# of views of MrBeast video week 1?

Jul 13, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
80-90M 43.5%
50-60M 43.0%
70-80M 43.0%
40-50M 42.0%
60-70M 42.0%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “# of views of MrBeast video week 1?”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, 60-70M is dominating the market with an overwhelming 4,400% chance of winning. 40-50M follows in second place at 4,350%, while 50-60M sits in third with 4,350%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached —, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • 60-70M (4,400%): Currently commanding the highest probability, 60-70M is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 4,400¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • 40-50M (4,350%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, 40-50M maintains a 4,350% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 4,350¢.
  • 50-60M (4,350%): Sitting in third place with a 4,350% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward 50-60M, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes 70-80M (4,350%), 80-90M (4,300%), and 90M+ (4,150%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like <40M are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
160-70M4400.0%4400¢-4300¢
240-50M4350.0%4350¢-4250¢
350-60M4350.0%4350¢-4250¢
470-80M4350.0%4350¢-4250¢
580-90M4300.0%4300¢-4200¢
690M+4150.0%4150¢-4050¢
7<40M1450.0%1450¢-1350¢

Result Rules

This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast after this market's creation gets in the first 7 days after being posted.

If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.

Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "# of views of MrBeast video week 1?"?

As of the latest update, 60-70M leads the field as the frontrunner with a 4,400% win probability, followed by 40-50M at 4,350% and 50-60M at 4,350%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached —, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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