Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals

$92.2K Vol
Sep 5, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Pittsburgh Pirates 51.5%
St. Louis Cardinals 48.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 7,050% chance of winning. 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 follows in second place at 5,550%, while Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals sits in third with 5,150%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $92.2K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 (7,050%): Currently commanding the highest probability, 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 7,050¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 (5,550%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 maintains a 5,550% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,550¢.
  • Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals (5,150%): Sitting in third place with a 5,150% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes O/U 7.5 (4,650%), NRFI (4,500%), and 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 (4,100%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Spread -1.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
11st 5 Innings O/U 2.57050.0%7050¢-6950¢
21st 5 Innings O/U 3.55550.0%5550¢-5450¢
3Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals5150.0%$1655150¢-5050¢
4O/U 7.54650.0%$5.1K4650¢-4550¢
5NRFI4500.0%4500¢-4400¢
61st 5 Innings O/U 4.54100.0%4100¢-4000¢
7Spread -1.53800.0%$83800¢-3700¢
8O/U 8.53450.0%$89.1K3450¢-3350¢
9Spread -1.53150.0%$83150¢-3050¢
101st 5 Innings O/U 5.53050.0%3050¢-2950¢
111st 5 Innings Spread -1.52800.0%2800¢-2700¢
121st 5 Innings Spread -1.52750.0%2750¢-2650¢
13Spread -2.52700.0%2700¢-2600¢
14O/U 9.52650.0%$392650¢-2550¢
151st 5 Innings O/U 6.52250.0%2250¢-2150¢
16Spread -2.52150.0%2150¢-2050¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Pittsburgh Pirates and St. Louis Cardinals, scheduled for August 28 at 8:15PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates" if the Pittsburgh Pirates win the game.

This market will resolve to "St. Louis Cardinals" if the St. Louis Cardinals win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Aug 27, 2026

  • 08:46 PM
    FIfizzwont
    $2.51

    Bought 5.01 Pittsburgh Pirates for Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals at 0.5

  • 08:09 PM
    SIsizif
    $2.49

    Bought 5.1875 Pittsburgh Pirates for Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals at 0.48

  • 06:08 PM
    0X0x01ff3cd111aAcbeFd7734701629F0058e50c7c43-1768506542611
    $10.00

    Bought 18.867923 St. Louis Cardinals for Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals at 0.53

  • 01:17 PM
    MImikEVOLi
    $9.88

    Bought 20.583332 Pittsburgh Pirates for Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals at 0.48

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

HU1
hurpdurp
Event PnL
+$0.52
Volume
$108.84
Positions
Pittsburgh Pirates
CA2
Calmaestonks
Event PnL
-$0.15
Volume
$30.00
Positions
St. Louis Cardinals
MO3
moneyline7
Event PnL
-$0.72
Volume
$20.58
Positions
St. Louis Cardinals
MI4
mikEVOLi
Event PnL
+$0.72
Volume
$20.58
Positions
Pittsburgh Pirates
EH5
ehl-rungs
Event PnL
-$0.10
Volume
$20.00
Positions
St. Louis Cardinals
016
0x01ff…2611
Event PnL
-$0.66
Volume
$18.87
Positions
St. Louis Cardinals
TR7
tronify
Event PnL
-$0.08
Volume
$16.00
Positions
St. Louis Cardinals
CD8
0xCd4D…4921
Event PnL
-$0.08
Volume
$15.00
Positions
St. Louis Cardinals

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals"?

As of the latest update, 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 7,050% win probability, followed by 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 at 5,550% and Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals at 5,150%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $92.2K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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