Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals - Player Props

$34 Vol
Jul 30, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
No trend data

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals - Player Props”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Dustin May: Strikeouts O/U 2.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 6,000% chance of winning. Matthew Boyd: Strikeouts O/U 2.5 follows in second place at 5,800%, while Dustin May: Strikeouts O/U 4.5 sits in third with 5,650%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $34, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Dustin May: Strikeouts O/U 2.5 (6,000%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Dustin May: Strikeouts O/U 2.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 6,000¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Matthew Boyd: Strikeouts O/U 2.5 (5,800%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Matthew Boyd: Strikeouts O/U 2.5 maintains a 5,800% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,800¢.
  • Dustin May: Strikeouts O/U 4.5 (5,650%): Sitting in third place with a 5,650% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Dustin May: Strikeouts O/U 4.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Matthew Boyd: Strikeouts O/U 4.5 (5,000%), JJ Wetherholt: Home Runs O/U 1.5 (4,900%), and Nico Hoerner: Home Runs O/U 1.5 (4,900%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Dustin May: Strikeouts O/U 3.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Dustin May: Strikeouts O/U 2.56000.0%6000¢-5900¢
2Matthew Boyd: Strikeouts O/U 2.55800.0%5800¢-5700¢
3Dustin May: Strikeouts O/U 4.55650.0%$345650¢-5550¢
4Matthew Boyd: Strikeouts O/U 4.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
5JJ Wetherholt: Home Runs O/U 1.54900.0%4900¢-4800¢
6Nico Hoerner: Home Runs O/U 1.54900.0%4900¢-4800¢
7Dustin May: Strikeouts O/U 3.54900.0%4900¢-4800¢
8Matthew Boyd: Strikeouts O/U 3.54550.0%4550¢-4450¢
9Jordan Walker: Home Runs O/U 1.52900.0%2900¢-2800¢
10Nelson Velázquez: Home Runs O/U 1.52850.0%2850¢-2750¢
11Alec Burleson: Home Runs O/U 1.52800.0%2800¢-2700¢
12Alex Bregman: Home Runs O/U 1.52800.0%2800¢-2700¢
13Iván Herrera: Home Runs O/U 1.52800.0%2800¢-2700¢
14Michael Busch: Home Runs O/U 1.52800.0%2800¢-2700¢
15Seiya Suzuki: Home Runs O/U 1.52800.0%2800¢-2700¢
16Masyn Winn: Home Runs O/U 1.52800.0%2800¢-2700¢
17Pedro Ramírez: Home Runs O/U 1.52700.0%2700¢-2600¢
18Jordan Walker: Home Runs O/U 0.51600.0%1600¢-1500¢
19Pete Crow-Armstrong: Home Runs O/U 0.51450.0%1450¢-1350¢
20Seiya Suzuki: Home Runs O/U 0.51200.0%1200¢-1100¢
21Michael Busch: Home Runs O/U 0.51100.0%1100¢-1000¢
22Alec Burleson: Home Runs O/U 0.51000.0%1000¢-900¢
23Iván Herrera: Home Runs O/U 0.51000.0%1000¢-900¢
24Nelson Velázquez: Home Runs O/U 0.51000.0%1000¢-900¢
25Masyn Winn: Home Runs O/U 0.5750.0%750¢-650¢
26Alex Bregman: Home Runs O/U 0.5650.0%650¢-550¢
27JJ Wetherholt: Home Runs O/U 0.5650.0%650¢-550¢
28Pedro Ramírez: Home Runs O/U 0.5550.0%550¢-450¢
29Nico Hoerner: Home Runs O/U 0.5500.0%500¢-400¢
30Pete Crow-Armstrong: Home Runs O/U 1.5200.0%200¢-100¢

Result Rules

Player prop markets for the MLB game between the Chicago Cubs and St. Louis Cardinals, scheduled for July 29 at 7:45 PM ET.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Jul 29, 2026

  • 06:49 AM
    FNfnaot
    $10.05

    Bought 16.75 Over for Dustin May: Strikeouts O/U 4.5 at 0.6

  • 06:47 AM
    RArajonrondough
    $10.33

    Bought 17.5 Over for Dustin May: Strikeouts O/U 4.5 at 0.59

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

RA1
RadioFreeZerg
Event PnL
+$4.81
Volume
$17.50
Positions
Under
RA2
rajonrondough
Event PnL
-$4.81
Volume
$17.50
Positions
Over
FN3
fnaot
Event PnL
-$4.72
Volume
$16.75
Positions
Over
DA4
dado2
Event PnL
+$3.35
Volume
$11.75
Positions
Under
AN5
AntiVaxxer
Event PnL
+$1.38
Volume
$5.00
Positions
Under

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals - Player Props"?

As of the latest update, Dustin May: Strikeouts O/U 2.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 6,000% win probability, followed by Matthew Boyd: Strikeouts O/U 2.5 at 5,800% and Dustin May: Strikeouts O/U 4.5 at 5,650%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $34, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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