Los Angeles FC vs. San Diego FC - More Markets

$3K Vol
Aug 16, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Over 85.5%
Under 14.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Los Angeles FC vs. San Diego FC - More Markets”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Both Teams to Score is dominating the market with an overwhelming 62% chance of winning. Both Teams to Score in First Half follows in second place at 25.5%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $3K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Both Teams to Score (62%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Both Teams to Score is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 62¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $176 in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Both Teams to Score in First Half (25.5%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Both Teams to Score in First Half maintains a 25.5% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 26¢.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Both Teams to Score62.0%$17662¢38¢
2Both Teams to Score in First Half25.5%$526¢75¢

Result Rules

More markets for the MLS game, scheduled for August 15 at 10:30 PM ET.

AI Valuation Analysis: Finding Market Mispricings & EV Gaps

While human consensus and speculative volume shape the broader prediction market, our quantitative algorithms offer a data-driven counter-perspective. By analyzing fundamental signals, underlying trends and historical distributions, our AI Valuation model calculates an independent “Fair Value” probability for each outcome.

Comparing this Fair Value against the current Trade Value uncovers major disparities — known as the Expected Value (EV) Gap. Contracts with a positive EV Gap represent statistically underpriced outcomes, whereas a negative EV Gap flags a potential market overreaction.

Top AI Alpha & Mispriced Arbitrage Opportunities

Based on the latest data model run, several key contracts stand out with significant deviations:

  • The Most Overvalued Outcome Both Teams to Score currently trades at 62%, but our AI places its Fair Value at just 52.9%. This creates a large negative EV Gap of -9.1%, suggesting the crowd may be overhyping this outcome and driving the premium too high.
MarketTrade ValueFair ValueEV Gap
Both Teams to Score62.0%52.9%-9.1%
Both Teams to Score in First Half25.5%25.0%-0.5%

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Aug 14, 2026

  • 07:23 AM
    10100XTrade
    $1.30

    Bought 10 Over for Los Angeles FC vs. San Diego FC: O/U 5.5 at 0.13

  • 07:22 AM
    YOYoyo..
    $11.88

    Bought 13.5 Under for Los Angeles FC vs. San Diego FC: O/U 5.5 at 0.88

  • 07:20 AM
    YOYoyo..
    $10.89

    Bought 12.1 Over for Los Angeles FC vs. San Diego FC: Los Angeles FC O/U 0.5 at 0.9

  • 07:20 AM
    YOYoyo..
    $11.84

    Bought 12.21024 Over for Los Angeles FC vs. San Diego FC: O/U 0.5 at 0.97

  • 07:20 AM
    YOYoyo..
    $11.88

    Bought 13.348309 Under for Los Angeles FC vs. San Diego FC: San Diego FC O/U 2.5 at 0.89

  • 05:12 AM
    SWswisstony
    $2.80

    Bought 9.032257 Under for Los Angeles FC vs. San Diego FC: San Diego FC O/U 0.5 at 0.31

  • 05:12 AM
    HRHRT1
    $1.00

    Bought 3.225805 Under for Los Angeles FC vs. San Diego FC: San Diego FC O/U 0.5 at 0.31

  • 03:45 AM
    FIFidubitBot
    $5.04

    Sold 6 Over for Los Angeles FC vs. San Diego FC: O/U 1.5 at 0.84

  • 01:45 AM
    PUpups10
    $1.00

    Bought 1.333332 Under for Los Angeles FC vs. San Diego FC: O/U 4.5 at 0.75

  • 01:45 AM
    SWswisstony
    $25.50

    Bought 34 Under for Los Angeles FC vs. San Diego FC: O/U 4.5 at 0.75

  • 01:45 AM
    HRHRT1
    $1.00

    Bought 1.333332 Under for Los Angeles FC vs. San Diego FC: O/U 4.5 at 0.75

  • 01:45 AM
    FIFidubitBot
    $5.27

    Bought 6.2 Over for Los Angeles FC vs. San Diego FC: O/U 1.5 at 0.85

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

WH1
what....
Event PnL
-$0.72
Volume
$1,275.85
Positions
OverLos Angeles FCUnder+10
SE2
seed23
Event PnL
-$8.27
Volume
$854.00
Positions
UnderUnderNo+1
SW3
swisstony
Event PnL
+$1.67
Volume
$627.18
Positions
UnderUnderOver+8
TN4
tnl
Event PnL
+$1.29
Volume
$293.30
Positions
Over
385
38791873984189
Event PnL
+$2.39
Volume
$209.08
Positions
YesOverOver+2
VE6
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
+$3.03
Volume
$202.00
Positions
Over
CF7
cfeeandwhisckey
Event PnL
+$0.93
Volume
$193.96
Positions
OverUnderUnder
RA8
RadioFreeZerg
Event PnL
+$0.69
Volume
$130.45
Positions
UnderUnderUnder+2

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Los Angeles FC vs. San Diego FC - More Markets"?

As of the latest update, Both Teams to Score leads the field as the frontrunner with a 62% win probability, followed by Both Teams to Score in First Half at 25.5%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $3K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

How does the AI Fair Value differ from the live Market Trade Value?

The live Market Trade Value reflects public sentiment, order-book momentum and speculative capital. Our AI Fair Value is computed independently with quantitative models that strip out hype to focus on underlying data. When the two diverge, it creates an EV Gap, flagging where the market may be mispricing an outcome.

Is the market consensus overreacting to any specific outcome?

Yes — our data suggests a notable overreaction around Both Teams to Score. The crowd has pushed its live Trade Value up to 62%, yet our Fair Value assessment puts its real likelihood at just 52.9%, a negative EV Gap of -9.1% that signals the contract is overpriced.

Get Started