Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees

$63.6K Vol
Sep 5, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
New York Yankees 59.5%
Boston Red Sox 40.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 6,950% chance of winning. O/U 6.5 follows in second place at 5,850%, while 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 sits in third with 5,550%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $63.6K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 (6,950%): Currently commanding the highest probability, 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 6,950¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • O/U 6.5 (5,850%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, O/U 6.5 maintains a 5,850% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,850¢.
  • 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 (5,550%): Sitting in third place with a 5,550% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes O/U 7.5 (4,550%), NRFI (4,400%), and 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 (4,250%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
11st 5 Innings O/U 2.56950.0%6950¢-6850¢
2O/U 6.55850.0%$5225850¢-5750¢
31st 5 Innings O/U 3.55550.0%5550¢-5450¢
4O/U 7.54550.0%$4244550¢-4450¢
5NRFI4400.0%4400¢-4300¢
61st 5 Innings O/U 4.54250.0%4250¢-4150¢
7Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees4050.0%$62.2K4050¢-3950¢
8Spread -1.53950.0%$1.0K3950¢-3850¢
9O/U 8.53850.0%$2773850¢-3750¢
101st 5 Innings Spread -1.53850.0%3850¢-3750¢
111st 5 Innings O/U 5.53000.0%3000¢-2900¢
12Spread -2.52950.0%$402950¢-2850¢
13Spread -1.52850.0%$1.0K2850¢-2750¢
141st 5 Innings O/U 6.52050.0%$52050¢-1950¢
15Spread -2.51950.0%$401950¢-1850¢
161st 5 Innings Spread -1.51850.0%1850¢-1750¢
17Extra Innings1100.0%1100¢-1000¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Boston Red Sox and New York Yankees, scheduled for August 28 at 7:15PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox" if the Boston Red Sox win the game.

This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Aug 28, 2026

  • 09:41 AM
    0X0xA188633D5A62D73bCe9c3eB9EdE5f13b434162Ea-1776840905618
    $30.00

    Bought 57.692306 Under for Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5 at 0.52

  • 09:41 AM
    0X0xA188633D5A62D73bCe9c3eB9EdE5f13b434162Ea-1776840905618
    $30.00

    Bought 71.42857 New York Yankees for Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5) at 0.42

  • 09:38 AM
    FLFlaznorp
    $28.00

    Bought 40 Boston Red Sox for Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5) at 0.7

  • 08:43 AM
    0X0x11379F47BC32C570AFA403fdB6173d225674CBFf-1781447761460
    $5.00

    Bought 9.615383 Under for Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5 at 0.52

  • 08:43 AM
    H8h82lose84
    $7.03

    Bought 17.14634 Boston Red Sox for Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees at 0.41

  • 08:43 AM
    $7.03

    Bought 17.14634 Boston Red Sox for Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees at 0.41

  • 08:43 AM
    0X0x3DFb153c197D4C19D3B31c1ecD2c7B6860eeabAf-1722957908185
    $10,070.86

    Bought 25177.15 Boston Red Sox for Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees at 0.4

  • 08:42 AM
    0X0x3DFb153c197D4C19D3B31c1ecD2c7B6860eeabAf-1722957908185
    $70.89

    Bought 139 Under for Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5 at 0.51

  • 08:13 AM
    NEnemed
    $2.00

    Bought 3.278687 New York Yankees for Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees at 0.61

  • 08:10 AM
    POPo1yBot-kkGxEDPqgB
    $4.00

    Bought 6.557376 New York Yankees for Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees at 0.61

  • 08:04 AM
    $1.96

    Sold 3.27 New York Yankees for Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees at 0.6

  • 08:03 AM
    $2.00

    Bought 3.278687 New York Yankees for Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees at 0.61

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

3D1
0x3DFb…8185
Event PnL
+$278.54
Volume
$55,693.99
Positions
Boston Red SoxUnder
N32
N34
Event PnL
-$173.55
Volume
$34,716.67
Positions
New York Yankees
MO3
monkeymashingkeyboard
Event PnL
-$100.00
Volume
$20,000.00
Positions
New York Yankees
PL4
pltrkr111
Event PnL
+$12.40
Volume
$2,499.96
Positions
Boston Red Sox
AB5
0xAbF5…1494
Event PnL
-$10.00
Volume
$2,000.00
Positions
New York Yankees
BU6
budiful2
Event PnL
-$5.00
Volume
$1,000.00
Positions
New York Yankees
TH7
Thatguyjay
Event PnL
-$4.84
Volume
$756.94
Positions
New York YankeesNew York Yankees
A68
0xa697…6031
Event PnL
+$1.90
Volume
$376.34
Positions
Boston Red Sox

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees"?

As of the latest update, 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 6,950% win probability, followed by O/U 6.5 at 5,850% and 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 at 5,550%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $63.6K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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