New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves

$1.3M Vol
Jul 14, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
New York Mets 91.5%
Atlanta Braves 8.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Spread -1.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 5,050% chance of winning. Extra Innings follows in second place at 5,000%, while O/U 6.5 sits in third with 5,000%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $1.3M, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Spread -1.5 (5,050%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Spread -1.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 5,050¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $4.0K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Extra Innings (5,000%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Extra Innings maintains a 5,000% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,000¢.
  • O/U 6.5 (5,000%): Sitting in third place with a 5,000% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward O/U 6.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Spread -2.5 (4,950%), Spread -3.5 (4,950%), and O/U 7.5 (3,300%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like O/U 5.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Spread -1.55050.0%$4.0K5050¢-4950¢
2Extra Innings5000.0%$315000¢-4900¢
3O/U 6.55000.0%$7765000¢-4900¢
4Spread -2.54950.0%$37.7K4950¢-4850¢
5Spread -3.54950.0%$1454950¢-4850¢
6O/U 7.53300.0%$2.1K3300¢-3200¢
7O/U 5.52850.0%$212850¢-2750¢
8New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves1950.0%$726.9K1950¢-1850¢
9O/U 9.51050.0%$215.0K1050¢-950¢
10O/U 8.5800.0%$46.3K800¢-700¢
11Spread -1.5500.0%$4.0K500¢-400¢
12O/U 10.5400.0%$931400¢-300¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Mets and Atlanta Braves, scheduled for July 6 at 7:15PM ET:

This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game.

This market will resolve to "Atlanta Braves" if the Atlanta Braves win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Jul 6, 2026

  • 08:51 PM
    $20.00

    Bought 37.037036 Atlanta Braves for New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves at 0.54

  • 08:49 PM
    MAmacacamaniac
    $16.42

    Bought 30.41 Atlanta Braves for New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves at 0.54

  • 08:48 PM
    JUJubosaurus9
    $3.37

    Bought 5.349205 New York Mets for Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5) at 0.63

  • 08:48 PM
    JUJubosaurus9
    $4.68

    Bought 9.957445 New York Mets for New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves at 0.47

  • 08:47 PM
    0X0x4B39020eB64E9237D12F23Bb3fc6E1C728918b50-1782228034225
    $40.50

    Bought 75 Atlanta Braves for New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves at 0.54

  • 08:47 PM
    JUJubosaurus9
    $19.54

    Bought 34.892856 Under for New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5 at 0.56

  • 08:42 PM
    EOeok788
    $105.00

    Bought 194.444443 Atlanta Braves for New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves at 0.54

  • 08:38 PM
    CAcarlosortiz2608
    $5.17

    Bought 11 New York Mets for New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves at 0.47

  • 08:37 PM
    ANAnik67
    $10.00

    Bought 18.518517 Atlanta Braves for New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves at 0.54

  • 08:33 PM
    LOLosttotal
    $170.00

    Bought 447.36842 Atlanta Braves for Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5) at 0.38

  • 08:17 PM
    DOdocshark
    $2.00

    Bought 3.703702 Atlanta Braves for New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves at 0.54

  • 08:15 PM
    0X0x31b9c0Af7d2BD77b964dc8f5d8c6D492F1d5EF61-1756355564561
    $1.00

    Bought 1.85185 Atlanta Braves for New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves at 0.54

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

PH1
phonesculptor
Event PnL
+$78.13
Volume
$15,625.02
Positions
New York Mets
NI2
NiFengFanPan
Event PnL
-$70.70
Volume
$14,140.00
Positions
Atlanta Braves
TH3
TheDon
Event PnL
-$137.41
Volume
$10,300.23
Positions
Atlanta Braves
HO4
HomeRunHazard
Event PnL
+$96.17
Volume
$5,631.73
Positions
New York MetsOver
585
0x58b9…2983
Event PnL
-$14.55
Volume
$3,583.66
Positions
New York MetsOver
ZA6
zagzig123
Event PnL
-$17.46
Volume
$3,492.68
Positions
Atlanta Braves
A67
0xa697…6031
Event PnL
+$15.57
Volume
$2,513.09
Positions
New York MetsNew York Mets
SQ8
SquatFT
Event PnL
-$30.00
Volume
$2,000.00
Positions
New York Mets

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves"?

As of the latest update, Spread -1.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 5,050% win probability, followed by Extra Innings at 5,000% and O/U 6.5 at 5,000%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $1.3M, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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