Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals - Player Props

Aug 30, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Under 86.0%
Over 14.0%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals - Player Props”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Matthew Liberatore: Strikeouts O/U 3.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 7,250% chance of winning. Braxton Ashcraft: Strikeouts O/U 3.5 follows in second place at 6,950%, while Matthew Liberatore: Strikeouts O/U 4.5 sits in third with 6,200%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached —, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Matthew Liberatore: Strikeouts O/U 3.5 (7,250%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Matthew Liberatore: Strikeouts O/U 3.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 7,250¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Braxton Ashcraft: Strikeouts O/U 3.5 (6,950%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Braxton Ashcraft: Strikeouts O/U 3.5 maintains a 6,950% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 6,950¢.
  • Matthew Liberatore: Strikeouts O/U 4.5 (6,200%): Sitting in third place with a 6,200% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Matthew Liberatore: Strikeouts O/U 4.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Braxton Ashcraft: Strikeouts O/U 4.5 (5,250%), José Fermín: Home Runs O/U 1.5 (4,850%), and Matthew Liberatore: Strikeouts O/U 5.5 (4,650%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Braxton Ashcraft: Strikeouts O/U 5.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Matthew Liberatore: Strikeouts O/U 3.57250.0%7250¢-7150¢
2Braxton Ashcraft: Strikeouts O/U 3.56950.0%6950¢-6850¢
3Matthew Liberatore: Strikeouts O/U 4.56200.0%6200¢-6100¢
4Braxton Ashcraft: Strikeouts O/U 4.55250.0%5250¢-5150¢
5José Fermín: Home Runs O/U 1.54850.0%4850¢-4750¢
6Matthew Liberatore: Strikeouts O/U 5.54650.0%4650¢-4550¢
7Braxton Ashcraft: Strikeouts O/U 5.53700.0%3700¢-3600¢
8Matthew Liberatore: Strikeouts O/U 6.53150.0%3150¢-3050¢
9Braxton Ashcraft: Strikeouts O/U 6.52450.0%2450¢-2350¢
10Matthew Liberatore: Strikeouts O/U 7.51850.0%1850¢-1750¢
11Oneil Cruz: Home Runs O/U 0.51450.0%1450¢-1350¢
12Alec Burleson: Home Runs O/U 0.51400.0%1400¢-1300¢
13Braxton Ashcraft: Strikeouts O/U 7.51350.0%1350¢-1250¢
14Jordan Walker: Home Runs O/U 0.51100.0%1100¢-1000¢
15Esmerlyn Valdez: Home Runs O/U 0.51050.0%1050¢-950¢
16Bryan Reynolds: Home Runs O/U 0.5950.0%950¢-850¢
17JJ Wetherholt: Home Runs O/U 0.5700.0%700¢-600¢
18Iván Herrera: Home Runs O/U 0.5500.0%500¢-400¢
19José Fermín: Home Runs O/U 0.5450.0%450¢-350¢
20Nick Gonzales: Home Runs O/U 0.5400.0%400¢-300¢
21Jake Mangum: Home Runs O/U 0.5320.0%320¢-220¢
22Oneil Cruz: Home Runs O/U 1.5150.0%150¢-50¢
23Esmerlyn Valdez: Home Runs O/U 1.5145.0%145¢-45¢
24Alec Burleson: Home Runs O/U 1.5105.0%105¢-5¢
25Iván Herrera: Home Runs O/U 1.5105.0%105¢-5¢
26Jordan Walker: Home Runs O/U 1.5105.0%105¢-5¢
27Bryan Reynolds: Home Runs O/U 1.570.0%70¢30¢
28JJ Wetherholt: Home Runs O/U 1.555.0%55¢45¢
29Jake Mangum: Home Runs O/U 1.520.0%20¢80¢
30Nick Gonzales: Home Runs O/U 1.520.0%20¢80¢

Result Rules

Player prop markets for the MLB game between the Pittsburgh Pirates and St. Louis Cardinals, scheduled for August 30 at 2:15 PM ET.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals - Player Props"?

As of the latest update, Matthew Liberatore: Strikeouts O/U 3.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 7,250% win probability, followed by Braxton Ashcraft: Strikeouts O/U 3.5 at 6,950% and Matthew Liberatore: Strikeouts O/U 4.5 at 6,200%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached —, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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