New York Mets vs. Chicago White Sox

$202K Vol
Aug 30, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Chicago White Sox 51.5%
New York Mets 48.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “New York Mets vs. Chicago White Sox”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Extra Innings is dominating the market with an overwhelming 5,000% chance of winning. O/U 5.5 follows in second place at 5,000%, while O/U 4.5 sits in third with 5,000%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $202K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Extra Innings (5,000%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Extra Innings is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 5,000¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • O/U 5.5 (5,000%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, O/U 5.5 maintains a 5,000% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,000¢.
  • O/U 4.5 (5,000%): Sitting in third place with a 5,000% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward O/U 4.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes O/U 3.5 (5,000%), O/U 2.5 (5,000%), and O/U 6.5 (2,400%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like New York Mets vs. Chicago White Sox are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Extra Innings5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
2O/U 5.55000.0%$2.0K5000¢-4900¢
3O/U 4.55000.0%$2625000¢-4900¢
4O/U 3.55000.0%$45000¢-4900¢
5O/U 2.55000.0%$105000¢-4900¢
6O/U 6.52400.0%$142400¢-2300¢
7New York Mets vs. Chicago White Sox1450.0%$224.7K1450¢-1350¢
8Spread -1.51300.0%$5.9K1300¢-1200¢
9Spread -2.5400.0%$12.9K400¢-300¢
10Spread -1.5250.0%$5.9K250¢-150¢
11Spread -2.5250.0%$12.9K250¢-150¢
12O/U 7.5210.0%$1.6K210¢-110¢
13O/U 8.555.0%$9.0K55¢45¢
14O/U 9.555.0%$28455¢45¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Mets and Chicago White Sox, scheduled for August 23 at 2:10PM ET:

This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game.

This market will resolve to "Chicago White Sox" if the Chicago White Sox win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Aug 23, 2026

  • 08:37 AM
    YUYurizaaa
    $1.47

    Sold 3 Chicago White Sox for New York Mets vs. Chicago White Sox at 0.49

  • 08:34 AM
    WIwiwibtc
    $2.65

    Bought 5 No for Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Chicago White Sox at 0.53

  • 08:19 AM
    YUYurizaaa
    $1.50

    Bought 3 Chicago White Sox for New York Mets vs. Chicago White Sox at 0.5

  • 08:09 AM
    ATathousandlivez
    $16.00

    Bought 23.529409 New York Mets for Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5) at 0.68

  • 08:08 AM
    ATathousandlivez
    $16.00

    Bought 31.372548 New York Mets for New York Mets vs. Chicago White Sox at 0.51

  • 08:07 AM
    GIGiannisAntetokounmpo
    $3.00

    Bought 6 Chicago White Sox for New York Mets vs. Chicago White Sox at 0.5

  • 07:56 AM
    PEpeachfuzz1
    $3.00

    Bought 5.882351 New York Mets for New York Mets vs. Chicago White Sox at 0.51

  • 07:34 AM
    0X0xC36f9488b4a094B260bF4CBd1ae61137aF64aFaE-1769016718648
    $1.70

    Bought 3.4 Chicago White Sox for New York Mets vs. Chicago White Sox at 0.5

  • 07:12 AM
    0X0xCCaB7226737954e0F0077066E5653Db5Bf4246f9-1775213775756
    $3.00

    Bought 5.66 No for Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Chicago White Sox at 0.53

  • 07:09 AM
    SSSs999
    $3.00

    Bought 6 Chicago White Sox for New York Mets vs. Chicago White Sox at 0.5

  • 06:46 AM
    QUquavoo
    $4.77

    Bought 9 No for Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Chicago White Sox at 0.53

  • 06:24 AM
    NEnemed
    $2.00

    Bought 3.921567 New York Mets for New York Mets vs. Chicago White Sox at 0.51

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

HO1
HomeRunHazard
Event PnL
-$864.92
Volume
$47,398.59
Positions
New York MetsNew York MetsOver+7
4F2
0x4f2
Event PnL
+$414.78
Volume
$37,677.17
Positions
Chicago White SoxChicago White SoxChicago White Sox+3
3D3
0x3DFb…8185
Event PnL
+$170.44
Volume
$35,862.94
Positions
Chicago White Sox
FE4
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
-$6,395.32
Volume
$33,699.19
Positions
New York MetsNew York MetsChicago White Sox+3
AN5
AnonymousUsername
Event PnL
+$49.68
Volume
$23,379.74
Positions
New York MetsOver
IC6
ic4cream
Event PnL
-$91.17
Volume
$18,233.00
Positions
Chicago White Sox
VE7
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
-$989.13
Volume
$15,000.01
Positions
New York Mets
CU8
curie
Event PnL
+$4,234.68
Volume
$14,541.00
Positions
Chicago White SoxUnderNew York Mets+2

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "New York Mets vs. Chicago White Sox"?

As of the latest update, Extra Innings leads the field as the frontrunner with a 5,000% win probability, followed by O/U 5.5 at 5,000% and O/U 4.5 at 5,000%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $202K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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