LoL: TLN Pirates vs Solary (BO1) - LFL Regular Season

$35.7K Vol
Aug 5, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Solary 75.5%
TLN Pirates 24.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “LoL: TLN Pirates vs Solary (BO1) - LFL Regular Season”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Both Teams Slay a Dragon is dominating the market with an overwhelming 5,000% chance of winning. Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors follows in second place at 5,000%, while Any Player Quadra Kill sits in third with 5,000%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $35.7K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Both Teams Slay a Dragon (5,000%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Both Teams Slay a Dragon is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 5,000¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors (5,000%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors maintains a 5,000% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,000¢.
  • Any Player Quadra Kill (5,000%): Sitting in third place with a 5,000% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Any Player Quadra Kill, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Any Player Penta Kill (5,000%), Odd/Even Total Kills (5,000%), and Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor (4,900%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Match Winner are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
2Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
3Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
4Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
5Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
6Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor4900.0%$44900¢-4800¢
7Match Winner450.0%$134.2K450¢-350¢
8First Blood in Game 1?450.0%450¢-350¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the LoL match between TLN Pirates and Solary in the LFL Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 4 at 3:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to "TLN Pirates" if TLN Pirates win the match against Solary.

This market will resolve to "Solary" if Solary win the match against TLN Pirates.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Aug 4, 2026

  • 08:30 AM
    AMam100
    $254.39

    Bought 334.72 Solary for LoL: TLN Pirates vs Solary (BO1) - LFL Regular Season at 0.76

  • 08:30 AM
    RFrfver444
    $50.00

    Bought 200 TLN Pirates for LoL: TLN Pirates vs Solary (BO1) - LFL Regular Season at 0.25

  • 08:30 AM
    RErefersk433
    $15.00

    Bought 60 TLN Pirates for LoL: TLN Pirates vs Solary (BO1) - LFL Regular Season at 0.25

  • 08:30 AM
    PApakj7yyt33
    $30.00

    Bought 120 TLN Pirates for LoL: TLN Pirates vs Solary (BO1) - LFL Regular Season at 0.25

  • 08:30 AM
    OAoamfr33
    $20.00

    Bought 80 TLN Pirates for LoL: TLN Pirates vs Solary (BO1) - LFL Regular Season at 0.25

  • 08:29 AM
    RFrfver444
    $50.00

    Bought 200 TLN Pirates for LoL: TLN Pirates vs Solary (BO1) - LFL Regular Season at 0.25

  • 08:29 AM
    RErefersk433
    $15.00

    Bought 60 TLN Pirates for LoL: TLN Pirates vs Solary (BO1) - LFL Regular Season at 0.25

  • 08:29 AM
    OAoamfr33
    $20.00

    Bought 80 TLN Pirates for LoL: TLN Pirates vs Solary (BO1) - LFL Regular Season at 0.25

  • 08:29 AM
    PApakj7yyt33
    $30.00

    Bought 120 TLN Pirates for LoL: TLN Pirates vs Solary (BO1) - LFL Regular Season at 0.25

  • 08:28 AM
    RErefersk433
    $15.00

    Bought 60 TLN Pirates for LoL: TLN Pirates vs Solary (BO1) - LFL Regular Season at 0.25

  • 08:28 AM
    RFrfver444
    $50.00

    Bought 200 TLN Pirates for LoL: TLN Pirates vs Solary (BO1) - LFL Regular Season at 0.25

  • 08:28 AM
    OAoamfr33
    $20.00

    Bought 80 TLN Pirates for LoL: TLN Pirates vs Solary (BO1) - LFL Regular Season at 0.25

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

ST1
StasPanda
Event PnL
+$52.56
Volume
$10,777.65
Positions
TLN Pirates
692
0x6918…0027
Event PnL
-$71.24
Volume
$10,310.00
Positions
Solary
GO3
Gooooooollllllllll
Event PnL
+$90.00
Volume
$6,000.00
Positions
Solary
OR4
Orca4u
Event PnL
-$25.00
Volume
$5,000.00
Positions
Solary
CI5
cigarettes
Event PnL
+$33.75
Volume
$2,250.00
Positions
TLN Pirates
AM6
am100
Event PnL
+$31.69
Volume
$2,249.43
Positions
Solary
A37
0xa3B5…0736
Event PnL
+$2.41
Volume
$2,199.94
Positions
Solary
388
38791873984189
Event PnL
+$5.95
Volume
$2,191.86
Positions
TLN Pirates

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "LoL: TLN Pirates vs Solary (BO1) - LFL Regular Season"?

As of the latest update, Both Teams Slay a Dragon leads the field as the frontrunner with a 5,000% win probability, followed by Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors at 5,000% and Any Player Quadra Kill at 5,000%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $35.7K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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