# of views of next MrBeast video on day 1?

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “# of views of next MrBeast video on day 1?”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, 20–25M is dominating the market with an overwhelming 4,400% chance of winning. 25–30M follows in second place at 4,400%, while 30–35M sits in third with 4,250%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached —, reflecting intense industry interest.

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

• 20–25M (4,400%): Currently commanding the highest probability, 20–25M is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 4,400¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

• 25–30M (4,400%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, 25–30M maintains a 4,400% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 4,400¢.
• 30–35M (4,250%): Sitting in third place with a 4,250% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward 30–35M, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

• Alternative Options: This includes 35–40M (4,250%), 45–50M (2,650%), and 40–45M (2,550%).
• Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like 50M+ are still attracting notable interest.

This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.

If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.

Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.