LoL: Team WE vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

$1.9M Vol
Aug 14, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Team WE 100.0%
Top Esports 0.1%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “LoL: Team WE vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Game 1 Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. Game 2 Winner follows in second place at 9,995%, while Match Winner sits in third with 9,995%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $1.9M, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Game 1 Winner (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Game 1 Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $792.5K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Game 2 Winner (9,995%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Game 2 Winner maintains a 9,995% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,995¢.
  • Match Winner (9,995%): Sitting in third place with a 9,995% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Match Winner, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Odd/Even Total Kills (9,995%), First Blood in Game 1? (9,995%), and Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 1? (9,995%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1? are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Game 1 Winner9995.0%$792.5K9995¢-9895¢
2Game 2 Winner9995.0%$672.6K9995¢-9895¢
3Match Winner9995.0%$397.4K9995¢-9895¢
4Odd/Even Total Kills9995.0%$59995¢-9895¢
5First Blood in Game 1?9995.0%$1.1K9995¢-9895¢
6Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 1?9995.0%$9159995¢-9895¢
7Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?9995.0%$1.8K9995¢-9895¢
8Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 1?9995.0%$1109995¢-9895¢
9Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?9995.0%$109995¢-9895¢
10Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?9995.0%$109995¢-9895¢
11Game Handicap: WE (-1.5) vs Top Esports (+1.5)9995.0%$1769995¢-9895¢
12Total Kills Over/Under 42.5 in Game 1?9960.0%$109960¢-9860¢
13Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?9960.0%$109960¢-9860¢
14Total Kills Over/Under 48.5 in Game 1?9960.0%$109960¢-9860¢
15First Blood in Game 2?9955.0%$1749955¢-9855¢
16Odd/Even Total Kills9950.0%$59950¢-9850¢
17Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor9000.0%9000¢-8900¢
18Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
19Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
20Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
21Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
22Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
23Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
24Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
25Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
26Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
27Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
28Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
29Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
30Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
31Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%$55000¢-4900¢
32Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor1000.0%1000¢-900¢
33Total Kills Over/Under 42.5 in Game 2?45.0%$1045¢55¢
34Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?40.0%$59540¢60¢
35Total Kills Over/Under 51.5 in Game 1?40.0%$1040¢60¢
36Total Kills Over/Under 57.5 in Game 1?40.0%$1040¢60¢
37Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 2?40.0%$1040¢60¢
38Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?40.0%$1040¢60¢
39Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2?40.0%$1040¢60¢
40O/U 2.5 Games5.0%$4.2K95¢
41Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)5.0%$46.4K95¢
42Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 2?5.0%$74895¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the LoL match between Team WE and Top Esports in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for August 14 at 5:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Team WE" if Team WE win the match against Top Esports.

This market will resolve to "Top Esports" if Top Esports win the match against Team WE.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Aug 14, 2026

  • 08:53 AM
    DSdstrb1a
    $1.00

    Bought 2.040815 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1? at 0.49

  • 08:47 AM
    $10.00

    Bought 18.518517 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1? at 0.54

  • 08:46 AM
    $5.00

    Bought 10 Team WE for First Blood in Game 1? at 0.5

  • 08:45 AM
    SUsuntori
    $7.42

    Bought 11.42 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 1? at 0.65

  • 08:44 AM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $95.23

    Bought 183.134614 Top Esports for First Blood in Game 1? at 0.52

  • 08:42 AM
    MIMinatovn
    $3.03

    Bought 5.71 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1? at 0.53

  • 08:42 AM
    SUsuntori
    $3.61

    Bought 5.91803 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 2? at 0.61

  • 08:42 AM
    MIMinatovn
    $10.60

    Bought 20 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1? at 0.53

  • 08:42 AM
    MIMinatovn
    $21.19

    Bought 39.99 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1? at 0.53

  • 08:42 AM
    MIMinatovn
    $5.20

    Bought 10 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1? at 0.52

  • 08:38 AM
    SUsuntori
    $3.61

    Bought 5.553845 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 1? at 0.65

  • 08:38 AM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $2.68

    Bought 5.71 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2? at 0.47

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

CC1
cc9999
Event PnL
+$55.10
Volume
$109,527.85
Positions
Team WETeam WE
NE2
needramup
Event PnL
-$58,909.07
Volume
$87,915.96
Positions
Top EsportsTop Esports
JA3
jackpeter888
Event PnL
+$1,306.75
Volume
$54,430.08
Positions
Team WETop Esports
TA4
TAIWANNUMBERONE
Event PnL
-$13,904.24
Volume
$54,320.35
Positions
Top EsportsTop EsportsUnder+1
B55
0xb552…6141
Event PnL
-$2,449.32
Volume
$47,725.16
Positions
Top Esports
FK6
fkigedgjdgwbg
Event PnL
-$6,275.08
Volume
$47,664.32
Positions
Team WETop Esports
LA7
landighertz
Event PnL
+$23.43
Volume
$46,864.24
Positions
Team WE
488
48binn
Event PnL
-$18,315.52
Volume
$40,673.05
Positions
Top EsportsTop Esports

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "LoL: Team WE vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend"?

As of the latest update, Game 1 Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by Game 2 Winner at 9,995% and Match Winner at 9,995%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $1.9M, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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