LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group

$130.2K Vol
Aug 1, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
BNK FEARX 54.5%
Nongshim Red Force 45.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Both Teams Slay a Dragon is dominating the market with an overwhelming 7,700% chance of winning. Both Teams Slay a Dragon follows in second place at 7,550%, while Any Player Penta Kill sits in third with 5,200%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $130.2K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Both Teams Slay a Dragon (7,700%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Both Teams Slay a Dragon is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 7,700¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Both Teams Slay a Dragon (7,550%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Both Teams Slay a Dragon maintains a 7,550% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 7,550¢.
  • Any Player Penta Kill (5,200%): Sitting in third place with a 5,200% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Any Player Penta Kill, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor (5,150%), Any Player Quadra Kill (5,150%), and Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors (5,050%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Odd/Even Total Kills are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Both Teams Slay a Dragon7700.0%7700¢-7600¢
2Both Teams Slay a Dragon7550.0%7550¢-7450¢
3Any Player Penta Kill5200.0%5200¢-5100¢
4Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5150.0%5150¢-5050¢
5Any Player Quadra Kill5150.0%5150¢-5050¢
6Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5050.0%5050¢-4950¢
7Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10O/U 2.5 Games4950.0%$3974950¢-4850¢
11Game 2 Winner4550.0%$6284550¢-4450¢
12Match Winner4550.0%$80.0K4550¢-4450¢
13Game 1 Winner4450.0%$6.2K4450¢-4350¢
14Both Teams Slay a Dragon4150.0%4150¢-4050¢
15Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5)3150.0%$43.1K3150¢-3050¢
16Any Player Quadra Kill2800.0%2800¢-2700¢
17Any Player Quadra Kill2800.0%2800¢-2700¢
18Any Player Penta Kill2500.0%2500¢-2400¢
19Any Player Penta Kill2500.0%2500¢-2400¢
20Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor1700.0%1700¢-1600¢
21Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor1700.0%1700¢-1600¢
22Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors1350.0%1350¢-1250¢
23Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors1350.0%1350¢-1250¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the LoL match between Nongshim Red Force and BNK FEARX in the LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group, initially scheduled for August 1 at 4:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Nongshim Red Force" if Nongshim Red Force win the match against BNK FEARX.

This market will resolve to "BNK FEARX" if BNK FEARX win the match against Nongshim Red Force.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Jul 31, 2026

  • 08:00 PM
    FOforgedinlol
    $2.75

    Bought 5 BNK FEARX for LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group at 0.55

  • 07:59 PM
    TITIppi88k
    $10.00

    Bought 18.181817 BNK FEARX for LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group at 0.55

  • 07:54 PM
    0X0xa12194fbab808b7aFdFA1ba1c3e3f0888f1E28C6-1781281388896
    $1.00

    Bought 1.81818 BNK FEARX for LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group at 0.55

  • 07:50 PM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $142.85

    Bought 310.543477 Nongshim Red Force for LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group at 0.46

  • 07:37 PM
    LOlolbettor
    $220.00

    Bought 400 BNK FEARX for LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group at 0.55

  • 07:31 PM
    NAnaaugypp8v5r
    $35.00

    Bought 63.636362 BNK FEARX for LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group at 0.55

  • 07:30 PM
    HIHiberdating
    $1.00

    Bought 1.81818 BNK FEARX for LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group at 0.55

  • 07:17 PM
    NEneutralwave23
    $34.41

    Bought 49.869564 Nongshim Red Force for Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5) at 0.69

  • 07:10 PM
    XBxBizzy
    $7.00

    Bought 12.727271 BNK FEARX for LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group at 0.55

  • 06:58 PM
    THthetoci
    $30.00

    Bought 54.545453 BNK FEARX for LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group at 0.55

  • 06:46 PM
    MEMeji41
    $5.00

    Bought 9.090908 BNK FEARX for LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group at 0.55

  • 06:43 PM
    WAwall3r
    $5.01

    Bought 9.1 BNK FEARX for LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group at 0.55

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

EL1
Elaran1993
Event PnL
+$164.45
Volume
$51,481.34
Positions
BNK FEARXBNK FEARXBNK FEARX
1M2
1moretimetowin
Event PnL
-$136.18
Volume
$27,235.20
Positions
Nongshim Red Force
SC3
Schrodinger1887
Event PnL
-$108.67
Volume
$21,739.13
Positions
Nongshim Red Force
BU4
bubanana
Event PnL
-$600.20
Volume
$18,640.00
Positions
BNK FEARXNongshim Red Force
TA5
TAIWANNUMBERONE
Event PnL
+$84.32
Volume
$16,863.50
Positions
BNK FEARX
EN6
entropytime
Event PnL
+$4.05
Volume
$11,999.89
Positions
Nongshim Red Force
BE7
berbisminsk
Event PnL
-$50.37
Volume
$10,074.92
Positions
Nongshim Red Force
DR8
drunkdegenerate
Event PnL
+$531.16
Volume
$9,657.44
Positions
Nongshim Red Force

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group"?

As of the latest update, Both Teams Slay a Dragon leads the field as the frontrunner with a 7,700% win probability, followed by Both Teams Slay a Dragon at 7,550% and Any Player Penta Kill at 5,200%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $130.2K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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