LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifier

Aug 3, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
T1 57.5%
Nongshim Red Force 42.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifier”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Odd/Even Total Kills is dominating the market with an overwhelming 5,050% chance of winning. Game 1 Winner follows in second place at 5,000%, while Game 2 Winner sits in third with 5,000%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached —, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Odd/Even Total Kills (5,050%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Odd/Even Total Kills is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 5,050¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Game 1 Winner (5,000%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Game 1 Winner maintains a 5,000% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,000¢.
  • Game 2 Winner (5,000%): Sitting in third place with a 5,000% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Game 2 Winner, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes O/U 2.5 Games (5,000%), Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor (5,000%), and Both Teams Slay a Dragon (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Odd/Even Total Kills5050.0%5050¢-4950¢
2Game 1 Winner5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
3Game 2 Winner5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
4O/U 2.5 Games5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
5Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
6Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
7Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
17Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
18Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
19Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
20Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
21Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
22Match Winner4250.0%4250¢-4150¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the LoL Round 1 match between Nongshim Red Force and T1 in the KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifier, initially scheduled for August 3 at 6:30AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Nongshim Red Force" if Nongshim Red Force win the match against T1.

This market will resolve to "T1" if T1 win the match against Nongshim Red Force.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifier"?

As of the latest update, Odd/Even Total Kills leads the field as the frontrunner with a 5,050% win probability, followed by Game 1 Winner at 5,000% and Game 2 Winner at 5,000%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached —, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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