LoL: MVK Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5) - LCP Group Stage

$297.2K Vol
Aug 14, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
CTBC Flying Oyster 52.5%
MVK Esports 47.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “LoL: MVK Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5) - LCP Group Stage”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Game 1 Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. Game 2 Winner follows in second place at 9,995%, while O/U 3.5 Games sits in third with 9,995%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $297.2K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Game 1 Winner (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Game 1 Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $65.4K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Game 2 Winner (9,995%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Game 2 Winner maintains a 9,995% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,995¢.
  • O/U 3.5 Games (9,995%): Sitting in third place with a 9,995% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward O/U 3.5 Games, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes O/U 4.5 Games (6,000%), Match Winner (5,300%), and Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors (5,050%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Game Handicap: MVK (-1.5) vs CTBC Flying Oyster (+1.5) are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Game 1 Winner9995.0%$65.4K9995¢-9895¢
2Game 2 Winner9995.0%$116.6K9995¢-9895¢
3O/U 3.5 Games9995.0%$1.2K9995¢-9895¢
4O/U 4.5 Games6000.0%$836000¢-5900¢
5Match Winner5300.0%$52.3K5300¢-5200¢
6Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5050.0%5050¢-4950¢
7Game Handicap: MVK (-1.5) vs CTBC Flying Oyster (+1.5)5000.0%$1.0K5000¢-4900¢
8Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
17Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
18Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
19Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
20Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
21Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
22Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
23Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
24Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
25Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
26Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
27Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
28Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
29Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
30Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
31Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
32Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
33Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
34Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
35Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
36Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
37First Blood in Game 1?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
38First Blood in Game 3?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
39First Blood in Game 2?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
40First Blood in Game 4?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
41Game 4 Winner850.0%$20.9K850¢-750¢
42Game Handicap: MVK (-2.5) vs CTBC Flying Oyster (+2.5)45.0%$17645¢55¢
43Game 3 Winner5.0%$133.9K95¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the LoL Seeding match between MVK Esports and CTBC Flying Oyster in the LCP Group Stage, initially scheduled for August 14 at 5:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to "MVK Esports" if MVK Esports win the match against CTBC Flying Oyster.

This market will resolve to "CTBC Flying Oyster" if CTBC Flying Oyster win the match against MVK Esports.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Aug 14, 2026

  • 08:42 AM
    JEJeff870904
    $5.05

    Bought 12.625 Over for Games Total: O/U 4.5 at 0.4

  • 08:37 AM
    GOgo4it
    $25.05

    Bought 47.264148 MVK Esports for LoL: MVK Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 1 Winner at 0.53

  • 08:35 AM
    0X0x1e0D9Ff26E57007e9EA8bC69c145130aF34D6326-1781850896424
    $5.00

    Bought 9.615383 MVK Esports for LoL: MVK Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5) - LCP Group Stage at 0.52

  • 08:35 AM
    ANandylidi
    $1.00

    Bought 2.040815 CTBC Flying Oyster for LoL: MVK Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 1 Winner at 0.49

  • 08:34 AM
    ANandylidi
    $5.00

    Bought 7.8125 CTBC Flying Oyster for Game Handicap: MVK (-1.5) vs CTBC Flying Oyster (+1.5) at 0.64

  • 08:33 AM
    0X0x91bc7B692a7087f7Cf26e597714a3430e4B028D6-1774621250910
    $40.00

    Bought 76.923075 MVK Esports for LoL: MVK Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5) - LCP Group Stage at 0.52

  • 08:32 AM
    33338383833
    $6.24

    Bought 12 MVK Esports for LoL: MVK Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5) - LCP Group Stage at 0.52

  • 08:31 AM
    NEneutralwave23
    $162.26

    Bought 312.03846 MVK Esports for LoL: MVK Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5) - LCP Group Stage at 0.52

  • 08:29 AM
    33338383833
    $5.88

    Bought 12 CTBC Flying Oyster for LoL: MVK Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5) - LCP Group Stage at 0.49

  • 08:28 AM
    RIriful
    $1.00

    Bought 1.923075 MVK Esports for LoL: MVK Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5) - LCP Group Stage at 0.52

  • 08:26 AM
    33338383833
    $5.20

    Bought 10 MVK Esports for LoL: MVK Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5) - LCP Group Stage at 0.52

  • 08:23 AM
    33338383833
    $5.39

    Bought 11 CTBC Flying Oyster for LoL: MVK Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5) - LCP Group Stage at 0.49

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

-M1
-Malfunction
Event PnL
+$161.88
Volume
$16,471.30
Positions
MVK Esports
MP2
mpyh
Event PnL
-$1,807.65
Volume
$14,000.76
Positions
CTBC Flying Oyster
EZ3
ezMerge
Event PnL
+$6.17
Volume
$12,293.07
Positions
MVK EsportsMVK Esports
SU4
Sunshine.Smile
Event PnL
+$4,942.19
Volume
$10,901.27
Positions
MVK Esports
445
0x4421…5987
Event PnL
-$100.20
Volume
$10,415.96
Positions
CTBC Flying OysterCTBC Flying Oyster
JO6
johnbaster
Event PnL
+$3,538.36
Volume
$10,188.57
Positions
MVK EsportsMVK EsportsCTBC Flying Oyster
367
36oldtiger
Event PnL
-$14.19
Volume
$9,600.00
Positions
MVK EsportsCTBC Flying Oyster
388
38791873984189
Event PnL
-$396.99
Volume
$8,629.67
Positions
CTBC Flying OysterCTBC Flying OysterCTBC Flying Oyster+1

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "LoL: MVK Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5) - LCP Group Stage"?

As of the latest update, Game 1 Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by Game 2 Winner at 9,995% and O/U 3.5 Games at 9,995%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $297.2K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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