NBA Free Agency: DeMar DeRozan Next Team

Nov 1, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Toronto Raptors 55.0%
Atlanta Hawks 49.5%
Boston Celtics 49.5%
Chicago Bulls 49.5%
Cleveland Cavaliers 49.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “NBA Free Agency: DeMar DeRozan Next Team”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Toronto Raptors is dominating the market with an overwhelming 5,500% chance of winning. Atlanta Hawks follows in second place at 4,950%, while Boston Celtics sits in third with 4,950%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached —, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Toronto Raptors (5,500%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Toronto Raptors is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 5,500¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Atlanta Hawks (4,950%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Atlanta Hawks maintains a 4,950% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 4,950¢.
  • Boston Celtics (4,950%): Sitting in third place with a 4,950% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Boston Celtics, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Chicago Bulls (4,950%), Cleveland Cavaliers (4,950%), and Dallas Mavericks (4,950%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Denver Nuggets are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Toronto Raptors5500.0%5500¢-5400¢
2Atlanta Hawks4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
3Boston Celtics4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
4Chicago Bulls4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
5Cleveland Cavaliers4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
6Dallas Mavericks4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
7Denver Nuggets4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
8Detroit Pistons4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
9Houston Rockets4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
10LA Clippers4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
11Los Angeles Lakers4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
12Memphis Grizzlies4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
13Minnesota Timberwolves4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
14New Orleans Pelicans4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
15New York Knicks4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
16Orlando Magic4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
17Philadelphia 76ers4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
18Portland Trail Blazers4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
19Sacramento Kings4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
20San Antonio Spurs4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
21Washington Wizards4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
22Team A4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
23Team B4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
24Other4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
25Miami Heat4050.0%4050¢-3950¢
26Golden State Warriors2250.0%2250¢-2150¢
27Brooklyn Nets1750.0%1750¢-1650¢
28Charlotte Hornets1750.0%1750¢-1650¢
29Indiana Pacers1750.0%1750¢-1650¢
30Milwaukee Bucks1750.0%1750¢-1650¢
31Oklahoma City Thunder1750.0%1750¢-1650¢
32Phoenix Suns1750.0%1750¢-1650¢
33Utah Jazz1750.0%1750¢-1650¢

Result Rules

This market will resolve to the next team DeMar DeRozan officially joins by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

If DeMar DeRozan does not officially join a new team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

If DeMar DeRozan joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other".

If DeMar DeRozan is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

An official signing announcement prior to the market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the NBA and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "NBA Free Agency: DeMar DeRozan Next Team"?

As of the latest update, Toronto Raptors leads the field as the frontrunner with a 5,500% win probability, followed by Atlanta Hawks at 4,950% and Boston Celtics at 4,950%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached —, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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