
NBA Free Agency: DeMar DeRozan Next Team
Core Summary
According to the latest prediction market data for the query “NBA Free Agency: DeMar DeRozan Next Team”, traders have formed a strong consensus.
Currently, Toronto Raptors is dominating the market with an overwhelming 5,500% chance of winning. Atlanta Hawks follows in second place at 4,950%, while Boston Celtics sits in third with 4,950%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached —, reflecting intense industry interest.
Breakdown of Competitive Tiers
To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:
🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader
- Toronto Raptors (5,500%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Toronto Raptors is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 5,500¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.
🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers
- Atlanta Hawks (4,950%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Atlanta Hawks maintains a 4,950% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 4,950¢.
- Boston Celtics (4,950%): Sitting in third place with a 4,950% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Boston Celtics, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.
🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)
Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:
- Alternative Options: This includes Chicago Bulls (4,950%), Cleveland Cavaliers (4,950%), and Dallas Mavericks (4,950%).
- Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Denver Nuggets are still attracting notable interest.
Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard
The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:
| Rank | Predicted Outcome | Win Probability | Trading Volume | Buy Yes (Cost) | Buy No (Cost) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Toronto Raptors | 5500.0% | — | 5500¢ | -5400¢ |
| 2 | Atlanta Hawks | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 3 | Boston Celtics | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 4 | Chicago Bulls | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 5 | Cleveland Cavaliers | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 6 | Dallas Mavericks | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 7 | Denver Nuggets | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 8 | Detroit Pistons | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 9 | Houston Rockets | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 10 | LA Clippers | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 11 | Los Angeles Lakers | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 12 | Memphis Grizzlies | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 13 | Minnesota Timberwolves | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 14 | New Orleans Pelicans | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 15 | New York Knicks | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 16 | Orlando Magic | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 17 | Philadelphia 76ers | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 18 | Portland Trail Blazers | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 19 | Sacramento Kings | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 20 | San Antonio Spurs | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 21 | Washington Wizards | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 22 | Team A | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 23 | Team B | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 24 | Other | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 25 | Miami Heat | 4050.0% | — | 4050¢ | -3950¢ |
| 26 | Golden State Warriors | 2250.0% | — | 2250¢ | -2150¢ |
| 27 | Brooklyn Nets | 1750.0% | — | 1750¢ | -1650¢ |
| 28 | Charlotte Hornets | 1750.0% | — | 1750¢ | -1650¢ |
| 29 | Indiana Pacers | 1750.0% | — | 1750¢ | -1650¢ |
| 30 | Milwaukee Bucks | 1750.0% | — | 1750¢ | -1650¢ |
| 31 | Oklahoma City Thunder | 1750.0% | — | 1750¢ | -1650¢ |
| 32 | Phoenix Suns | 1750.0% | — | 1750¢ | -1650¢ |
| 33 | Utah Jazz | 1750.0% | — | 1750¢ | -1650¢ |
Result Rules
This market will resolve to the next team DeMar DeRozan officially joins by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If DeMar DeRozan does not officially join a new team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If DeMar DeRozan joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other".
If DeMar DeRozan is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
An official signing announcement prior to the market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the NBA and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current market consensus on "NBA Free Agency: DeMar DeRozan Next Team"?
As of the latest update, Toronto Raptors leads the field as the frontrunner with a 5,500% win probability, followed by Atlanta Hawks at 4,950% and Boston Celtics at 4,950%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached —, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.
