Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco Giants

$516.3K Vol
Jul 14, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
San Francisco Giants 68.5%
Toronto Blue Jays 31.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco Giants”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, NRFI is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 follows in second place at 6,250%, while 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 sits in third with 5,850%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $516.3K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • NRFI (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, NRFI is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $834 in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 (6,250%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 maintains a 6,250% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 6,250¢.
  • 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 (5,850%): Sitting in third place with a 5,850% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 (5,350%), O/U 7.5 (5,150%), and 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 (5,050%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1NRFI9995.0%$8349995¢-9895¢
21st 5 Innings O/U 2.56250.0%6250¢-6150¢
31st 5 Innings O/U 3.55850.0%$2145850¢-5750¢
41st 5 Innings O/U 4.55350.0%$695350¢-5250¢
5O/U 7.55150.0%$344.7K5150¢-5050¢
61st 5 Innings Spread -1.55050.0%$95050¢-4950¢
71st 5 Innings O/U 5.55050.0%5050¢-4950¢
81st 5 Innings Spread -1.55000.0%$95000¢-4900¢
91st 5 Innings Spread -2.55000.0%$585000¢-4900¢
101st 5 Innings O/U 6.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11Extra Innings5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
121st 5 Innings Spread -2.54900.0%$584900¢-4800¢
13O/U 8.54500.0%$20.3K4500¢-4400¢
14Spread -1.54150.0%$6.3K4150¢-4050¢
15Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco Giants3850.0%$146.7K3850¢-3750¢
16Spread -1.52800.0%$6.3K2800¢-2700¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Toronto Blue Jays and San Francisco Giants, scheduled for July 6 at 9:45PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Toronto Blue Jays" if the Toronto Blue Jays win the game.

This market will resolve to "San Francisco Giants" if the San Francisco Giants win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Jul 6, 2026

  • 08:54 PM
    JUJubosaurus9
    $6.10

    Bought 12.708332 Under for Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5 at 0.48

  • 08:38 PM
    ANAnik67
    $10.00

    Bought 19.607842 Toronto Blue Jays for Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco Giants at 0.51

  • 08:32 PM
    CUcumulus33
    $29.50

    Bought 59 San Francisco Giants for Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco Giants at 0.5

  • 08:24 PM
    0X0xbc0655bAB005Ee280Aa8332F309b4c90F01FbC87-1772346837609
    $1.00

    Bought 2 San Francisco Giants for Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco Giants at 0.5

  • 08:24 PM
    DEdex57
    $50.00

    Bought 100 San Francisco Giants for Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco Giants at 0.5

  • 08:24 PM
    DIDingwin
    $1,568.37

    Bought 3136.73 Toronto Blue Jays for Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco Giants at 0.5

  • 08:15 PM
    GMgmomoney
    $600.00

    Bought 1200 Toronto Blue Jays for Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco Giants at 0.5

  • 08:15 PM
    0X0x4b88c809e77716a8C42f6E2e0fBD60db4e83772C-1776422825573
    $4.00

    Bought 8 Toronto Blue Jays for Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco Giants at 0.5

  • 08:04 PM
    0X0x72F38Af397FAA710CCe6D33664100476DFe0D396-1776864498674
    $78.00

    Bought 123.809521 San Francisco Giants for Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5) at 0.63

  • 08:03 PM
    CUcumulus33
    $67.32

    Bought 132 San Francisco Giants for Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco Giants at 0.51

  • 08:03 PM
    AAaaronkozinets
    $100.80

    Bought 210 Under for Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5 at 0.48

  • 08:02 PM
    TOTomslee
    $10.00

    Bought 19.607842 San Francisco Giants for Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco Giants at 0.51

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

NI1
NiFengFanPan
Event PnL
-$48.36
Volume
$15,304.22
Positions
San Francisco Giants
DV2
dv-pm
Event PnL
+$41.96
Volume
$8,391.75
Positions
Over
683
0x6823…1283
Event PnL
+$41.93
Volume
$8,384.46
Positions
Over
584
0x58b9…2983
Event PnL
-$28.62
Volume
$5,876.10
Positions
UnderUnder
HO5
HomeRunHazard
Event PnL
-$17.20
Volume
$5,111.15
Positions
UnderSan Francisco GiantsOver
AN6
AnonymousUsername
Event PnL
+$1.20
Volume
$3,952.21
Positions
Toronto Blue JaysUnder
ZA7
zagzig123
Event PnL
-$44.58
Volume
$2,972.00
Positions
Toronto Blue Jays
VE8
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
+$15.76
Volume
$2,757.31
Positions
Toronto Blue Jays

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco Giants"?

As of the latest update, NRFI leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 at 6,250% and 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 at 5,850%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $516.3K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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