Cleveland Guardians vs. Colorado Rockies
Core Summary
According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Cleveland Guardians vs. Colorado Rockies”, traders have formed a strong consensus.
Currently, 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. Cleveland Guardians vs. Colorado Rockies follows in second place at 9,250%, while Spread -1.5 sits in third with 8,350%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $189K, reflecting intense industry interest.
Breakdown of Competitive Tiers
To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:
🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader
- 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $66 in volume.
🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Colorado Rockies (9,250%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Cleveland Guardians vs. Colorado Rockies maintains a 9,250% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,250¢.
- Spread -1.5 (8,350%): Sitting in third place with a 8,350% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Spread -1.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.
🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)
Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:
- Alternative Options: This includes Spread -2.5 (7,450%), O/U 10.5 (7,050%), and Spread -3.5 (6,250%).
- Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like O/U 11.5 are still attracting notable interest.
Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard
The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:
| Rank | Predicted Outcome | Win Probability | Trading Volume | Buy Yes (Cost) | Buy No (Cost) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 | 9995.0% | $66 | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 2 | Cleveland Guardians vs. Colorado Rockies | 9250.0% | $148.2K | 9250¢ | -9150¢ |
| 3 | Spread -1.5 | 8350.0% | $1.8K | 8350¢ | -8250¢ |
| 4 | Spread -2.5 | 7450.0% | $1.6K | 7450¢ | -7350¢ |
| 5 | O/U 10.5 | 7050.0% | $16.6K | 7050¢ | -6950¢ |
| 6 | Spread -3.5 | 6250.0% | $23 | 6250¢ | -6150¢ |
| 7 | O/U 11.5 | 5550.0% | $5.7K | 5550¢ | -5450¢ |
| 8 | Extra Innings | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 9 | Spread -7.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 10 | O/U 16.5 | 4950.0% | $7 | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 11 | O/U 12.5 | 4350.0% | $2.3K | 4350¢ | -4250¢ |
| 12 | Spread -4.5 | 4200.0% | $23 | 4200¢ | -4100¢ |
| 13 | O/U 13.5 | 3050.0% | $55 | 3050¢ | -2950¢ |
| 14 | Spread -5.5 | 2900.0% | $941 | 2900¢ | -2800¢ |
| 15 | O/U 14.5 | 2550.0% | $12.1K | 2550¢ | -2450¢ |
| 16 | O/U 15.5 | 2200.0% | $11 | 2200¢ | -2100¢ |
| 17 | Spread -6.5 | 2000.0% | — | 2000¢ | -1900¢ |
| 18 | Spread -1.5 | 360.0% | $1.8K | 360¢ | -260¢ |
| 19 | Spread -2.5 | 100.0% | $1.6K | 100¢ | 0¢ |
| 20 | 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 | 50.0% | $66 | 50¢ | 50¢ |
Result Rules
In the upcoming MLB game between the Cleveland Guardians and Colorado Rockies, scheduled for August 23 at 3:10PM ET:
This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game.
This market will resolve to "Colorado Rockies" if the Colorado Rockies win the game.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Trade Activities
Here is the trade activities for this event.
Aug 23, 2026
- 09:06 PMOSosmak$10.02
Bought 22.77 Under for Cleveland Guardians vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5 at 0.44
- 09:05 PMASashkabrista$6.40
Bought 10.158729 Over for Cleveland Guardians vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5 at 0.63
- 09:05 PM1M1MillionInc$1.00
Bought 1.5873 Over for Cleveland Guardians vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5 at 0.63
- 09:05 PMPUpups10$0.61
Bought 1 Over for Cleveland Guardians vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5 at 0.61
- 09:05 PM1W1winstreak1$5.49
Bought 9 Over for Cleveland Guardians vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5 at 0.61
- 09:02 PMCHchillhouse123$61.00
Bought 100 Over for Cleveland Guardians vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5 at 0.61
- 09:01 PM0X0x85264d29Fa7279946D15105C17eB6C2533f572aA-1769753734561$9.88
Bought 35.285713 Colorado Rockies for Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5) at 0.28
- 08:59 PMUPuptime0724$258.05
Bought 300.058135 Cleveland Guardians for Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5) at 0.86
- 08:59 PMUPuptime0724$51.00
Bought 300 Colorado Rockies for Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5) at 0.17
- 08:57 PMCHchillhouse123$17.00
Bought 100 Colorado Rockies for Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5) at 0.17
- 08:56 PMASashkabrista$7.00
Bought 10.144925 Over for Cleveland Guardians vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5 at 0.69
- 08:54 PM——$1.55
Bought 5 Under for Cleveland Guardians vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5 at 0.31
Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current market consensus on "Cleveland Guardians vs. Colorado Rockies"?
As of the latest update, 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by Cleveland Guardians vs. Colorado Rockies at 9,250% and Spread -1.5 at 8,350%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $189K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.
