LoL: Shark Attack vs Team Phoenix (BO3) - TCL Play-Ins

$87.7K Vol
Aug 14, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Team Phoenix 100.0%
Shark Attack 0.1%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “LoL: Shark Attack vs Team Phoenix (BO3) - TCL Play-Ins”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Game Handicap: PHX (-1.5) vs Shark Attack (+1.5) is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor follows in second place at 5,000%, while Both Teams Slay a Dragon sits in third with 5,000%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $87.7K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Game Handicap: PHX (-1.5) vs Shark Attack (+1.5) (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Game Handicap: PHX (-1.5) vs Shark Attack (+1.5) is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $405 in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor (5,000%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor maintains a 5,000% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,000¢.
  • Both Teams Slay a Dragon (5,000%): Sitting in third place with a 5,000% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Both Teams Slay a Dragon, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors (5,000%), Any Player Quadra Kill (5,000%), and Any Player Penta Kill (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Odd/Even Total Kills are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Game Handicap: PHX (-1.5) vs Shark Attack (+1.5)9995.0%$4059995¢-9895¢
2Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
3Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%$565000¢-4900¢
4Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
5Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
6Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
7Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%$565000¢-4900¢
8Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%$565000¢-4900¢
10Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13Odd/Even Total Kills4950.0%$564950¢-4850¢
14Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor1000.0%1000¢-900¢
15Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors1000.0%1000¢-900¢
16Any Player Quadra Kill1000.0%1000¢-900¢
17Any Player Penta Kill1000.0%1000¢-900¢
18Both Teams Slay a Dragon950.0%$56950¢-850¢
19Odd/Even Total Kills900.0%$56900¢-800¢
20Game 1 Winner5.0%$18.0K95¢
21Game 2 Winner5.0%$22.3K95¢
22Match Winner5.0%$46.8K95¢
23O/U 2.5 Games5.0%$12395¢
24Game Handicap: SHA (-1.5) vs Team Phoenix (+1.5)5.0%$595¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket round 1 match between Shark Attack and Team Phoenix in the TCL Play-Ins, initially scheduled for August 13, 2026 at 10:30 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Shark Attack" if Shark Attack win the match against Team Phoenix.

This market will resolve to "Team Phoenix" if Team Phoenix win the match against Shark Attack.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, the 7-day (168-hour) delay period will be measured from the originally scheduled start time of August 13, 2026 at 10:30 AM ET to the rescheduled start time. If the rescheduled start time falls more than 168 hours after the originally scheduled start time, this market will resolve to 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If no rescheduled start time falling within that 168-hour period has been announced by August 20, 2026 at 10:30 AM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is rescheduled to a start time within 168 hours of the originally scheduled start time, this market will resolve based on the result of the match as played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

381
38791873984189
Event PnL
-$116.94
Volume
$7,899.89
Positions
Team PhoenixShark Attack
FE2
ferrariChampions2026
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-$580.77
Volume
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Shark AttackTeam PhoenixShark Attack
OW3
owlgorithm-beta
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+$3.03
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$6,000.00
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Team PhoenixTeam PhoenixTeam Phoenix
PR4
Prelode
Event PnL
-$447.49
Volume
$4,999.99
Positions
Shark Attack
695
0x6918…0027
Event PnL
+$244.85
Volume
$4,726.57
Positions
Team Phoenix
2C6
0x2c33…5465
Event PnL
+$327.00
Volume
$3,653.63
Positions
Team Phoenix
TO7
tokiodk
Event PnL
+$88.56
Volume
$3,542.26
Positions
Team PhoenixUnder
148
0x1448…8301
Event PnL
-$40.54
Volume
$3,056.33
Positions
Shark Attack

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "LoL: Shark Attack vs Team Phoenix (BO3) - TCL Play-Ins"?

As of the latest update, Game Handicap: PHX (-1.5) vs Shark Attack (+1.5) leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor at 5,000% and Both Teams Slay a Dragon at 5,000%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $87.7K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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