St. Louis City SC vs. FC Dallas - More Markets

$161.4K Vol
Aug 31, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Over 100.0%
Under 0.1%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “St. Louis City SC vs. FC Dallas - More Markets”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Both Teams to Score is dominating the market with an overwhelming 61.5% chance of winning. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $161.4K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Both Teams to Score (61.5%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Both Teams to Score is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 62¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $28.5K in volume.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Both Teams to Score61.5%$28.5K62¢39¢

Result Rules

More markets for the MLS game, scheduled for August 30 at 7:00 PM ET.

AI Valuation Analysis: Finding Market Mispricings & EV Gaps

While human consensus and speculative volume shape the broader prediction market, our quantitative algorithms offer a data-driven counter-perspective. By analyzing fundamental signals, underlying trends and historical distributions, our AI Valuation model calculates an independent “Fair Value” probability for each outcome.

Comparing this Fair Value against the current Trade Value uncovers major disparities — known as the Expected Value (EV) Gap. Contracts with a positive EV Gap represent statistically underpriced outcomes, whereas a negative EV Gap flags a potential market overreaction.

Top AI Alpha & Mispriced Arbitrage Opportunities

Based on the latest data model run, several key contracts stand out with significant deviations:

  • The Most Overvalued Outcome Both Teams to Score currently trades at 61.5%, but our AI places its Fair Value at just 60.9%. This creates a large negative EV Gap of -0.6%, suggesting the crowd may be overhyping this outcome and driving the premium too high.
MarketTrade ValueFair ValueEV Gap
Both Teams to Score61.5%60.9%-0.6%

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Aug 30, 2026

  • 08:19 PM
    $5.00

    Bought 55.555554 Over for St. Louis City SC vs. FC Dallas: O/U 5.5 at 0.09

  • 08:19 PM
    $4.72

    Bought 94.339621 Under for St. Louis City SC vs. FC Dallas: O/U 0.5 at 0.05

  • 07:58 PM
    SUsuntori
    $2.02

    Bought 5.05 Over for St. Louis City SC vs. FC Dallas: 1st Half O/U 1.5 at 0.4

  • 07:17 PM
    UPUpTheBlues
    $7.24

    Bought 181 FC Dallas for Spread: FC Dallas (-2.5) at 0.04

  • 07:07 PM
    DEdentleightadman
    $1.00

    Bought 1.612902 Yes for St. Louis City SC vs. FC Dallas: Both Teams to Score at 0.62

  • 07:05 PM
    MIMikiMuster
    $3.10

    Bought 5 Yes for St. Louis City SC vs. FC Dallas: Both Teams to Score at 0.62

  • 07:04 PM
    DEdentleightadman
    $1.00

    Bought 1.612902 Yes for St. Louis City SC vs. FC Dallas: Both Teams to Score at 0.62

  • 06:37 PM
    SUsuntori
    $7.61

    Bought 84.555554 Over for St. Louis City SC vs. FC Dallas: O/U 5.5 at 0.09

  • 06:37 PM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $2.85

    Bought 14.25 Over for St. Louis City SC vs. FC Dallas: O/U 4.5 at 0.2

  • 06:32 PM
    JDJDVancePresident
    $9.99

    Bought 16.94 Over for St. Louis City SC vs. FC Dallas: O/U 2.5 at 0.59

  • 06:32 PM
    JDJDVancePresident
    $9.99

    Bought 16.12 Yes for St. Louis City SC vs. FC Dallas: Both Teams to Score at 0.62

  • 05:35 PM
    KAkatie26
    $318.16

    Bought 388 Over for St. Louis City SC vs. FC Dallas: O/U 1.5 at 0.82

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

E51
0xE5F0…0731
Event PnL
+$202.66
Volume
$29,670.78
Positions
OverOverOver+3
VG2
Vgsps11
Event PnL
-$51.86
Volume
$27,864.06
Positions
OverOver
FE3
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
-$159.81
Volume
$18,138.94
Positions
UnderUnderUnder+1
SN4
SnakeBall
Event PnL
-$9.67
Volume
$16,652.06
Positions
NoUnderUnder+18
NI5
nigiri99
Event PnL
+$121.62
Volume
$13,651.00
Positions
YesOverOver+4
LO6
LonnieHawkins
Event PnL
-$136.75
Volume
$11,095.96
Positions
YesSt. Louis City SCOver+5
EM7
emacron
Event PnL
-$97.07
Volume
$11,078.03
Positions
UnderUnderNo+9
FL8
Flaznorp
Event PnL
+$45.89
Volume
$9,791.64
Positions
NoUnderFC Dallas+14

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "St. Louis City SC vs. FC Dallas - More Markets"?

As of the latest update, Both Teams to Score leads the field as the frontrunner with a 61.5% win probability. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $161.4K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

How does the AI Fair Value differ from the live Market Trade Value?

The live Market Trade Value reflects public sentiment, order-book momentum and speculative capital. Our AI Fair Value is computed independently with quantitative models that strip out hype to focus on underlying data. When the two diverge, it creates an EV Gap, flagging where the market may be mispricing an outcome.

Is the market consensus overreacting to any specific outcome?

Yes — our data suggests a notable overreaction around Both Teams to Score. The crowd has pushed its live Trade Value up to 61.5%, yet our Fair Value assessment puts its real likelihood at just 60.9%, a negative EV Gap of -0.6% that signals the contract is overpriced.

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