CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla - Exact Score

$69.2K Vol
Aug 18, 2026
Resolved
Probability Trend
No 100.0%
Yes 0.1%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla - Exact Score”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, CF Pachuca 2 - 3 Club Puebla is dominating the market with an overwhelming 1.7% chance of winning. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $69.2K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • CF Pachuca 2 - 3 Club Puebla (1.7%): Currently commanding the highest probability, CF Pachuca 2 - 3 Club Puebla is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 2¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $3.6K in volume.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1CF Pachuca 2 - 3 Club Puebla1.7%$3.6K98¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming Liga MX game between CF Pachuca and Club Puebla, scheduled for August 17, 2026 at 11:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla match originally scheduled for August 17, 2026 at 11:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

AI Valuation Analysis: Finding Market Mispricings & EV Gaps

While human consensus and speculative volume shape the broader prediction market, our quantitative algorithms offer a data-driven counter-perspective. By analyzing fundamental signals, underlying trends and historical distributions, our AI Valuation model calculates an independent “Fair Value” probability for each outcome.

Comparing this Fair Value against the current Trade Value uncovers major disparities — known as the Expected Value (EV) Gap. Contracts with a positive EV Gap represent statistically underpriced outcomes, whereas a negative EV Gap flags a potential market overreaction.

Top AI Alpha & Mispriced Arbitrage Opportunities

Based on the latest data model run, several key contracts stand out with significant deviations:

  • The Most Overvalued Outcome CF Pachuca 2 - 3 Club Puebla currently trades at 1.7%, but our AI places its Fair Value at just 1%. This creates a large negative EV Gap of -0.7%, suggesting the crowd may be overhyping this outcome and driving the premium too high.
MarketTrade ValueFair ValueEV Gap
CF Pachuca 2 - 3 Club Puebla1.7%1.0%-0.7%

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Aug 17, 2026

  • 07:06 PM
    NTntea
    $20.38

    Bought 1018.844641 Yes for Exact Score: CF Pachuca 2 - 3 Club Puebla? at 0.02

  • 07:06 PM
    NTntea
    $20.00

    Bought 181.81818 Yes for Exact Score: CF Pachuca 2 - 1 Club Puebla? at 0.11

  • 07:06 PM
    NTntea
    $20.10

    Bought 402 Yes for Exact Score: CF Pachuca 1 - 2 Club Puebla? at 0.05

  • 03:09 PM
    UPUpTheBlues
    $1.00

    Bought 10 Yes for Exact Score: CF Pachuca 1 - 1 Club Puebla? at 0.1

  • 02:39 PM
    QUquavoo
    $2.24

    Bought 56 Yes for Exact Score: CF Pachuca 3 - 2 Club Puebla? at 0.04

  • 01:45 PM
    CPcptjulomi2.0.1
    $1.00

    Bought 1.11111 No for Exact Score: CF Pachuca 2 - 0 Club Puebla? at 0.9

  • 01:45 PM
    SWswisstony
    $4.70

    Bought 47 Yes for Exact Score: CF Pachuca 2 - 0 Club Puebla? at 0.1

  • 12:34 PM
    RURunJack
    $4.75

    Bought 5 No for Exact Score: CF Pachuca 0 - 0 Club Puebla? at 0.95

  • 10:30 AM
    UPUpTheBlues
    $1.00

    Bought 10 Yes for Exact Score: CF Pachuca 1 - 1 Club Puebla? at 0.1

  • 09:08 AM
    UPUpTheBlues
    $1.00

    Bought 10 Yes for Exact Score: CF Pachuca 1 - 1 Club Puebla? at 0.1

  • 08:51 AM
    RArasovs
    $1.10

    Bought 10 Yes for Exact Score: CF Pachuca 2 - 0 Club Puebla? at 0.11

  • 06:21 AM
    QUquavoo
    $1.32

    Bought 33 Yes for Exact Score: CF Pachuca 3 - 2 Club Puebla? at 0.04

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

401
0x40fF…7049
Event PnL
-$305.31
Volume
$17,683.59
Positions
YesYesYes+1
SH2
shxbyron1
Event PnL
+$16.85
Volume
$15,864.28
Positions
NoNo
SN3
SnakeBall
Event PnL
-$130.89
Volume
$15,743.04
Positions
NoNoNo+12
9E4
0x9e3e…9396
Event PnL
-$59.78
Volume
$10,899.23
Positions
YesYesYes+3
RN5
RN1
Event PnL
+$527.96
Volume
$8,868.49
Positions
NoNoNo+7
RU6
Ru386
Event PnL
-$582.81
Volume
$8,411.92
Positions
YesYesYes+3
997
0x99F0…6382
Event PnL
+$133.80
Volume
$7,846.10
Positions
NoNoNo+4
QU8
quavoo
Event PnL
-$211.76
Volume
$6,282.00
Positions
YesYesYes+7

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla - Exact Score"?

As of the latest update, CF Pachuca 2 - 3 Club Puebla leads the field as the frontrunner with a 1.7% win probability. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $69.2K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

How does the AI Fair Value differ from the live Market Trade Value?

The live Market Trade Value reflects public sentiment, order-book momentum and speculative capital. Our AI Fair Value is computed independently with quantitative models that strip out hype to focus on underlying data. When the two diverge, it creates an EV Gap, flagging where the market may be mispricing an outcome.

Is the market consensus overreacting to any specific outcome?

Yes — our data suggests a notable overreaction around CF Pachuca 2 - 3 Club Puebla. The crowd has pushed its live Trade Value up to 1.7%, yet our Fair Value assessment puts its real likelihood at just 1%, a negative EV Gap of -0.7% that signals the contract is overpriced.

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