LoL: Team Liquid vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Regular Season

$1.9M Vol
Aug 30, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Team Liquid 100.0%
Shopify Rebellion 0.1%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “LoL: Team Liquid vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Regular Season”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Game 2 Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. Match Winner follows in second place at 9,995%, while O/U 2.5 Games sits in third with 9,995%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $1.9M, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Game 2 Winner (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Game 2 Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $745.0K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Match Winner (9,995%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Match Winner maintains a 9,995% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,995¢.
  • O/U 2.5 Games (9,995%): Sitting in third place with a 9,995% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward O/U 2.5 Games, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1? (9,500%), Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? (9,100%), and Both Teams Slay a Dragon (9,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Odd/Even Total Kills are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Game 2 Winner9995.0%$745.0K9995¢-9895¢
2Match Winner9995.0%$754.9K9995¢-9895¢
3O/U 2.5 Games9995.0%$8.6K9995¢-9895¢
4Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?9500.0%$7219500¢-9400¢
5Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?9100.0%$799100¢-9000¢
6Both Teams Slay a Dragon9000.0%9000¢-8900¢
7Odd/Even Total Kills9000.0%9000¢-8900¢
8Both Teams Slay a Dragon9000.0%9000¢-8900¢
9Any Player Quadra Kill9000.0%9000¢-8900¢
10Both Teams Slay a Dragon9000.0%9000¢-8900¢
11Odd/Even Total Kills9000.0%9000¢-8900¢
12Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?9000.0%$749000¢-8900¢
13Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 1?9000.0%9000¢-8900¢
14Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor1000.0%1000¢-900¢
15Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors1000.0%1000¢-900¢
16Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor1000.0%1000¢-900¢
17Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors1000.0%1000¢-900¢
18Any Player Penta Kill1000.0%1000¢-900¢
19Odd/Even Total Kills1000.0%1000¢-900¢
20Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor1000.0%1000¢-900¢
21Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors1000.0%1000¢-900¢
22Any Player Quadra Kill1000.0%1000¢-900¢
23Any Player Penta Kill1000.0%1000¢-900¢
24Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?1000.0%$2521000¢-900¢
25Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?1000.0%$51000¢-900¢
26Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?1000.0%1000¢-900¢
27Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?1000.0%1000¢-900¢
28Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?1000.0%1000¢-900¢
29Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 2?1000.0%1000¢-900¢
30Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 2?1000.0%1000¢-900¢
31Any Player Quadra Kill950.0%950¢-850¢
32Any Player Penta Kill950.0%950¢-850¢
33First Blood in Game 1?950.0%950¢-850¢
34First Blood in Game 2?950.0%$63950¢-850¢
35Game 1 Winner5.0%$323.6K95¢
36Game Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5)5.0%$71.1K95¢
37Game Handicap: SR (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)5.0%$1595¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the LoL match between Team Liquid and Shopify Rebellion in the LCS Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 29, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Team Liquid" if Team Liquid win the match against Shopify Rebellion.

This market will resolve to "Shopify Rebellion" if Shopify Rebellion win the match against Team Liquid.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 12, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 29, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Aug 29, 2026

  • 09:28 PM
    MAmanbo3
    $5.00

    Bought 5.26314 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? at 0.95

  • 09:27 PM
    BIbiuser
    $8.91

    Bought 9.37894 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? at 0.95

  • 09:27 PM
    BIbiuser
    $4.95

    Bought 5.21052 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? at 0.95

  • 09:27 PM
    BIbiuser
    $14.04

    Bought 14.78 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2? at 0.95

  • 09:27 PM
    BIbiuser
    $4.95

    Bought 5.21052 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2? at 0.95

  • 09:25 PM
    MAmanbo3
    $1.00

    Bought 1.0101 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1? at 0.99

  • 09:24 PM
    MAmanbo3
    $15.26

    Bought 15.41414 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1? at 0.99

  • 09:23 PM
    MAmanbo3
    $47.70

    Bought 48.181817 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1? at 0.99

  • 09:22 PM
    GTGTCS
    $9.06

    Bought 9.151514 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1? at 0.99

  • 09:22 PM
    MAmanbo3
    $28.80

    Bought 29.090908 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1? at 0.99

  • 09:21 PM
    MAmanbo3
    $20.62

    Bought 20.828281 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1? at 0.99

  • 09:11 PM
    BIbiuser
    $62.37

    Bought 63 Shopify Rebellion for First Blood in Game 2? at 0.99

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

BL1
bloodmaster
Event PnL
-$6,709.84
Volume
$42,046.51
Positions
Team LiquidTeam Liquid
F22
0xF201…4616
Event PnL
-$285.16
Volume
$30,839.87
Positions
Team LiquidTeam Liquid
LE3
LETMEEAT
Event PnL
+$4,207.96
Volume
$24,290.54
Positions
Shopify Rebellion
TA4
TAIWANNUMBERONE
Event PnL
+$2.72
Volume
$15,846.78
Positions
Team Liquid
OD5
odifipa
Event PnL
+$352.46
Volume
$12,623.00
Positions
Shopify Rebellion
CO6
ColinHe
Event PnL
+$1,629.37
Volume
$11,927.47
Positions
Shopify Rebellion
AL7
alexdinner
Event PnL
+$303.99
Volume
$11,793.05
Positions
Team Liquid
GO8
gordonwrong
Event PnL
+$1,579.73
Volume
$9,027.00
Positions
Shopify Rebellion

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "LoL: Team Liquid vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Regular Season"?

As of the latest update, Game 2 Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by Match Winner at 9,995% and O/U 2.5 Games at 9,995%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $1.9M, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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