Baltimore Orioles vs. St. Louis Cardinals

$316.7K Vol
Sep 3, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Baltimore Orioles 84.0%
St. Louis Cardinals 16.0%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Baltimore Orioles vs. St. Louis Cardinals”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, O/U 14.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,950% chance of winning. O/U 15.5 follows in second place at 5,400%, while Baltimore Orioles vs. St. Louis Cardinals sits in third with 5,280%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $316.7K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • O/U 14.5 (9,950%): Currently commanding the highest probability, O/U 14.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,950¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $72 in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • O/U 15.5 (5,400%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, O/U 15.5 maintains a 5,400% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,400¢.
  • Baltimore Orioles vs. St. Louis Cardinals (5,280%): Sitting in third place with a 5,280% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Baltimore Orioles vs. St. Louis Cardinals, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Extra Innings (5,000%), Spread -4.5 (5,000%), and Spread -5.5 (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Spread -6.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1O/U 14.59950.0%$729950¢-9850¢
2O/U 15.55400.0%$2.2K5400¢-5300¢
3Baltimore Orioles vs. St. Louis Cardinals5280.0%$250.7K5280¢-5180¢
4Extra Innings5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
5Spread -4.55000.0%$475000¢-4900¢
6Spread -5.55000.0%$515000¢-4900¢
7Spread -6.55000.0%$55000¢-4900¢
8Spread -7.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
9O/U 17.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
10Spread -3.53900.0%$3473900¢-3800¢
11O/U 16.53900.0%$3.0K3900¢-3800¢
12Spread -1.52350.0%$6.1K2350¢-2250¢
13Spread -2.51400.0%$8.0K1400¢-1300¢
14Spread -1.5605.0%$6.1K605¢-505¢
15Spread -2.5205.0%$8.0K205¢-105¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Baltimore Orioles and St. Louis Cardinals, scheduled for August 26 at 7:45PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles" if the Baltimore Orioles win the game.

This market will resolve to "St. Louis Cardinals" if the St. Louis Cardinals win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Aug 26, 2026

  • 09:32 PM
    NInigiri99
    $855.00

    Bought 1500 Over for Baltimore Orioles vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5 at 0.57

  • 09:31 PM
    VKVkey5
    $1.40

    Bought 3.181817 Under for Baltimore Orioles vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5 at 0.44

  • 09:31 PM
    0X0xfeED88C9F141D7057608335Cd540245279423aEC-1787056695453
    $2.98

    Bought 6.772726 Under for Baltimore Orioles vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5 at 0.44

  • 09:31 PM
    0X0xfeED88C9F141D7057608335Cd540245279423aEC-1787056695453
    $1.00

    Bought 2.272726 Under for Baltimore Orioles vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5 at 0.44

  • 09:31 PM
    NInigiri99
    $66.12

    Bought 116 Over for Baltimore Orioles vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5 at 0.57

  • 09:31 PM
    NInigiri99
    $788.88

    Bought 1384 Over for Baltimore Orioles vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5 at 0.57

  • 09:19 PM
    VKVkey5
    $1.23

    Bought 2.795453 Under for Baltimore Orioles vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5 at 0.44

  • 09:19 PM
    NInigiri99
    $788.88

    Bought 1384 Over for Baltimore Orioles vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5 at 0.57

  • 09:17 PM
    0X0xB70df0371948BF1e5Ad1536dbec5b48Fe404131C-1770931566642
    $270.70

    Bought 530.788234 Over for Baltimore Orioles vs. St. Louis Cardinals: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 at 0.51

  • 08:47 PM
    0X0x03A273B562e86A0244B3413d79D49E9Ac629165B-1758344194919
    $2.00

    Sold 3.57 Over for Baltimore Orioles vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5 at 0.56

  • 08:43 PM
    $5.00

    Bought 10 St. Louis Cardinals for Baltimore Orioles vs. St. Louis Cardinals at 0.5

  • 08:39 PM
    0X0x03A273B562e86A0244B3413d79D49E9Ac629165B-1758344194919
    $5.00

    Sold 10.41 Over for Baltimore Orioles vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5 at 0.48

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

3D1
0x3DFb…8185
Event PnL
-$133.41
Volume
$109,023.69
Positions
Baltimore Orioles
FE2
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
-$506.33
Volume
$79,487.60
Positions
St. Louis CardinalsSt. Louis CardinalsUnder+1
RN3
RN1
Event PnL
+$1,895.61
Volume
$22,687.32
Positions
St. Louis CardinalsBaltimore OriolesSt. Louis Cardinals+1
JE4
Jeffplatter
Event PnL
-$342.70
Volume
$17,671.18
Positions
St. Louis Cardinals
4F5
0x4f2
Event PnL
+$1,199.92
Volume
$16,340.03
Positions
St. Louis CardinalsSt. Louis CardinalsSt. Louis Cardinals+1
KK6
kkookkoo
Event PnL
-$688.09
Volume
$15,000.00
Positions
Baltimore Orioles
NI7
NiNo999
Event PnL
-$75.00
Volume
$15,000.00
Positions
St. Louis Cardinals
VE8
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
+$0.67
Volume
$14,990.20
Positions
Baltimore Orioles

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Baltimore Orioles vs. St. Louis Cardinals"?

As of the latest update, O/U 14.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,950% win probability, followed by O/U 15.5 at 5,400% and Baltimore Orioles vs. St. Louis Cardinals at 5,280%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $316.7K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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