LoL: paiN Gaming vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season

$58.3K Vol
Aug 31, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Vivo Keyd Stars 67.5%
paiN Gaming 32.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “LoL: paiN Gaming vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2? is dominating the market with an overwhelming 6,500% chance of winning. Both Teams Slay a Dragon follows in second place at 6,250%, while Both Teams Slay a Dragon sits in third with 6,250%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $58.3K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2? (6,500%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2? is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 6,500¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Both Teams Slay a Dragon (6,250%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Both Teams Slay a Dragon maintains a 6,250% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 6,250¢.
  • Both Teams Slay a Dragon (6,250%): Sitting in third place with a 6,250% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Both Teams Slay a Dragon, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Both Teams Slay a Dragon (6,200%), Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1? (5,300%), and Any Player Quadra Kill (5,250%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?6500.0%6500¢-6400¢
2Both Teams Slay a Dragon6250.0%6250¢-6150¢
3Both Teams Slay a Dragon6250.0%6250¢-6150¢
4Both Teams Slay a Dragon6200.0%6200¢-6100¢
5Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?5300.0%5300¢-5200¢
6Any Player Quadra Kill5250.0%5250¢-5150¢
7Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5200.0%5200¢-5100¢
8Any Player Penta Kill5200.0%5200¢-5100¢
9First Blood in Game 2?5150.0%5150¢-5050¢
10Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5100.0%5100¢-5000¢
11Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14First Blood in Game 1?4850.0%4850¢-4750¢
15O/U 2.5 Games4550.0%$564550¢-4450¢
16Game 2 Winner4250.0%$5.3K4250¢-4150¢
17Game 1 Winner4150.0%$9.2K4150¢-4050¢
18Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?3900.0%3900¢-3800¢
19Game Handicap: VKS (-1.5) vs paiN Gaming (+1.5)3800.0%$8053800¢-3700¢
20Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?3650.0%3650¢-3550¢
21Match Winner3250.0%$42.9K3250¢-3150¢
22Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor2800.0%2800¢-2700¢
23Any Player Quadra Kill2750.0%2750¢-2650¢
24Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor2750.0%2750¢-2650¢
25Any Player Quadra Kill2750.0%2750¢-2650¢
26Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors2700.0%2700¢-2600¢
27Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors2650.0%2650¢-2550¢
28Any Player Penta Kill2550.0%2550¢-2450¢
29Any Player Penta Kill600.0%600¢-500¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the LoL match between paiN Gaming and Vivo Keyd Stars in the CBLOL Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "paiN Gaming" if paiN Gaming win the match against Vivo Keyd Stars.

This market will resolve to "Vivo Keyd Stars" if Vivo Keyd Stars win the match against paiN Gaming.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 13, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 30, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Aug 30, 2026

  • 08:45 AM
    CEcelsius60622
    $29.12

    Bought 91 paiN Gaming for LoL: paiN Gaming vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season at 0.32

  • 08:45 AM
    KMKMBBB
    $1.00

    Bought 3.125 paiN Gaming for LoL: paiN Gaming vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season at 0.32

  • 08:45 AM
    OGoGsPale
    $24.86

    Bought 77.6875 paiN Gaming for LoL: paiN Gaming vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season at 0.32

  • 08:45 AM
    DWdwedwd
    $1.60

    Bought 5 paiN Gaming for LoL: paiN Gaming vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season at 0.32

  • 08:45 AM
    HWhwidelance
    $1.62

    Bought 5.05 paiN Gaming for LoL: paiN Gaming vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season at 0.32

  • 08:45 AM
    $4.69

    Bought 14.65625 paiN Gaming for LoL: paiN Gaming vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season at 0.32

  • 08:45 AM
    PIPickleRick420
    $1.60

    Bought 5 paiN Gaming for LoL: paiN Gaming vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season at 0.32

  • 08:45 AM
    0X0x75234E66C4EcE58Fc586b0D9323b1105993968a0-1780214517706
    $1.60

    Bought 5 paiN Gaming for LoL: paiN Gaming vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season at 0.32

  • 08:45 AM
    0X0x57b258499f7A4cfC5043ceae57A51f7e6f529Da2-1779737456696
    $648.85

    Bought 2027.657811 paiN Gaming for LoL: paiN Gaming vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season at 0.32

  • 08:45 AM
    ILILoveThisGame
    $15.00

    Bought 46.875 paiN Gaming for LoL: paiN Gaming vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season at 0.32

  • 08:44 AM
    0X0x804C9601CA0A437B03e40F49eA8707f50055548f-1776304462124
    $1.00

    Bought 3.225805 paiN Gaming for LoL: paiN Gaming vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season at 0.31

  • 08:44 AM
    1W1winstreak1
    $162.23

    Bought 506.96875 paiN Gaming for LoL: paiN Gaming vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season at 0.32

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

BL1
bloodmaster
Event PnL
+$230.44
Volume
$14,155.55
Positions
Vivo Keyd Stars
TA2
TAIWANNUMBERONE
Event PnL
-$196.66
Volume
$13,110.98
Positions
paiN Gaming
LU3
lug
Event PnL
+$2.47
Volume
$4,347.97
Positions
Vivo Keyd Stars
AL4
alpheclabs
Event PnL
-$151.00
Volume
$3,674.03
Positions
paiN GamingpaiN GamingpaiN Gaming
NE5
newwman
Event PnL
+$73.03
Volume
$3,210.00
Positions
Vivo Keyd StarsVivo Keyd StarsVivo Keyd Stars
D06
0xd0e9…0728
Event PnL
-$237.50
Volume
$2,499.99
Positions
paiN Gaming
JU7
JuiceFarm
Event PnL
-$37.35
Volume
$2,490.00
Positions
paiN Gaming
CA8
CAcap
Event PnL
-$71.46
Volume
$2,058.10
Positions
paiN Gaming

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "LoL: paiN Gaming vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season"?

As of the latest update, Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2? leads the field as the frontrunner with a 6,500% win probability, followed by Both Teams Slay a Dragon at 6,250% and Both Teams Slay a Dragon at 6,250%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $58.3K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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