Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves

$168.2K Vol
Sep 4, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Atlanta Braves 53.5%
Los Angeles Dodgers 46.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, NRFI is dominating the market with an overwhelming 39.5% chance of winning. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $168.2K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • NRFI (39.5%): Currently commanding the highest probability, NRFI is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 40¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $1.7K in volume.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1NRFI39.5%$1.7K40¢61¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Los Angeles Dodgers and Atlanta Braves, scheduled for August 27 at 7:15PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Dodgers" if the Los Angeles Dodgers win the game.

This market will resolve to "Atlanta Braves" if the Atlanta Braves win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

AI Valuation Analysis: Finding Market Mispricings & EV Gaps

While human consensus and speculative volume shape the broader prediction market, our quantitative algorithms offer a data-driven counter-perspective. By analyzing fundamental signals, underlying trends and historical distributions, our AI Valuation model calculates an independent “Fair Value” probability for each outcome.

Comparing this Fair Value against the current Trade Value uncovers major disparities — known as the Expected Value (EV) Gap. Contracts with a positive EV Gap represent statistically underpriced outcomes, whereas a negative EV Gap flags a potential market overreaction.

Top AI Alpha & Mispriced Arbitrage Opportunities

Based on the latest data model run, several key contracts stand out with significant deviations:

  • The Most Overvalued Outcome NRFI currently trades at 39.5%, but our AI places its Fair Value at just 37.4%. This creates a large negative EV Gap of -2.1%, suggesting the crowd may be overhyping this outcome and driving the premium too high.
MarketTrade ValueFair ValueEV Gap
NRFI39.5%37.4%-2.1%

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Aug 27, 2026

  • 09:24 AM
    NInigiri99
    $1.44

    Bought 3 Under for Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 6.5 at 0.48

  • 09:24 AM
    HOHomeRunHazard
    $125.18

    Bought 205.22 Under for Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5 at 0.61

  • 09:21 AM
    LILightSword707
    $20.00

    Bought 41.666665 Under for Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 6.5 at 0.48

  • 09:16 AM
    NInigiri99
    $101.87

    Bought 167 Under for Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5 at 0.61

  • 09:07 AM
    NInigiri99
    $124.44

    Bought 204 Under for Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5 at 0.61

  • 08:40 AM
    YOYosooooooo
    $20.00

    Bought 38.461537 Atlanta Braves for Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves at 0.52

  • 08:09 AM
    HOhonduraslover
    $1.00

    Bought 2.040815 Los Angeles Dodgers for Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves at 0.49

  • 08:06 AM
    FUfunnyday
    $98.00

    Bought 200 Los Angeles Dodgers for Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves at 0.49

  • 07:59 AM
    MWmwsking
    $20.00

    Bought 40.816325 Los Angeles Dodgers for Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves at 0.49

  • 07:31 AM
    WIwiwibtc
    $3.05

    Bought 5 No for Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves at 0.61

  • 07:13 AM
    0X0x6e645b730cc75b6C2f0DB73f12Aa0d16f6A2c072-1766177659045
    $2.75

    Bought 5 Under for Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 at 0.55

  • 07:02 AM
    0O0ooogway
    $5.00

    Bought 9.259258 Over for Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 6.5 at 0.54

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

SD1
SDTrading
Event PnL
-$498.62
Volume
$78,349.04
Positions
Los Angeles DodgersOverOver+1
PL2
pleaseplease123
Event PnL
+$287.66
Volume
$60,602.37
Positions
Atlanta Braves
NI3
nigiri99
Event PnL
+$157.39
Volume
$19,466.00
Positions
UnderUnderNo+3
HO4
HomeRunHazard
Event PnL
+$62.80
Volume
$13,335.42
Positions
UnderUnderAtlanta Braves+3
3D5
0x3DFb…8185
Event PnL
+$33.90
Volume
$6,904.68
Positions
Atlanta Braves
RO6
roldy
Event PnL
+$27.79
Volume
$5,554.99
Positions
Atlanta Braves
GA7
garabanga
Event PnL
+$24.67
Volume
$4,933.77
Positions
Over
A68
0xa697…6031
Event PnL
-$2.81
Volume
$4,785.00
Positions
OverUnderOver

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves"?

As of the latest update, NRFI leads the field as the frontrunner with a 39.5% win probability. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $168.2K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

How does the AI Fair Value differ from the live Market Trade Value?

The live Market Trade Value reflects public sentiment, order-book momentum and speculative capital. Our AI Fair Value is computed independently with quantitative models that strip out hype to focus on underlying data. When the two diverge, it creates an EV Gap, flagging where the market may be mispricing an outcome.

Is the market consensus overreacting to any specific outcome?

Yes — our data suggests a notable overreaction around NRFI. The crowd has pushed its live Trade Value up to 39.5%, yet our Fair Value assessment puts its real likelihood at just 37.4%, a negative EV Gap of -2.1% that signals the contract is overpriced.

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