Cagliari Calcio vs. FC Internazionale Milano - More Markets

$169.1K Vol
Aug 30, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Cagliari Calcio 56.5%
FC Internazionale Milano 43.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Cagliari Calcio vs. FC Internazionale Milano - More Markets”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Both Teams to Score is dominating the market with an overwhelming 44% chance of winning. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $169.1K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Both Teams to Score (44%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Both Teams to Score is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 44¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $1.4K in volume.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Both Teams to Score44.0%$1.4K44¢56¢

Result Rules

More markets for the Serie A game, scheduled for August 30 at 2:45 PM ET.

AI Valuation Analysis: Finding Market Mispricings & EV Gaps

While human consensus and speculative volume shape the broader prediction market, our quantitative algorithms offer a data-driven counter-perspective. By analyzing fundamental signals, underlying trends and historical distributions, our AI Valuation model calculates an independent “Fair Value” probability for each outcome.

Comparing this Fair Value against the current Trade Value uncovers major disparities — known as the Expected Value (EV) Gap. Contracts with a positive EV Gap represent statistically underpriced outcomes, whereas a negative EV Gap flags a potential market overreaction.

Top AI Alpha & Mispriced Arbitrage Opportunities

Based on the latest data model run, several key contracts stand out with significant deviations:

  • The Most Overvalued Outcome Both Teams to Score currently trades at 44%, but our AI places its Fair Value at just 43.6%. This creates a large negative EV Gap of -0.4%, suggesting the crowd may be overhyping this outcome and driving the premium too high.
MarketTrade ValueFair ValueEV Gap
Both Teams to Score44.0%43.6%-0.4%

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Aug 30, 2026

  • 08:16 AM
    FLFlaznorp
    $99.59

    Bought 184.425923 Over for Cagliari Calcio vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5 at 0.54

  • 08:13 AM
    0X0x5676058c27c0b54Bd265Bc212AaBEcEB10983139-1769371058596
    $10.00

    Bought 17.543858 Cagliari Calcio for Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5) at 0.57

  • 08:11 AM
    WAWalrusPunch
    $5.72

    Bought 17.875 Over for Cagliari Calcio vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 3.5 at 0.32

  • 08:11 AM
    FLFlaznorp
    $1,489.92

    Bought 4806.193547 Over for Cagliari Calcio vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 3.5 at 0.31

  • 08:10 AM
    TRtradingfleet
    $46.00

    Bought 104.545453 FC Internazionale Milano for Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5) at 0.44

  • 08:08 AM
    MTmtm1m
    $3.00

    Bought 6.81818 FC Internazionale Milano for Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5) at 0.44

  • 08:07 AM
    SASaber-greed
    $1,000.00

    Bought 1754.38 Cagliari Calcio for Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5) at 0.57

  • 08:05 AM
    WAWangYan-WY
    $2.20

    Bought 5 FC Internazionale Milano for Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5) at 0.44

  • 08:05 AM
    MAMaoyidong
    $30.00

    Bought 52.631576 Cagliari Calcio for Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5) at 0.57

  • 08:05 AM
    WAWangYan-WY
    $2.20

    Bought 5 FC Internazionale Milano for Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5) at 0.44

  • 08:05 AM
    RORobertLee443
    $2.85

    Bought 5 Cagliari Calcio for Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5) at 0.57

  • 08:05 AM
    $10.00

    Bought 17.543858 Cagliari Calcio for Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5) at 0.57

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

PR1
predictionlegend
Event PnL
-$519.28
Volume
$149,999.98
Positions
FC Internazionale Milano
FL2
Flaznorp
Event PnL
+$36.91
Volume
$41,828.89
Positions
Cagliari CalcioOverYes+8
UP3
UpTheBlues
Event PnL
+$174.86
Volume
$34,542.84
Positions
Cagliari CalcioYesOver+2
WR4
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r
Event PnL
+$96.97
Volume
$19,886.50
Positions
Cagliari Calcio
CA5
Cannae
Event PnL
+$10.21
Volume
$11,263.26
Positions
Cagliari CalcioOver
9F6
0x9f15…bdb3
Event PnL
+$41.43
Volume
$8,285.62
Positions
Cagliari Calcio
LU7
LuckyLoo
Event PnL
-$29.78
Volume
$5,955.00
Positions
Cagliari Calcio
HI8
hi774c
Event PnL
+$25.80
Volume
$5,160.85
Positions
Cagliari Calcio

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Cagliari Calcio vs. FC Internazionale Milano - More Markets"?

As of the latest update, Both Teams to Score leads the field as the frontrunner with a 44% win probability. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $169.1K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

How does the AI Fair Value differ from the live Market Trade Value?

The live Market Trade Value reflects public sentiment, order-book momentum and speculative capital. Our AI Fair Value is computed independently with quantitative models that strip out hype to focus on underlying data. When the two diverge, it creates an EV Gap, flagging where the market may be mispricing an outcome.

Is the market consensus overreacting to any specific outcome?

Yes — our data suggests a notable overreaction around Both Teams to Score. The crowd has pushed its live Trade Value up to 44%, yet our Fair Value assessment puts its real likelihood at just 43.6%, a negative EV Gap of -0.4% that signals the contract is overpriced.

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