
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals - Player Props
Core Summary
According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals - Player Props”, traders have formed a strong consensus.
Currently, Matthew Liberatore: Strikeouts O/U 3.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 7,250% chance of winning. Braxton Ashcraft: Strikeouts O/U 3.5 follows in second place at 6,950%, while Matthew Liberatore: Strikeouts O/U 4.5 sits in third with 6,200%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached —, reflecting intense industry interest.
Breakdown of Competitive Tiers
To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:
🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader
- Matthew Liberatore: Strikeouts O/U 3.5 (7,250%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Matthew Liberatore: Strikeouts O/U 3.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 7,250¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.
🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers
- Braxton Ashcraft: Strikeouts O/U 3.5 (6,950%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Braxton Ashcraft: Strikeouts O/U 3.5 maintains a 6,950% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 6,950¢.
- Matthew Liberatore: Strikeouts O/U 4.5 (6,200%): Sitting in third place with a 6,200% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Matthew Liberatore: Strikeouts O/U 4.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.
🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)
Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:
- Alternative Options: This includes Braxton Ashcraft: Strikeouts O/U 4.5 (5,250%), José Fermín: Home Runs O/U 1.5 (4,850%), and Matthew Liberatore: Strikeouts O/U 5.5 (4,650%).
- Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Braxton Ashcraft: Strikeouts O/U 5.5 are still attracting notable interest.
Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard
The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:
| Rank | Predicted Outcome | Win Probability | Trading Volume | Buy Yes (Cost) | Buy No (Cost) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Matthew Liberatore: Strikeouts O/U 3.5 | 7250.0% | — | 7250¢ | -7150¢ |
| 2 | Braxton Ashcraft: Strikeouts O/U 3.5 | 6950.0% | — | 6950¢ | -6850¢ |
| 3 | Matthew Liberatore: Strikeouts O/U 4.5 | 6200.0% | — | 6200¢ | -6100¢ |
| 4 | Braxton Ashcraft: Strikeouts O/U 4.5 | 5250.0% | — | 5250¢ | -5150¢ |
| 5 | José Fermín: Home Runs O/U 1.5 | 4850.0% | — | 4850¢ | -4750¢ |
| 6 | Matthew Liberatore: Strikeouts O/U 5.5 | 4650.0% | — | 4650¢ | -4550¢ |
| 7 | Braxton Ashcraft: Strikeouts O/U 5.5 | 3700.0% | — | 3700¢ | -3600¢ |
| 8 | Matthew Liberatore: Strikeouts O/U 6.5 | 3150.0% | — | 3150¢ | -3050¢ |
| 9 | Braxton Ashcraft: Strikeouts O/U 6.5 | 2450.0% | — | 2450¢ | -2350¢ |
| 10 | Matthew Liberatore: Strikeouts O/U 7.5 | 1850.0% | — | 1850¢ | -1750¢ |
| 11 | Oneil Cruz: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | 1450.0% | — | 1450¢ | -1350¢ |
| 12 | Alec Burleson: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | 1400.0% | — | 1400¢ | -1300¢ |
| 13 | Braxton Ashcraft: Strikeouts O/U 7.5 | 1350.0% | — | 1350¢ | -1250¢ |
| 14 | Jordan Walker: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | 1100.0% | — | 1100¢ | -1000¢ |
| 15 | Esmerlyn Valdez: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | 1050.0% | — | 1050¢ | -950¢ |
| 16 | Bryan Reynolds: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 17 | JJ Wetherholt: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | 700.0% | — | 700¢ | -600¢ |
| 18 | Iván Herrera: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | 500.0% | — | 500¢ | -400¢ |
| 19 | José Fermín: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | 450.0% | — | 450¢ | -350¢ |
| 20 | Nick Gonzales: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | 400.0% | — | 400¢ | -300¢ |
| 21 | Jake Mangum: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | 320.0% | — | 320¢ | -220¢ |
| 22 | Oneil Cruz: Home Runs O/U 1.5 | 150.0% | — | 150¢ | -50¢ |
| 23 | Esmerlyn Valdez: Home Runs O/U 1.5 | 145.0% | — | 145¢ | -45¢ |
| 24 | Alec Burleson: Home Runs O/U 1.5 | 105.0% | — | 105¢ | -5¢ |
| 25 | Iván Herrera: Home Runs O/U 1.5 | 105.0% | — | 105¢ | -5¢ |
| 26 | Jordan Walker: Home Runs O/U 1.5 | 105.0% | — | 105¢ | -5¢ |
| 27 | Bryan Reynolds: Home Runs O/U 1.5 | 70.0% | — | 70¢ | 30¢ |
| 28 | JJ Wetherholt: Home Runs O/U 1.5 | 55.0% | — | 55¢ | 45¢ |
| 29 | Jake Mangum: Home Runs O/U 1.5 | 20.0% | — | 20¢ | 80¢ |
| 30 | Nick Gonzales: Home Runs O/U 1.5 | 20.0% | — | 20¢ | 80¢ |
Result Rules
Player prop markets for the MLB game between the Pittsburgh Pirates and St. Louis Cardinals, scheduled for August 30 at 2:15 PM ET.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current market consensus on "Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals - Player Props"?
As of the latest update, Matthew Liberatore: Strikeouts O/U 3.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 7,250% win probability, followed by Braxton Ashcraft: Strikeouts O/U 3.5 at 6,950% and Matthew Liberatore: Strikeouts O/U 4.5 at 6,200%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached —, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.
