Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

$74.1K Vol
Aug 31, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Los Angeles Dodgers 71.5%
Pittsburgh Pirates 28.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgers”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 7,550% chance of winning. 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 follows in second place at 6,350%, while O/U 7.5 sits in third with 5,850%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $74.1K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 (7,550%): Currently commanding the highest probability, 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 7,550¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $25 in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 (6,350%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 maintains a 6,350% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 6,350¢.
  • O/U 7.5 (5,850%): Sitting in third place with a 5,850% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward O/U 7.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Spread -1.5 (5,350%), O/U 8.5 (5,150%), and 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 (5,150%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like NRFI are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
11st 5 Innings O/U 2.57550.0%$257550¢-7450¢
21st 5 Innings O/U 3.56350.0%$376350¢-6250¢
3O/U 7.55850.0%$9.2K5850¢-5750¢
4Spread -1.55350.0%$355350¢-5250¢
5O/U 8.55150.0%$19.3K5150¢-5050¢
61st 5 Innings O/U 4.55150.0%$6.9K5150¢-5050¢
7NRFI4900.0%$9.8K4900¢-4800¢
81st 5 Innings Spread -1.54450.0%$54450¢-4350¢
9Spread -2.54250.0%$1574250¢-4150¢
101st 5 Innings O/U 5.54050.0%$1.5K4050¢-3950¢
11O/U 9.53950.0%$3.1K3950¢-3850¢
121st 5 Innings O/U 6.52950.0%$252950¢-2850¢
13Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgers2850.0%$24.8K2850¢-2750¢
14Spread -1.52050.0%$352050¢-1950¢
151st 5 Innings Spread -1.51600.0%$51600¢-1500¢
16Spread -2.51250.0%$1571250¢-1150¢
17Extra Innings700.0%700¢-600¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Pittsburgh Pirates and Los Angeles Dodgers, scheduled for August 23 at 4:10PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates" if the Pittsburgh Pirates win the game.

This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Dodgers" if the Los Angeles Dodgers win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Aug 23, 2026

  • 08:36 AM
    QUquavoo
    $1.44

    Bought 2 Los Angeles Dodgers for Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgers at 0.72

  • 08:22 AM
    99998719826541651
    $19.99

    Bought 27.77 Los Angeles Dodgers for Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgers at 0.72

  • 08:08 AM
    $17.31

    Bought 19.896546 Los Angeles Dodgers for Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-2.5) at 0.87

  • 08:07 AM
    OVOVOXOSM
    $50.00

    Bought 57.471261 Los Angeles Dodgers for Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-2.5) at 0.87

  • 08:03 AM
    EREryhazHunter13
    $1.13

    Bought 2.054544 Los Angeles Dodgers for Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) at 0.55

  • 07:56 AM
    QUquavoo
    $36.72

    Bought 51 Los Angeles Dodgers for Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgers at 0.72

  • 07:50 AM
    JAJAXY7
    $5.00

    Bought 25 Pittsburgh Pirates for Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5) at 0.2

  • 07:12 AM
    0X0xCCaB7226737954e0F0077066E5653Db5Bf4246f9-1775213775756
    $3.00

    Bought 5.88 No for Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgers at 0.51

  • 07:11 AM
    LIlindison
    $1.45

    Bought 5 Pittsburgh Pirates for Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgers at 0.29

  • 06:25 AM
    NEnemed
    $2.00

    Bought 2.777775 Los Angeles Dodgers for Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgers at 0.72

  • 05:58 AM
    $1.00

    Bought 1.388885 Los Angeles Dodgers for Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgers at 0.72

  • 05:36 AM
    SAsachin5868
    $2.00

    Bought 2.777775 Los Angeles Dodgers for Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgers at 0.72

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

PE1
PetsViljandist
Event PnL
+$349.30
Volume
$10,369.45
Positions
Over
SD2
SDTrading
Event PnL
+$178.45
Volume
$7,137.76
Positions
Over
AN3
AnonymousUsername
Event PnL
-$165.46
Volume
$6,321.06
Positions
UnderYesLos Angeles Dodgers
FE4
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
+$75.36
Volume
$5,676.29
Positions
Over
QU5
quavoo
Event PnL
-$56.33
Volume
$5,356.00
Positions
Los Angeles DodgersUnderLos Angeles Dodgers+3
HO6
HomeRunHazard
Event PnL
-$101.39
Volume
$4,159.25
Positions
UnderOverLos Angeles Dodgers
FO7
forecastication4
Event PnL
-$30.00
Volume
$2,590.00
Positions
UnderPittsburgh Pirates
A68
0xa697…6031
Event PnL
-$33.27
Volume
$2,408.13
Positions
UnderLos Angeles DodgersUnder

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgers"?

As of the latest update, 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 7,550% win probability, followed by 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 at 6,350% and O/U 7.5 at 5,850%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $74.1K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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