Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants

$290.1K Vol
Sep 4, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
San Francisco Giants 51.5%
Arizona Diamondbacks 48.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 7,450% chance of winning. 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 follows in second place at 6,200%, while O/U 7.5 sits in third with 5,750%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $290.1K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 (7,450%): Currently commanding the highest probability, 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 7,450¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 (6,200%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 maintains a 6,200% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 6,200¢.
  • O/U 7.5 (5,750%): Sitting in third place with a 5,750% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward O/U 7.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants (5,250%), O/U 8.5 (4,950%), and 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 (4,950%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like NRFI are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
11st 5 Innings O/U 2.57450.0%7450¢-7350¢
21st 5 Innings O/U 3.56200.0%$2826200¢-6100¢
3O/U 7.55750.0%$15.0K5750¢-5650¢
4Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants5250.0%$310.6K5250¢-5150¢
5O/U 8.54950.0%$16.3K4950¢-4850¢
61st 5 Innings Spread -1.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
7NRFI4800.0%$1364800¢-4700¢
81st 5 Innings O/U 4.54700.0%$11.8K4700¢-4600¢
9Extra Innings4600.0%$14600¢-4500¢
10Spread -1.53900.0%$1.3K3900¢-3800¢
11O/U 9.53750.0%$5.9K3750¢-3650¢
121st 5 Innings O/U 5.53700.0%$1.0K3700¢-3600¢
131st 5 Innings Spread -1.53050.0%3050¢-2950¢
14Spread -1.53050.0%$1.3K3050¢-2950¢
15Spread -2.52850.0%$3782850¢-2750¢
161st 5 Innings O/U 6.52650.0%$12650¢-2550¢
17Spread -2.52100.0%$3782100¢-2000¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Arizona Diamondbacks and San Francisco Giants, scheduled for August 27 at 9:45PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Arizona Diamondbacks" if the Arizona Diamondbacks win the game.

This market will resolve to "San Francisco Giants" if the San Francisco Giants win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Aug 27, 2026

  • 09:47 PM
    JUJumperhq
    $42.90

    Bought 130 San Francisco Giants for Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5) at 0.33

  • 09:05 PM
    0X0xBbe262036CD4BBbA01a87Ed5B133E40B3a476158-1767941548188
    $20.00

    Bought 32.258063 San Francisco Giants for Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5) at 0.62

  • 08:48 PM
    FGFgmfactor
    $100.00

    Bought 256.410255 Arizona Diamondbacks for Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5) at 0.39

  • 08:48 PM
    FGFgmfactor
    $200.00

    Bought 392.156861 Arizona Diamondbacks for Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants at 0.51

  • 08:39 PM
    TOtodamooon
    $20.00

    Bought 40 San Francisco Giants for Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants at 0.5

  • 08:10 PM
    DADagestan1
    $110.00

    Bought 215.686273 Arizona Diamondbacks for Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants at 0.51

  • 07:51 PM
    $9.66

    Bought 24.769229 Arizona Diamondbacks for Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5) at 0.39

  • 07:50 PM
    TEterrancetao
    $13.00

    Bought 28.260868 Under for Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5 at 0.46

  • 07:47 PM
    $2.00

    Bought 3.921567 Arizona Diamondbacks for Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants at 0.51

  • 07:46 PM
    0X0x14424be261487a21963EAba55AD986e24964c64f-1783087502938
    $5.00

    Bought 9.090908 Under for Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5 at 0.55

  • 07:46 PM
    DJDjoko21
    $100.00

    Bought 181.81 Under for Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5 at 0.55

  • 07:21 PM
    CLCloudy-898
    $2.00

    Bought 3.921567 Arizona Diamondbacks for Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants at 0.51

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

KI1
kingflop
Event PnL
+$430.37
Volume
$28,689.45
Positions
Arizona Diamondbacks
PO2
Polarize98
Event PnL
-$300.00
Volume
$20,000.00
Positions
San Francisco Giants
MO3
monkeymashingkeyboard
Event PnL
-$300.00
Volume
$19,999.99
Positions
San Francisco Giants
KO4
Kosherlocks
Event PnL
-$3.69
Volume
$19,040.56
Positions
Arizona Diamondbacks
FE5
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
+$223.87
Volume
$14,923.45
Positions
Arizona DiamondbacksArizona Diamondbacks
3D6
0x3DFb…8185
Event PnL
-$499.99
Volume
$10,219.74
Positions
San Francisco Giants
0X7
0x0x23…h8c9
Event PnL
-$153.06
Volume
$10,204.08
Positions
San Francisco Giants
NI8
nigiri99
Event PnL
+$120.13
Volume
$10,141.00
Positions
Arizona DiamondbacksUnderUnder+1

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants"?

As of the latest update, 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 7,450% win probability, followed by 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 at 6,200% and O/U 7.5 at 5,750%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $290.1K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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