Both Teams to Score. The crowd has pushed its live Trade Value up to 55.5%, yet our Fair Value assessment puts its real likelihood at just 55%, a negative EV Gap of -0.5% that signals the contract is overpriced.

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