LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

$72K Vol
Aug 15, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Anyone's Legend 81.5%
ThunderTalk Gaming 18.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? is dominating the market with an overwhelming 7,950% chance of winning. Both Teams Slay a Dragon follows in second place at 7,050%, while Both Teams Slay a Dragon sits in third with 7,050%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $72K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? (7,950%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 7,950¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $15 in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Both Teams Slay a Dragon (7,050%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Both Teams Slay a Dragon maintains a 7,050% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 7,050¢.
  • Both Teams Slay a Dragon (7,050%): Sitting in third place with a 7,050% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Both Teams Slay a Dragon, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? (5,950%), Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5) (5,750%), and Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? (5,400%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Any Player Penta Kill are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?7950.0%$157950¢-7850¢
2Both Teams Slay a Dragon7050.0%$97050¢-6950¢
3Both Teams Slay a Dragon7050.0%$97050¢-6950¢
4Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?5950.0%$1595950¢-5850¢
5Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)5750.0%$27.2K5750¢-5650¢
6Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?5400.0%$6165400¢-5300¢
7Any Player Penta Kill5300.0%5300¢-5200¢
8Any Player Quadra Kill5050.0%5050¢-4950¢
9Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
17Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
18Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%$95000¢-4900¢
19Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
20Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
21First Blood in Game 2?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
22First Blood in Game 1?4500.0%$1384500¢-4400¢
23Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?4400.0%$3.5K4400¢-4300¢
24O/U 2.5 Games3700.0%$1.7K3700¢-3600¢
25Game 2 Winner2650.0%$3.5K2650¢-2550¢
26Game 1 Winner2450.0%$7.4K2450¢-2350¢
27Match Winner1850.0%$36.0K1850¢-1750¢
28Any Player Penta Kill800.0%800¢-700¢
29Any Player Penta Kill800.0%800¢-700¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the LoL match between ThunderTalk Gaming and Anyone's Legend in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for August 15 at 5:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to "ThunderTalk Gaming" if ThunderTalk Gaming win the match against Anyone's Legend.

This market will resolve to "Anyone's Legend" if Anyone's Legend win the match against ThunderTalk Gaming.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Aug 15, 2026

  • 08:49 AM
    XIxinans
    $2.00

    Bought 4.166665 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? at 0.48

  • 08:48 AM
    XIxinans
    $2.00

    Bought 4.166665 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? at 0.48

  • 08:39 AM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $2.85

    Bought 5.9375 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? at 0.48

  • 08:39 AM
    SUsuntori
    $3.33

    Bought 5.370965 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? at 0.62

  • 08:39 AM
    0X0x633e96a4b7ae543522358282eafa023fe61bd305-1783406206089
    $3.42

    Bought 5.7 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? at 0.6

  • 08:39 AM
    SUsuntori
    $2.85

    Bought 5.9375 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? at 0.48

  • 08:07 AM
    LIliujiaxing
    $15.76

    Bought 29.735848 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? at 0.53

  • 08:05 AM
    KOKoorgar
    $4.56

    Bought 12 Over for Games Total: O/U 2.5 at 0.38

  • 08:05 AM
    KOKoorgar
    $3.40

    Bought 20 ThunderTalk Gaming for LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend at 0.17

  • 08:03 AM
    COcoffeecali
    $4.99

    Bought 8.603447 Anyones Legend for Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5) at 0.58

  • 08:02 AM
    EYEYEdar
    $1.79

    Bought 10.53 ThunderTalk Gaming for LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend at 0.17

  • 08:01 AM
    KOkottenok
    $5.00

    Bought 6.666664 Anyones Legend for LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner at 0.75

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

DA1
danielwolfmorales3pddb6dl6
Event PnL
-$149.93
Volume
$9,999.99
Positions
ThunderTalk Gaming
SU2
suntori
Event PnL
-$0.17
Volume
$5,254.74
Positions
Anyone's LegendOverThunderTalk Gaming+1
BU3
bubanana
Event PnL
+$24.00
Volume
$4,800.00
Positions
Anyone's Legend
TT4
TTT0777
Event PnL
-$155.80
Volume
$4,376.00
Positions
Anyone's LegendAnyone's Legend
VI5
vibing123
Event PnL
+$101.77
Volume
$4,070.91
Positions
ThunderTalk Gaming
CS6
csgamer11
Event PnL
-$13.52
Volume
$4,026.59
Positions
Anyone's LegendAnyone's LegendAnyone's Legend
F37
f3arless
Event PnL
+$19.39
Volume
$3,877.59
Positions
ThunderTalk Gaming
PH8
phika
Event PnL
+$0.74
Volume
$2,499.91
Positions
ThunderTalk Gaming

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend"?

As of the latest update, Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? leads the field as the frontrunner with a 7,950% win probability, followed by Both Teams Slay a Dragon at 7,050% and Both Teams Slay a Dragon at 7,050%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $72K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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