San Francisco Giants vs. Boston Red Sox

$240.9K Vol
Aug 30, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Boston Red Sox 82.5%
San Francisco Giants 17.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “San Francisco Giants vs. Boston Red Sox”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, O/U 8.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. O/U 9.5 follows in second place at 7,250%, while O/U 10.5 sits in third with 6,050%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $240.9K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • O/U 8.5 (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, O/U 8.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $74.0K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • O/U 9.5 (7,250%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, O/U 9.5 maintains a 7,250% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 7,250¢.
  • O/U 10.5 (6,050%): Sitting in third place with a 6,050% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward O/U 10.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Extra Innings (5,000%), O/U 13.5 (5,000%), and Spread -1.5 (4,300%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like O/U 11.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1O/U 8.59995.0%$74.0K9995¢-9895¢
2O/U 9.57250.0%$22.0K7250¢-7150¢
3O/U 10.56050.0%$9006050¢-5950¢
4Extra Innings5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
5O/U 13.55000.0%$195000¢-4900¢
6Spread -1.54300.0%$10.5K4300¢-4200¢
7O/U 11.53800.0%$7.4K3800¢-3700¢
8O/U 12.52850.0%$5.7K2850¢-2750¢
9Spread -2.52550.0%$8342550¢-2450¢
10San Francisco Giants vs. Boston Red Sox1450.0%$181.1K1450¢-1350¢
11Spread -1.5700.0%$10.5K700¢-600¢
12Spread -2.5250.0%$834250¢-150¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the San Francisco Giants and Boston Red Sox, scheduled for August 23 at 3:10PM ET:

This market will resolve to "San Francisco Giants" if the San Francisco Giants win the game.

This market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox" if the Boston Red Sox win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Aug 23, 2026

  • 09:05 PM
    HOHomeRunHazard
    $2.65

    Bought 5 San Francisco Giants for Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5) at 0.53

  • 09:03 PM
    DIDimkov27
    $2.50

    Bought 5 San Francisco Giants for Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5) at 0.5

  • 09:01 PM
    0X0xbfD770B7ff0
    $1.12

    Bought 4.307691 San Francisco Giants for Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5) at 0.26

  • 08:59 PM
    0O0ooo0o0o0oo0o0
    $0.44

    Bought 0.9 Boston Red Sox for Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5) at 0.49

  • 08:59 PM
    ZUzusu
    $1.00

    Bought 2.040815 Boston Red Sox for Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5) at 0.49

  • 08:59 PM
    1M1MillionInc
    $1.00

    Bought 2.040815 Boston Red Sox for Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5) at 0.49

  • 08:59 PM
    1W1winstreak1
    $7.99

    Bought 17 Boston Red Sox for Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5) at 0.47

  • 08:59 PM
    PUpups10
    $0.82

    Bought 1.75 Boston Red Sox for Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5) at 0.47

  • 08:58 PM
    JNjndabah06
    $12.96

    Bought 19.636361 Over for San Francisco Giants vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5 at 0.66

  • 08:57 PM
    VKVkey5
    $6.70

    Bought 10 Over for San Francisco Giants vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5 at 0.67

  • 08:57 PM
    1W1winstreak1
    $491.32

    Bought 927.02 San Francisco Giants for Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5) at 0.53

  • 08:57 PM
    SWswisstony
    $4.17

    Bought 9.266665 Boston Red Sox for Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5) at 0.45

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

3D1
0x3DFb…8185
Event PnL
-$14,334.86
Volume
$56,336.70
Positions
UnderSan Francisco Giants
PL2
pleaseplease123
Event PnL
+$14,315.22
Volume
$55,058.54
Positions
Over
1W3
1winstreak1
Event PnL
-$882.57
Volume
$23,851.15
Positions
OverSan Francisco GiantsSan Francisco Giants+4
KO4
kotik7
Event PnL
+$985.58
Volume
$16,000.00
Positions
Boston Red Sox
4F5
0x4f2
Event PnL
-$153.42
Volume
$15,142.49
Positions
San Francisco GiantsUnderSan Francisco Giants+3
FE6
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
+$222.39
Volume
$13,016.54
Positions
UnderBoston Red SoxOver+4
HO7
HomeRunHazard
Event PnL
+$967.94
Volume
$11,962.45
Positions
Boston Red SoxOverBoston Red Sox+3
SI8
sietechips
Event PnL
+$2,485.87
Volume
$9,943.43
Positions
Over

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "San Francisco Giants vs. Boston Red Sox"?

As of the latest update, O/U 8.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by O/U 9.5 at 7,250% and O/U 10.5 at 6,050%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $240.9K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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