Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros - Player Props

$34 Vol
Aug 15, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Under 99.5%
Over 0.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros - Player Props”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, George Kirby: Strikeouts O/U 2.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 4,400% chance of winning. Peter Lambert: Strikeouts O/U 2.5 follows in second place at 4,300%, while George Kirby: Strikeouts O/U 3.5 sits in third with 3,700%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $34, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • George Kirby: Strikeouts O/U 2.5 (4,400%): Currently commanding the highest probability, George Kirby: Strikeouts O/U 2.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 4,400¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Peter Lambert: Strikeouts O/U 2.5 (4,300%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Peter Lambert: Strikeouts O/U 2.5 maintains a 4,300% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 4,300¢.
  • George Kirby: Strikeouts O/U 3.5 (3,700%): Sitting in third place with a 3,700% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward George Kirby: Strikeouts O/U 3.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Peter Lambert: Strikeouts O/U 3.5 (3,650%), Peter Lambert: Strikeouts O/U 4.5 (2,900%), and George Kirby: Strikeouts O/U 4.5 (2,750%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like George Kirby: Strikeouts O/U 5.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1George Kirby: Strikeouts O/U 2.54400.0%4400¢-4300¢
2Peter Lambert: Strikeouts O/U 2.54300.0%4300¢-4200¢
3George Kirby: Strikeouts O/U 3.53700.0%3700¢-3600¢
4Peter Lambert: Strikeouts O/U 3.53650.0%3650¢-3550¢
5Peter Lambert: Strikeouts O/U 4.52900.0%2900¢-2800¢
6George Kirby: Strikeouts O/U 4.52750.0%2750¢-2650¢
7George Kirby: Strikeouts O/U 5.51950.0%1950¢-1850¢
8Yordan Alvarez: Home Runs O/U 0.51100.0%$41100¢-1000¢
9Jeremy Peña: Home Runs O/U 0.5900.0%900¢-800¢
10Dominic Canzone: Home Runs O/U 0.5850.0%850¢-750¢
11Julio Rodríguez: Home Runs O/U 0.5750.0%750¢-650¢
12Daulton Varsho: Home Runs O/U 0.5700.0%700¢-600¢
13Randy Arozarena: Home Runs O/U 0.5700.0%700¢-600¢
14Taylor Trammell: Home Runs O/U 0.5700.0%700¢-600¢
15Cam Smith: Home Runs O/U 0.5650.0%650¢-550¢
16Christian Walker: Home Runs O/U 0.5600.0%600¢-500¢
17Cole Young: Home Runs O/U 0.5600.0%600¢-500¢
18Isaac Paredes: Home Runs O/U 0.5600.0%600¢-500¢
19Taylor Ward: Home Runs O/U 0.5600.0%600¢-500¢
20Jeremy Peña: Home Runs O/U 1.5300.0%300¢-200¢
21Yordan Alvarez: Home Runs O/U 1.5295.0%295¢-195¢
22Julio Rodríguez: Home Runs O/U 1.5200.0%200¢-100¢
23Taylor Trammell: Home Runs O/U 1.5160.0%160¢-60¢
24Dominic Canzone: Home Runs O/U 1.5150.0%150¢-50¢
25Christian Walker: Home Runs O/U 1.5135.0%135¢-35¢
26Isaac Paredes: Home Runs O/U 1.5125.0%125¢-25¢
27Randy Arozarena: Home Runs O/U 1.5115.0%115¢-15¢
28Cam Smith: Home Runs O/U 1.575.0%75¢25¢
29Daulton Varsho: Home Runs O/U 1.570.0%$1570¢30¢
30Cole Young: Home Runs O/U 1.555.0%$1055¢45¢
31Taylor Ward: Home Runs O/U 1.555.0%$1055¢45¢

Result Rules

Player prop markets for the MLB game between the Seattle Mariners and Houston Astros, scheduled for August 14 at 8:10 PM ET.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Aug 14, 2026

  • 06:12 AM
    0X0x8b81cCE898c3c9d737fcA82dbA70f7ebf418988C-1781024142222
    $1.00

    Bought 4.347825 Over for Yordan Alvarez: Home Runs O/U 0.5 at 0.23

  • 04:40 AM
    0X0x833dC214Ab753CbA994A74689d729bEe27A7eC8E-1785933397147
    $9.90

    Bought 10 Under for Daulton Varsho: Home Runs O/U 1.5 at 0.99

  • 04:40 AM
    0X0x833dC214Ab753CbA994A74689d729bEe27A7eC8E-1785933397147
    $9.90

    Bought 10 Under for Cole Young: Home Runs O/U 1.5 at 0.99

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

831
0x833d…7147
Event PnL
+$0.08
Volume
$35.00
Positions
UnderUnderUnder
US2
Useraxe
Event PnL
-$0.08
Volume
$30.00
Positions
OverOverOver
RO3
rocketcrypto
Event PnL
-$0.02
Volume
$5.00
Positions
Over
DA4
dado2
Event PnL
+$0.57
Volume
$4.35
Positions
Under
8B5
0x8b81…2222
Event PnL
-$0.57
Volume
$4.35
Positions
Over

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros - Player Props"?

As of the latest update, George Kirby: Strikeouts O/U 2.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 4,400% win probability, followed by Peter Lambert: Strikeouts O/U 2.5 at 4,300% and George Kirby: Strikeouts O/U 3.5 at 3,700%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $34, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

Get Started