
LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Ground Zero Gaming (BO5) - LCP Group Stage
Core Summary
According to the latest prediction market data for the query “LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Ground Zero Gaming (BO5) - LCP Group Stage”, traders have formed a strong consensus.
Currently, First Blood in Game 1? is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,950% chance of winning. Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor follows in second place at 9,000%, while Both Teams Slay a Dragon sits in third with 9,000%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $230.2K, reflecting intense industry interest.
Breakdown of Competitive Tiers
To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:
🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader
- First Blood in Game 1? (9,950%): Currently commanding the highest probability, First Blood in Game 1? is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,950¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.
🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers
- Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor (9,000%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor maintains a 9,000% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,000¢.
- Both Teams Slay a Dragon (9,000%): Sitting in third place with a 9,000% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Both Teams Slay a Dragon, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.
🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)
Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:
- Alternative Options: This includes Both Teams Slay a Dragon (5,050%), Odd/Even Total Kills (5,050%), and Game 4 Winner (5,000%).
- Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Game Handicap: GZ (-1.5) vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (+1.5) are still attracting notable interest.
Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard
The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:
| Rank | Predicted Outcome | Win Probability | Trading Volume | Buy Yes (Cost) | Buy No (Cost) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | First Blood in Game 1? | 9950.0% | — | 9950¢ | -9850¢ |
| 2 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 9000.0% | — | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 3 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 9000.0% | — | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 4 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 5 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 6 | Game 4 Winner | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 7 | Game Handicap: GZ (-1.5) vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (+1.5) | 5000.0% | $1.6K | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 8 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 9 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 10 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 11 | Any Player Penta Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 12 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 13 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 14 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 15 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 16 | Any Player Penta Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 17 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 18 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 19 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 20 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 21 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 22 | Any Player Penta Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 23 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 24 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 25 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 26 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 27 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 28 | Any Player Penta Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 29 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 30 | First Blood in Game 4? | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 31 | First Blood in Game 3? | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 32 | Game Handicap: GZ (-2.5) vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (+2.5) | 4950.0% | $85 | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 33 | First Blood in Game 2? | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 34 | Game 3 Winner | 4400.0% | $682 | 4400¢ | -4300¢ |
| 35 | O/U 3.5 Games | 4400.0% | $852 | 4400¢ | -4300¢ |
| 36 | O/U 4.5 Games | 3650.0% | $424 | 3650¢ | -3550¢ |
| 37 | Match Winner | 1150.0% | $39.2K | 1150¢ | -1050¢ |
| 38 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 39 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 40 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 50.0% | — | 50¢ | 50¢ |
| 41 | Any Player Penta Kill | 50.0% | — | 50¢ | 50¢ |
| 42 | Game 1 Winner | 5.0% | $197.7K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 43 | Game 2 Winner | 5.0% | $50.8K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
Result Rules
This market refers to the LoL Round 3 match between Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming and Ground Zero Gaming in the LCP Group Stage, initially scheduled for August 6 at 5:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming" if Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming win the match against Ground Zero Gaming.
This market will resolve to "Ground Zero Gaming" if Ground Zero Gaming win the match against Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Trade Activities
Here is the trade activities for this event.
Aug 6, 2026
- 08:17 AMZZZzzz87$185.45
Bought 280.99 Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming for Game Handicap: GZ (-1.5) vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (+1.5) at 0.66
- 08:17 AMIWIwoleu$6.80
Bought 20 Ground Zero Gaming for Game Handicap: GZ (-1.5) vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (+1.5) at 0.34
- 08:17 AMIWIwoleu$6.80
Bought 20 Ground Zero Gaming for Game Handicap: GZ (-1.5) vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (+1.5) at 0.34
- 08:17 AMIWIwoleu$2.72
Bought 8.01 Ground Zero Gaming for Game Handicap: GZ (-1.5) vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (+1.5) at 0.34
- 08:12 AMWLwljn00111$4.32
Bought 9 Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming for LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Ground Zero Gaming (BO5) - LCP Group Stage at 0.48
- 08:12 AM0X0x6e5cd50840308B656931167827C241fE7B242C55-1779019731402$2.88
Bought 6 Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming for LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Ground Zero Gaming (BO5) - LCP Group Stage at 0.48
- 08:03 AMWAwaterx-$2.68
Bought 5.056602 Ground Zero Gaming for LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Ground Zero Gaming (BO5) - LCP Group Stage at 0.53
- 08:03 AMTRtrestristes$5.00
Bought 9.433961 Ground Zero Gaming for LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Ground Zero Gaming (BO5) - LCP Group Stage at 0.53
- 08:03 AMWAwaterx-$2.42
Bought 5.041665 Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming for LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Ground Zero Gaming (BO5) - LCP Group Stage at 0.48
- 08:03 AMRFrfver444$50.00
Bought 94.34 Ground Zero Gaming for LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Ground Zero Gaming (BO5) - LCP Group Stage at 0.53
- 08:03 AMOAoamfr33$20.00
Bought 37.74 Ground Zero Gaming for LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Ground Zero Gaming (BO5) - LCP Group Stage at 0.53
- 08:03 AMIWIwoleu$0.90
Bought 5 Ground Zero Gaming for Game Handicap: GZ (-2.5) vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (+2.5) at 0.18
Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current market consensus on "LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Ground Zero Gaming (BO5) - LCP Group Stage"?
As of the latest update, First Blood in Game 1? leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,950% win probability, followed by Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor at 9,000% and Both Teams Slay a Dragon at 9,000%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $230.2K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.
