LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars Academy vs Estral Esports (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season

$88.1K Vol
Jul 28, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Estral Esports 100.0%
Vivo Keyd Stars Academy 0.1%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars Academy vs Estral Esports (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Both Teams Slay a Dragon is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,000% chance of winning. Odd/Even Total Kills follows in second place at 9,000%, while Any Player Quadra Kill sits in third with 4,950%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $88.1K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Both Teams Slay a Dragon (9,000%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Both Teams Slay a Dragon is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,000¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Odd/Even Total Kills (9,000%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Odd/Even Total Kills maintains a 9,000% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,000¢.
  • Any Player Quadra Kill (4,950%): Sitting in third place with a 4,950% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Any Player Quadra Kill, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Any Player Penta Kill (4,950%), Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor (1,000%), and Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors (1,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Match Winner are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Both Teams Slay a Dragon9000.0%9000¢-8900¢
2Odd/Even Total Kills9000.0%9000¢-8900¢
3Any Player Quadra Kill4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
4Any Player Penta Kill4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
5Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor1000.0%1000¢-900¢
6Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors1000.0%1000¢-900¢
7Match Winner5.0%$88.2K95¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the LoL match between Vivo Keyd Stars Academy and Estral Esports in the Circuito Desafiante Regular Season, initially scheduled for July 27 at 8:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Vivo Keyd Stars Academy" if Vivo Keyd Stars Academy win the match against Estral Esports.

This market will resolve to "Estral Esports" if Estral Esports win the match against Vivo Keyd Stars Academy.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Jul 27, 2026

  • 08:02 PM
    SCScientificOctopus
    $100.00

    Bought 135.135134 Estral Esports for LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars Academy vs Estral Esports (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season at 0.74

  • 07:58 PM
    NEnewUser2025
    $26.00

    Sold 100 Vivo Keyd Stars Academy for LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars Academy vs Estral Esports (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season at 0.26

  • 07:43 PM
    JEJesse188
    $8.10

    Bought 30 Vivo Keyd Stars Academy for LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars Academy vs Estral Esports (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season at 0.27

  • 07:41 PM
    SMsmt11
    $2.70

    Bought 10 Vivo Keyd Stars Academy for LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars Academy vs Estral Esports (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season at 0.27

  • 07:02 PM
    $1.38

    Bought 5.11111 Vivo Keyd Stars Academy for LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars Academy vs Estral Esports (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season at 0.27

  • 07:02 PM
    $6.66

    Bought 24.666665 Vivo Keyd Stars Academy for LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars Academy vs Estral Esports (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season at 0.27

  • 07:02 PM
    TTTTT0777
    $204.24

    Bought 276 Estral Esports for LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars Academy vs Estral Esports (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season at 0.74

  • 07:02 PM
    TTTTT0777
    $236.19

    Bought 323.55 Estral Esports for LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars Academy vs Estral Esports (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season at 0.73

  • 06:48 PM
    SUsuntori
    $5.71

    Bought 7.821914 Estral Esports for LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars Academy vs Estral Esports (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season at 0.73

  • 05:51 PM
    BOboobytracey
    $118.26

    Bought 162 Estral Esports for LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars Academy vs Estral Esports (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season at 0.73

  • 05:51 PM
    BOboobytracey
    $124.83

    Bought 171 Estral Esports for LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars Academy vs Estral Esports (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season at 0.73

  • 05:51 PM
    BOboobytracey
    $124.83

    Bought 171 Estral Esports for LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars Academy vs Estral Esports (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season at 0.73

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

691
0x6918…0027
Event PnL
-$6,368.55
Volume
$25,556.92
Positions
Vivo Keyd Stars Academy
3B2
0x3b63…5269
Event PnL
+$167.18
Volume
$18,660.39
Positions
Estral Esports
NE3
neEbatorVagin228
Event PnL
-$334.87
Volume
$8,797.97
Positions
Vivo Keyd Stars Academy
MA4
macrosteaks
Event PnL
+$1,759.07
Volume
$7,127.06
Positions
Estral Esports
GA5
Gaditima
Event PnL
+$1,317.55
Volume
$5,207.00
Positions
Estral Esports
CH6
chaeri
Event PnL
+$878.00
Volume
$3,467.05
Positions
Estral Esports
FE7
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
+$749.94
Volume
$3,124.17
Positions
Estral Esports
AV8
Averagebrazilian
Event PnL
+$748.50
Volume
$3,000.00
Positions
Estral Esports

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars Academy vs Estral Esports (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season"?

As of the latest update, Both Teams Slay a Dragon leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,000% win probability, followed by Odd/Even Total Kills at 9,000% and Any Player Quadra Kill at 4,950%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $88.1K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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