LoL: Team Vitality vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

$19.8K Vol
Aug 1, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Team Vitality 75.0%
Team Heretics 25.0%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “LoL: Team Vitality vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular Season”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Match Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 7,550% chance of winning. Game 1 Winner follows in second place at 7,050%, while Game 2 Winner sits in third with 6,550%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $19.8K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Match Winner (7,550%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Match Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 7,550¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $51.1K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Game 1 Winner (7,050%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Game 1 Winner maintains a 7,050% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 7,050¢.
  • Game 2 Winner (6,550%): Sitting in third place with a 6,550% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Game 2 Winner, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? (5,550%), Odd/Even Total Kills (5,150%), and Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Both Teams Slay a Dragon are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Match Winner7550.0%$51.1K7550¢-7450¢
2Game 1 Winner7050.0%$10.6K7050¢-6950¢
3Game 2 Winner6550.0%$2.6K6550¢-6450¢
4Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?5550.0%$95550¢-5450¢
5Odd/Even Total Kills5150.0%$835150¢-5050¢
6Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
7Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%$835000¢-4900¢
17Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
18Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
19Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
20Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
21Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
22Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%$835000¢-4900¢
23First Blood in Game 2?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
24Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?5000.0%$2835000¢-4900¢
25Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
26Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
27Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
28Game Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5)4750.0%$12.1K4750¢-4650¢
29O/U 2.5 Games4450.0%$2514450¢-4350¢
30Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?2900.0%$3292900¢-2800¢
31First Blood in Game 1?2800.0%2800¢-2700¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the LoL match between Team Vitality and Team Heretics in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for July 31 at 11:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Team Vitality" if Team Vitality win the match against Team Heretics.

This market will resolve to "Team Heretics" if Team Heretics win the match against Team Vitality.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Jul 31, 2026

  • 08:10 AM
    BEBeatYou6
    $8.00

    Bought 29.629628 Team Heretics for LoL: Team Vitality vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular Season at 0.27

  • 07:49 AM
    DRdreamland0808
    $29.60

    Bought 40 Team Vitality for LoL: Team Vitality vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular Season at 0.74

  • 07:38 AM
    WXwxxiiii
    $1.00

    Bought 1.35135 Team Vitality for LoL: Team Vitality vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular Season at 0.74

  • 07:09 AM
    SRsreca
    $3.70

    Bought 5 Team Vitality for LoL: Team Vitality vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular Season at 0.74

  • 07:07 AM
    SMsmileudance
    $1.00

    Bought 2.127658 Team Vitality for Game Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5) at 0.47

  • 06:50 AM
    KOKosmener
    $10.00

    Bought 23.255812 Over for Games Total: O/U 2.5 at 0.43

  • 06:50 AM
    KOKosmener
    $10.00

    Bought 37.037036 Team Heretics for LoL: Team Vitality vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular Season at 0.27

  • 06:37 AM
    0X0x200e9EB918A20E6Baf5A60aF14c65C9E4384e21d-1769617360162
    $25.08

    Bought 42.508473 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? at 0.59

  • 06:16 AM
    GLGlimz
    $100.00

    Bought 135.135134 Team Vitality for LoL: Team Vitality vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular Season at 0.74

  • 06:16 AM
    TITimPenis
    $13.82

    Bought 51.185184 Team Heretics for LoL: Team Vitality vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular Season at 0.27

  • 06:01 AM
    $2.00

    Bought 7.407406 Team Heretics for LoL: Team Vitality vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular Season at 0.27

  • 05:50 AM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $4.03

    Bought 7.61 Team Heretics for Game Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5) at 0.53

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

RO1
ROBBATTISTAFANDUELRETARD
Event PnL
+$10.91
Volume
$21,042.11
Positions
Team VitalityTeam VitalityTeam Vitality
NE2
neurodivergentBet
Event PnL
+$101.28
Volume
$20,257.03
Positions
Team HereticsTeam Heretics
BR3
BrotherObama
Event PnL
-$96.13
Volume
$19,230.77
Positions
Team Heretics
ST4
steevenseakael
Event PnL
-$50.00
Volume
$10,000.00
Positions
Team Vitality
ER5
erbao
Event PnL
-$25.00
Volume
$5,000.00
Positions
Team Vitality
DO6
donaldbush
Event PnL
+$19.81
Volume
$3,961.54
Positions
Team Vitality
SI7
SimpleTony
Event PnL
+$47.25
Volume
$3,149.96
Positions
Team Heretics
KA8
KarlXII
Event PnL
-$29.73
Volume
$2,999.57
Positions
Team VitalityTeam Vitality

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "LoL: Team Vitality vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular Season"?

As of the latest update, Match Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 7,550% win probability, followed by Game 1 Winner at 7,050% and Game 2 Winner at 6,550%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $19.8K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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