
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
Core Summary
According to the latest prediction market data for the query “LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend”, traders have formed a strong consensus.
Currently, Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? is dominating the market with an overwhelming 7,950% chance of winning. Both Teams Slay a Dragon follows in second place at 7,050%, while Both Teams Slay a Dragon sits in third with 7,050%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $72K, reflecting intense industry interest.
Breakdown of Competitive Tiers
To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:
🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? (7,950%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 7,950¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $15 in volume.
🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers
- Both Teams Slay a Dragon (7,050%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Both Teams Slay a Dragon maintains a 7,050% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 7,050¢.
- Both Teams Slay a Dragon (7,050%): Sitting in third place with a 7,050% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Both Teams Slay a Dragon, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.
🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)
Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:
- Alternative Options: This includes Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? (5,950%), Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5) (5,750%), and Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? (5,400%).
- Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Any Player Penta Kill are still attracting notable interest.
Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard
The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:
| Rank | Predicted Outcome | Win Probability | Trading Volume | Buy Yes (Cost) | Buy No (Cost) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? | 7950.0% | $15 | 7950¢ | -7850¢ |
| 2 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 7050.0% | $9 | 7050¢ | -6950¢ |
| 3 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 7050.0% | $9 | 7050¢ | -6950¢ |
| 4 | Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? | 5950.0% | $159 | 5950¢ | -5850¢ |
| 5 | Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5) | 5750.0% | $27.2K | 5750¢ | -5650¢ |
| 6 | Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? | 5400.0% | $616 | 5400¢ | -5300¢ |
| 7 | Any Player Penta Kill | 5300.0% | — | 5300¢ | -5200¢ |
| 8 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 9 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 10 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 11 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 12 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 13 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 14 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 15 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 16 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 17 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 18 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 5000.0% | $9 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 19 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 20 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 21 | First Blood in Game 2? | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 22 | First Blood in Game 1? | 4500.0% | $138 | 4500¢ | -4400¢ |
| 23 | Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? | 4400.0% | $3.5K | 4400¢ | -4300¢ |
| 24 | O/U 2.5 Games | 3700.0% | $1.7K | 3700¢ | -3600¢ |
| 25 | Game 2 Winner | 2650.0% | $3.5K | 2650¢ | -2550¢ |
| 26 | Game 1 Winner | 2450.0% | $7.4K | 2450¢ | -2350¢ |
| 27 | Match Winner | 1850.0% | $36.0K | 1850¢ | -1750¢ |
| 28 | Any Player Penta Kill | 800.0% | — | 800¢ | -700¢ |
| 29 | Any Player Penta Kill | 800.0% | — | 800¢ | -700¢ |
Result Rules
This market refers to the LoL match between ThunderTalk Gaming and Anyone's Legend in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for August 15 at 5:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "ThunderTalk Gaming" if ThunderTalk Gaming win the match against Anyone's Legend.
This market will resolve to "Anyone's Legend" if Anyone's Legend win the match against ThunderTalk Gaming.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Trade Activities
Here is the trade activities for this event.
Aug 15, 2026
- 08:49 AMXIxinans$2.00
Bought 4.166665 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? at 0.48
- 08:48 AMXIxinans$2.00
Bought 4.166665 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? at 0.48
- 08:39 AM0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396$2.85
Bought 5.9375 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? at 0.48
- 08:39 AMSUsuntori$3.33
Bought 5.370965 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? at 0.62
- 08:39 AM0X0x633e96a4b7ae543522358282eafa023fe61bd305-1783406206089$3.42
Bought 5.7 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? at 0.6
- 08:39 AMSUsuntori$2.85
Bought 5.9375 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? at 0.48
- 08:07 AMLIliujiaxing$15.76
Bought 29.735848 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? at 0.53
- 08:05 AMKOKoorgar$4.56
Bought 12 Over for Games Total: O/U 2.5 at 0.38
- 08:05 AMKOKoorgar$3.40
Bought 20 ThunderTalk Gaming for LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend at 0.17
- 08:03 AMCOcoffeecali$4.99
Bought 8.603447 Anyones Legend for Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5) at 0.58
- 08:02 AMEYEYEdar$1.79
Bought 10.53 ThunderTalk Gaming for LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend at 0.17
- 08:01 AMKOkottenok$5.00
Bought 6.666664 Anyones Legend for LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner at 0.75
Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current market consensus on "LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend"?
As of the latest update, Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? leads the field as the frontrunner with a 7,950% win probability, followed by Both Teams Slay a Dragon at 7,050% and Both Teams Slay a Dragon at 7,050%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $72K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.
