LoL: NightBirds vs eSuba (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular Season

$71.2K Vol
Aug 14, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
NightBirds 100.0%
eSuba 0.1%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “LoL: NightBirds vs eSuba (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular Season”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Game 1 Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. Game 2 Winner follows in second place at 9,995%, while Match Winner sits in third with 9,995%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $71.2K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Game 1 Winner (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Game 1 Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $12.7K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Game 2 Winner (9,995%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Game 2 Winner maintains a 9,995% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,995¢.
  • Match Winner (9,995%): Sitting in third place with a 9,995% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Match Winner, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Both Teams Slay a Dragon (9,000%), Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor (5,000%), and Both Teams Slay a Dragon (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Game 1 Winner9995.0%$12.7K9995¢-9895¢
2Game 2 Winner9995.0%$13.2K9995¢-9895¢
3Match Winner9995.0%$44.3K9995¢-9895¢
4Both Teams Slay a Dragon9000.0%9000¢-8900¢
5Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
6Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
7Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor1000.0%1000¢-900¢
12Both Teams Slay a Dragon1000.0%1000¢-900¢
13Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors1000.0%1000¢-900¢
14Any Player Quadra Kill1000.0%1000¢-900¢
15Any Player Penta Kill1000.0%1000¢-900¢
16Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor1000.0%1000¢-900¢
17Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors1000.0%1000¢-900¢
18Any Player Quadra Kill1000.0%1000¢-900¢
19Any Player Penta Kill1000.0%1000¢-900¢
20Odd/Even Total Kills950.0%950¢-850¢
21Odd/Even Total Kills950.0%950¢-850¢
22O/U 2.5 Games5.0%$1.0K95¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the LoL match between NightBirds and eSuba in the Hitpoint Masters Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 13, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "NightBirds" if NightBirds win the match against eSuba.

This market will resolve to "eSuba" if eSuba win the match against NightBirds.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, the 7-day (168-hour) delay period will be measured from the originally scheduled start time of August 13, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET to the rescheduled start time. If the rescheduled start time falls more than 168 hours after the originally scheduled start time, this market will resolve to 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If no rescheduled start time falling within that 168-hour period has been announced by August 20, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is rescheduled to a start time within 168 hours of the originally scheduled start time, this market will resolve based on the result of the match as played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

BL1
bloodmaster
Event PnL
+$521.65
Volume
$25,570.22
Positions
NightBirdsNightBirdsNightBirds+1
PR2
Prelode
Event PnL
+$261.23
Volume
$10,000.00
Positions
eSuba
383
38791873984189
Event PnL
-$430.52
Volume
$9,820.79
Positions
NightBirdseSubaeSuba
2C4
0x2c33…5465
Event PnL
-$208.76
Volume
$8,350.79
Positions
NightBirds
QU5
quavoo
Event PnL
-$31.37
Volume
$8,032.41
Positions
eSuba
OC6
ocsssa
Event PnL
+$39.24
Volume
$7,534.02
Positions
NightBirdsNightBirds
AF7
0xAF48…9074
Event PnL
-$81.53
Volume
$6,855.00
Positions
eSubaeSuba
ZE8
zedkingcyn
Event PnL
-$17.17
Volume
$2,296.15
Positions
eSubaeSuba

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "LoL: NightBirds vs eSuba (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular Season"?

As of the latest update, Game 1 Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by Game 2 Winner at 9,995% and Match Winner at 9,995%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $71.2K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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