FK Zenit vs. FK Rodina Moskva - More Markets

$58.2K Vol
Aug 9, 2026
Resolved
Probability Trend
FK Rodina Moskva 100.0%
FK Zenit 0.1%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “FK Zenit vs. FK Rodina Moskva - More Markets”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Both Teams to Score is dominating the market with an overwhelming 41% chance of winning. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $58.2K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Both Teams to Score (41%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Both Teams to Score is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 41¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $3.6K in volume.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Both Teams to Score41.0%$3.6K41¢59¢

Result Rules

More markets for the Russian Premier League game, scheduled for August 9 at 10:00 AM ET.

AI Valuation Analysis: Finding Market Mispricings & EV Gaps

While human consensus and speculative volume shape the broader prediction market, our quantitative algorithms offer a data-driven counter-perspective. By analyzing fundamental signals, underlying trends and historical distributions, our AI Valuation model calculates an independent “Fair Value” probability for each outcome.

Comparing this Fair Value against the current Trade Value uncovers major disparities — known as the Expected Value (EV) Gap. Contracts with a positive EV Gap represent statistically underpriced outcomes, whereas a negative EV Gap flags a potential market overreaction.

Top AI Alpha & Mispriced Arbitrage Opportunities

Based on the latest data model run, several key contracts stand out with significant deviations:

  • The Most Overvalued Outcome Both Teams to Score currently trades at 41%, but our AI places its Fair Value at just 40.5%. This creates a large negative EV Gap of -0.5%, suggesting the crowd may be overhyping this outcome and driving the premium too high.
MarketTrade ValueFair ValueEV Gap
Both Teams to Score41.0%40.5%-0.5%

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Aug 9, 2026

  • 06:53 AM
    UPUpTheBlues
    $2.20

    Bought 5.116278 Over for FK Zenit vs. FK Rodina Moskva: FK Rodina Moskva O/U 0.5 at 0.43

  • 06:53 AM
    UPUpTheBlues
    $4.34

    Bought 9.860908 Over for FK Zenit vs. FK Rodina Moskva: FK Rodina Moskva O/U 0.5 at 0.44

  • 06:53 AM
    0X0x83D9a38fbF2265d1A0
    $0.00

    Bought 0.01 Over for FK Zenit vs. FK Rodina Moskva: FK Rodina Moskva O/U 0.5 at 0.44

  • 06:46 AM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $27.14

    Bought 47.61 Under for FK Zenit vs. FK Rodina Moskva: O/U 3.5 at 0.57

  • 06:42 AM
    0X0x4A617Af8d7253420310446903eE2038080733C05-1782849121354
    $1.00

    Bought 1.754383 Under for FK Zenit vs. FK Rodina Moskva: O/U 3.5 at 0.57

  • 06:39 AM
    SRsreca
    $2.15

    Bought 5 Over for FK Zenit vs. FK Rodina Moskva: FK Rodina Moskva O/U 0.5 at 0.43

  • 06:33 AM
    RARaccoon770
    $190.92

    Bought 222 Over for FK Zenit vs. FK Rodina Moskva: O/U 1.5 at 0.86

  • 06:31 AM
    SWswisstony
    $14.00

    Bought 100 Under for FK Zenit vs. FK Rodina Moskva: O/U 1.5 at 0.14

  • 05:46 AM
    SAsappireflames000
    $4.00

    Bought 6.666665 FK Rodina Moskva for Spread: FK Zenit (-2.5) at 0.6

  • 05:27 AM
    SWswisstony
    $2.75

    Bought 5 Under for FK Zenit vs. FK Rodina Moskva: O/U 3.5 at 0.55

  • 05:27 AM
    SSssmmttb
    $1.07

    Bought 1.910713 Under for FK Zenit vs. FK Rodina Moskva: O/U 3.5 at 0.56

  • 05:27 AM
    SSssmmttb
    $1.07

    Bought 2.326085 Over for FK Zenit vs. FK Rodina Moskva: O/U 3.5 at 0.46

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

SW1
swisstony
Event PnL
+$722.54
Volume
$16,737.59
Positions
FK Rodina MoskvaFK Rodina MoskvaFK Zenit+15
JU2
justbusiness1
Event PnL
-$135.89
Volume
$14,935.74
Positions
FK Zenit
SN3
SnakeBall
Event PnL
+$1,463.33
Volume
$9,313.73
Positions
UnderUnderOver+16
UP4
UpTheBlues
Event PnL
+$72.21
Volume
$7,418.41
Positions
FK Rodina MoskvaOverYes+9
PO5
PoPahote
Event PnL
+$44.98
Volume
$6,223.04
Positions
FK Zenit
996
0x99F0…6382
Event PnL
-$3.88
Volume
$4,767.23
Positions
FK Rodina MoskvaFK Rodina MoskvaUnder
DB7
0xdbdd…1846
Event PnL
-$2,097.12
Volume
$3,120.22
Positions
NoUnderFK Zenit
MR8
mr-sarkozy
Event PnL
+$48.87
Volume
$2,811.78
Positions
FK Rodina MoskvaUnderUnder+6

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "FK Zenit vs. FK Rodina Moskva - More Markets"?

As of the latest update, Both Teams to Score leads the field as the frontrunner with a 41% win probability. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $58.2K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

How does the AI Fair Value differ from the live Market Trade Value?

The live Market Trade Value reflects public sentiment, order-book momentum and speculative capital. Our AI Fair Value is computed independently with quantitative models that strip out hype to focus on underlying data. When the two diverge, it creates an EV Gap, flagging where the market may be mispricing an outcome.

Is the market consensus overreacting to any specific outcome?

Yes — our data suggests a notable overreaction around Both Teams to Score. The crowd has pushed its live Trade Value up to 41%, yet our Fair Value assessment puts its real likelihood at just 40.5%, a negative EV Gap of -0.5% that signals the contract is overpriced.

Get Started