Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins

$173.9K Vol
Aug 6, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Kansas City Royals 100.0%
Minnesota Twins 0.1%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. Spread -1.5 follows in second place at 9,995%, while Spread -2.5 sits in third with 9,995%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $173.9K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $192.5K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Spread -1.5 (9,995%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Spread -1.5 maintains a 9,995% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,995¢.
  • Spread -2.5 (9,995%): Sitting in third place with a 9,995% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Spread -2.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Spread -3.5 (9,945%), Extra Innings (55%), and O/U 7.5 (55%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like O/U 6.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins9995.0%$192.5K9995¢-9895¢
2Spread -1.59995.0%$3.5K9995¢-9895¢
3Spread -2.59995.0%$9.6K9995¢-9895¢
4Spread -3.59945.0%9945¢-9845¢
5Extra Innings55.0%55¢45¢
6O/U 7.555.0%$54655¢45¢
7O/U 6.555.0%$74055¢45¢
8O/U 5.555.0%$6.2K55¢45¢
9Spread -4.545.0%$5.1K45¢55¢
10Spread -1.55.0%$3.5K95¢
11O/U 9.55.0%$8.0K95¢
12Spread -2.55.0%$9.6K95¢
13O/U 8.55.0%$23.3K95¢
14O/U 10.55.0%$1.9K95¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Kansas City Royals and Minnesota Twins, scheduled for July 29 at 7:40PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Kansas City Royals" if the Kansas City Royals win the game.

This market will resolve to "Minnesota Twins" if the Minnesota Twins win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Jul 29, 2026

  • 07:42 PM
    2D2Dro
    $100.75

    Bought 155 Minnesota Twins for Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins at 0.65

  • 07:40 PM
    2C2cornot2c
    $100.00

    Bought 277.777776 Kansas City Royals for Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins at 0.36

  • 07:37 PM
    DAdamnedspot
    $3.00

    Bought 8.333332 Kansas City Royals for Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins at 0.36

  • 07:20 PM
    THtheOwlAndRake
    $23.76

    Bought 66 Kansas City Royals for Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins at 0.36

  • 07:12 PM
    0X0xAAbB8Bb3df71b7CfB6c886453c2dAdaaB
    $20.00

    Bought 38.461537 No for Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins at 0.52

  • 07:04 PM
    $5.25

    Bought 8.076922 Minnesota Twins for Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins at 0.65

  • 06:50 PM
    DOdota2222
    $1.80

    Bought 5 Kansas City Royals for Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins at 0.36

  • 06:32 PM
    0X0x546a5166295433dddA571cdE5d077Fc46abD1988-1770842732162
    $4.02

    Bought 6.184614 Minnesota Twins for Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins at 0.65

  • 06:24 PM
    0X0x8605679A98a2C0730ff4f8aFc282a351601A18a1-1770361502280
    $1.00

    Bought 2.777776 Kansas City Royals for Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins at 0.36

  • 06:03 PM
    AAaaronkozinets
    $100.80

    Bought 280 Kansas City Royals for Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins at 0.36

  • 05:57 PM
    JBJby
    $73.70

    Bought 204.71 Kansas City Royals for Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins at 0.36

  • 05:21 PM
    XAXaviDH
    $1.00

    Bought 1.53846 Minnesota Twins for Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins at 0.65

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

1B1
0x1b20…7930
Event PnL
+$231.03
Volume
$46,205.41
Positions
Kansas City Royals
KK2
kkookkoo
Event PnL
-$161.19
Volume
$32,245.31
Positions
Minnesota Twins
AN3
AnonymousUsername
Event PnL
+$15.85
Volume
$8,837.86
Positions
YesMinnesota Twins
FD4
0xfDfc…9424
Event PnL
-$67.93
Volume
$6,792.53
Positions
No
CO5
comon119
Event PnL
-$30.00
Volume
$6,000.00
Positions
Minnesota Twins
FE6
Feromont
Event PnL
-$19.23
Volume
$3,846.15
Positions
Minnesota Twins
A07
0xa0f2…1848
Event PnL
+$0.55
Volume
$2,255.96
Positions
Kansas City Royals
WA8
wapol
Event PnL
-$5.12
Volume
$1,867.97
Positions
Kansas City Royals

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins"?

As of the latest update, Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by Spread -1.5 at 9,995% and Spread -2.5 at 9,995%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $173.9K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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