LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Ground Zero Gaming (BO5) - LCP Group Stage

$230.2K Vol
Aug 6, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Ground Zero Gaming 88.5%
Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming 11.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Ground Zero Gaming (BO5) - LCP Group Stage”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, First Blood in Game 1? is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,950% chance of winning. Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor follows in second place at 9,000%, while Both Teams Slay a Dragon sits in third with 9,000%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $230.2K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • First Blood in Game 1? (9,950%): Currently commanding the highest probability, First Blood in Game 1? is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,950¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor (9,000%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor maintains a 9,000% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,000¢.
  • Both Teams Slay a Dragon (9,000%): Sitting in third place with a 9,000% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Both Teams Slay a Dragon, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Both Teams Slay a Dragon (5,050%), Odd/Even Total Kills (5,050%), and Game 4 Winner (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Game Handicap: GZ (-1.5) vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (+1.5) are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1First Blood in Game 1?9950.0%9950¢-9850¢
2Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor9000.0%9000¢-8900¢
3Both Teams Slay a Dragon9000.0%9000¢-8900¢
4Both Teams Slay a Dragon5050.0%5050¢-4950¢
5Odd/Even Total Kills5050.0%5050¢-4950¢
6Game 4 Winner5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
7Game Handicap: GZ (-1.5) vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (+1.5)5000.0%$1.6K5000¢-4900¢
8Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
17Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
18Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
19Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
20Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
21Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
22Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
23Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
24Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
25Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
26Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
27Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
28Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
29Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
30First Blood in Game 4?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
31First Blood in Game 3?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
32Game Handicap: GZ (-2.5) vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (+2.5)4950.0%$854950¢-4850¢
33First Blood in Game 2?4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
34Game 3 Winner4400.0%$6824400¢-4300¢
35O/U 3.5 Games4400.0%$8524400¢-4300¢
36O/U 4.5 Games3650.0%$4243650¢-3550¢
37Match Winner1150.0%$39.2K1150¢-1050¢
38Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors1000.0%1000¢-900¢
39Odd/Even Total Kills1000.0%1000¢-900¢
40Any Player Quadra Kill50.0%50¢50¢
41Any Player Penta Kill50.0%50¢50¢
42Game 1 Winner5.0%$197.7K95¢
43Game 2 Winner5.0%$50.8K95¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the LoL Round 3 match between Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming and Ground Zero Gaming in the LCP Group Stage, initially scheduled for August 6 at 5:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming" if Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming win the match against Ground Zero Gaming.

This market will resolve to "Ground Zero Gaming" if Ground Zero Gaming win the match against Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Aug 6, 2026

  • 08:17 AM
    ZZZzzz87
    $185.45

    Bought 280.99 Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming for Game Handicap: GZ (-1.5) vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (+1.5) at 0.66

  • 08:17 AM
    IWIwoleu
    $6.80

    Bought 20 Ground Zero Gaming for Game Handicap: GZ (-1.5) vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (+1.5) at 0.34

  • 08:17 AM
    IWIwoleu
    $6.80

    Bought 20 Ground Zero Gaming for Game Handicap: GZ (-1.5) vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (+1.5) at 0.34

  • 08:17 AM
    IWIwoleu
    $2.72

    Bought 8.01 Ground Zero Gaming for Game Handicap: GZ (-1.5) vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (+1.5) at 0.34

  • 08:12 AM
    WLwljn00111
    $4.32

    Bought 9 Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming for LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Ground Zero Gaming (BO5) - LCP Group Stage at 0.48

  • 08:12 AM
    0X0x6e5cd50840308B656931167827C241fE7B242C55-1779019731402
    $2.88

    Bought 6 Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming for LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Ground Zero Gaming (BO5) - LCP Group Stage at 0.48

  • 08:03 AM
    WAwaterx-
    $2.68

    Bought 5.056602 Ground Zero Gaming for LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Ground Zero Gaming (BO5) - LCP Group Stage at 0.53

  • 08:03 AM
    TRtrestristes
    $5.00

    Bought 9.433961 Ground Zero Gaming for LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Ground Zero Gaming (BO5) - LCP Group Stage at 0.53

  • 08:03 AM
    WAwaterx-
    $2.42

    Bought 5.041665 Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming for LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Ground Zero Gaming (BO5) - LCP Group Stage at 0.48

  • 08:03 AM
    RFrfver444
    $50.00

    Bought 94.34 Ground Zero Gaming for LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Ground Zero Gaming (BO5) - LCP Group Stage at 0.53

  • 08:03 AM
    OAoamfr33
    $20.00

    Bought 37.74 Ground Zero Gaming for LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Ground Zero Gaming (BO5) - LCP Group Stage at 0.53

  • 08:03 AM
    IWIwoleu
    $0.90

    Bought 5 Ground Zero Gaming for Game Handicap: GZ (-2.5) vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (+2.5) at 0.18

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

LA1
landighertz
Event PnL
+$13.12
Volume
$26,242.68
Positions
Ground Zero Gaming
-M2
-Malfunction
Event PnL
+$147.63
Volume
$24,918.64
Positions
Ground Zero GamingGround Zero Gaming
MP3
mpyh
Event PnL
-$8,408.55
Volume
$12,884.66
Positions
Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming
SS4
SSMIMASAI
Event PnL
-$76.00
Volume
$7,999.99
Positions
Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks GamingFukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming
FO5
forget4
Event PnL
+$27.12
Volume
$7,900.71
Positions
Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks GamingFukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming
FL6
flyorange4208
Event PnL
-$3,416.75
Volume
$6,217.09
Positions
Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks GamingGround Zero Gaming
ST7
STOPTHETROLLING
Event PnL
+$3,030.96
Volume
$6,018.65
Positions
Ground Zero Gaming
B48
0xB496…8057
Event PnL
-$2,038.16
Volume
$5,999.97
Positions
Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Ground Zero Gaming (BO5) - LCP Group Stage"?

As of the latest update, First Blood in Game 1? leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,950% win probability, followed by Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor at 9,000% and Both Teams Slay a Dragon at 9,000%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $230.2K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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