New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox

$486.8K Vol
Aug 6, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
New York Yankees 54.4%
Chicago White Sox 45.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, O/U 8.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. O/U 7.5 follows in second place at 9,950%, while O/U 6.5 sits in third with 9,950%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $486.8K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • O/U 8.5 (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, O/U 8.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $6.6K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • O/U 7.5 (9,950%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, O/U 7.5 maintains a 9,950% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,950¢.
  • O/U 6.5 (9,950%): Sitting in third place with a 9,950% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward O/U 6.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes O/U 5.5 (9,950%), O/U 9.5 (5,050%), and Extra Innings (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like O/U 11.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1O/U 8.59995.0%$6.6K9995¢-9895¢
2O/U 7.59950.0%$34.9K9950¢-9850¢
3O/U 6.59950.0%$6.3K9950¢-9850¢
4O/U 5.59950.0%9950¢-9850¢
5O/U 9.55050.0%$3.4K5050¢-4950¢
6Extra Innings5000.0%$1025000¢-4900¢
7O/U 11.54950.0%$114950¢-4850¢
8O/U 12.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
9New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox4705.0%$393.3K4705¢-4605¢
10Spread -5.54400.0%4400¢-4300¢
11O/U 10.53850.0%3850¢-3750¢
12Spread -3.53150.0%$1143150¢-3050¢
13Spread -1.52200.0%$1.5K2200¢-2100¢
14Spread -4.51650.0%$1.2K1650¢-1550¢
15Spread -1.51005.0%$1.5K1005¢-905¢
16Spread -2.5950.0%$6.1K950¢-850¢
17Spread -2.5495.0%$6.1K495¢-395¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Yankees and Chicago White Sox, scheduled for July 29 at 7:40PM ET:

This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game.

This market will resolve to "Chicago White Sox" if the Chicago White Sox win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Jul 29, 2026

  • 07:54 PM
    2C2cornot2c
    $100.00

    Bought 169.491524 New York Yankees for New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox at 0.59

  • 07:53 PM
    DUdusty.yyy
    $1.64

    Sold 4.01 Chicago White Sox for New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox at 0.41

  • 07:50 PM
    3M3monthgoal
    $177.00

    Bought 300 New York Yankees for New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox at 0.59

  • 07:40 PM
    2D2Dro
    $100.80

    Bought 240 Chicago White Sox for New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox at 0.42

  • 07:37 PM
    DAdamnedspot
    $2.00

    Bought 4.761903 Chicago White Sox for New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox at 0.42

  • 07:34 PM
    DUdusty.yyy
    $1.77

    Sold 4.31 Chicago White Sox for New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox at 0.41

  • 07:22 PM
    TITimPenis
    $10.00

    Bought 16.949151 New York Yankees for New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox at 0.59

  • 07:21 PM
    TITimPenis
    $75.00

    Bought 127.118643 New York Yankees for New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox at 0.59

  • 07:20 PM
    THtheOwlAndRake
    $18.90

    Bought 45 Chicago White Sox for New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox at 0.42

  • 07:03 PM
    0X0x6D076E16Fe4687f124a3d1D7c664fb6953B233D4-1776829624329
    $1.00

    Bought 2.380951 Chicago White Sox for New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox at 0.42

  • 06:40 PM
    JAjaGZer
    $15.00

    Bought 25.423726 New York Yankees for New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox at 0.59

  • 06:29 PM
    0X0x8605679A98a2C0730ff4f8aFc282a351601A18a1-1770361502280
    $2.02

    Bought 4.809522 Chicago White Sox for New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox at 0.42

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

3D1
0x3DFb…8185
Event PnL
+$120.32
Volume
$188,887.77
Positions
New York Yankees
EZ2
Eztennis
Event PnL
+$492.95
Volume
$98,386.40
Positions
Chicago White Sox
SD3
SDTrading
Event PnL
+$250.00
Volume
$50,000.00
Positions
Chicago White Sox
LA4
laozishudaosan
Event PnL
+$66.05
Volume
$13,210.00
Positions
Chicago White Sox
VE5
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
+$20.03
Volume
$12,072.97
Positions
Chicago White SoxNo
DV6
dv-pm
Event PnL
+$59.69
Volume
$11,939.00
Positions
Chicago White Sox
CO7
ComingBack
Event PnL
+$51.73
Volume
$10,344.83
Positions
New York Yankees
NO8
no1dodgersfan
Event PnL
-$39.98
Volume
$8,592.10
Positions
Chicago White SoxYes

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox"?

As of the latest update, O/U 8.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by O/U 7.5 at 9,950% and O/U 6.5 at 9,950%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $486.8K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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