LoL: Shifters vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

$90K Vol
Aug 29, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Team Heretics 65.5%
Shifters 34.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “LoL: Shifters vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular Season”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Odd/Even Total Kills is dominating the market with an overwhelming 5,050% chance of winning. Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor follows in second place at 5,000%, while Both Teams Slay a Dragon sits in third with 5,000%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $90K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Odd/Even Total Kills (5,050%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Odd/Even Total Kills is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 5,050¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor (5,000%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor maintains a 5,000% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,000¢.
  • Both Teams Slay a Dragon (5,000%): Sitting in third place with a 5,000% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Both Teams Slay a Dragon, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors (5,000%), Any Player Quadra Kill (5,000%), and Any Player Penta Kill (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Odd/Even Total Kills5050.0%5050¢-4950¢
2Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
3Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
4Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
5Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
6Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
7Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
17Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
18Odd/Even Total Kills4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
19O/U 2.5 Games4500.0%4500¢-4400¢
20Game 1 Winner3850.0%$253850¢-3750¢
21Game 2 Winner3850.0%3850¢-3750¢
22Game Handicap: TH (-1.5) vs Shifters (+1.5)3850.0%$33.6K3850¢-3750¢
23Match Winner3450.0%$63.3K3450¢-3350¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the LoL match between Shifters and Team Heretics in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 28, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Shifters" if Shifters win the match against Team Heretics.

This market will resolve to "Team Heretics" if Team Heretics win the match against Shifters.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 11, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 28, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Aug 25, 2026

  • 09:28 AM
    0X0xbfD770B7ff0
    $20.00

    Bought 31.25 Team Heretics for LoL: Shifters vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular Season at 0.64

  • 09:28 AM
    4T4TheWin2
    $12.80

    Bought 20 Team Heretics for LoL: Shifters vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular Season at 0.64

  • 08:15 AM
    DRDrEldoradon
    $20.00

    Bought 54.054053 Team Heretics for Game Handicap: TH (-1.5) vs Shifters (+1.5) at 0.37

  • 08:07 AM
    DRDrEldoradon
    $20.00

    Bought 31.25 Team Heretics for LoL: Shifters vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular Season at 0.64

  • 07:55 AM
    DRDrEldoradon
    $18.90

    Bought 30 Team Heretics for LoL: Shifters vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular Season at 0.63

  • 07:27 AM
    4T4TheWin2
    $12.60

    Bought 20 Team Heretics for LoL: Shifters vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular Season at 0.63

  • 07:15 AM
    SIsizif
    $3.24

    Bought 5.0625 Team Heretics for LoL: Shifters vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular Season at 0.64

  • 07:12 AM
    OGoG8hBhUFYA4208dl
    $4.99

    Bought 7.796875 Team Heretics for LoL: Shifters vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular Season at 0.64

  • 05:50 AM
    JAjadespy2
    $6.97

    Bought 18.342104 Shifters for LoL: Shifters vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular Season at 0.38

  • 02:48 AM
    LELeoLau
    $1.85

    Bought 5 Shifters for LoL: Shifters vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular Season at 0.37

Aug 24, 2026

  • 10:40 PM
    SAsanechca
    $2.96

    Bought 8 Shifters for LoL: Shifters vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular Season at 0.37

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

ST1
StasPanda
Event PnL
+$546.64
Volume
$59,591.71
Positions
Team HereticsTeam Heretics
MA2
MagicalJourney
Event PnL
-$325.33
Volume
$29,999.99
Positions
ShiftersShifters
VI3
vibing123
Event PnL
-$209.30
Volume
$16,725.90
Positions
ShiftersShifters
JI4
jizzbucket57
Event PnL
-$365.00
Volume
$14,600.00
Positions
ShiftersShifters
GO5
Gooooooollllllllll
Event PnL
+$150.01
Volume
$9,999.99
Positions
Shifters
AR6
artulliik
Event PnL
+$113.20
Volume
$4,528.00
Positions
Team Heretics
SE7
sentrio
Event PnL
+$38.71
Volume
$2,580.96
Positions
Shifters
JA8
JAMJAMJAM4
Event PnL
-$11.97
Volume
$2,502.57
Positions
Team HereticsTeam Heretics

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "LoL: Shifters vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular Season"?

As of the latest update, Odd/Even Total Kills leads the field as the frontrunner with a 5,050% win probability, followed by Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor at 5,000% and Both Teams Slay a Dragon at 5,000%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $90K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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