LoL: MAGAZA vs Lenovo Legion Honvéd (BO5) - EBL Playoffs

$80.1K Vol
Aug 26, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Lenovo Legion Honvéd 100.0%
MAGAZA 0.1%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “LoL: MAGAZA vs Lenovo Legion Honvéd (BO5) - EBL Playoffs”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Game 2 Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. O/U 3.5 Games follows in second place at 9,995%, while Odd/Even Total Kills sits in third with 9,000%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $80.1K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Game 2 Winner (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Game 2 Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $8.1K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • O/U 3.5 Games (9,995%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, O/U 3.5 Games maintains a 9,995% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,995¢.
  • Odd/Even Total Kills (9,000%): Sitting in third place with a 9,000% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Odd/Even Total Kills, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor (9,000%), Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors (9,000%), and Odd/Even Total Kills (9,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Game 2 Winner9995.0%$8.1K9995¢-9895¢
2O/U 3.5 Games9995.0%$419995¢-9895¢
3Odd/Even Total Kills9000.0%9000¢-8900¢
4Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor9000.0%9000¢-8900¢
5Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors9000.0%9000¢-8900¢
6Odd/Even Total Kills9000.0%9000¢-8900¢
7Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor1000.0%1000¢-900¢
14Both Teams Slay a Dragon1000.0%1000¢-900¢
15Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors1000.0%1000¢-900¢
16Both Teams Slay a Dragon1000.0%1000¢-900¢
17Any Player Quadra Kill1000.0%1000¢-900¢
18Any Player Penta Kill1000.0%1000¢-900¢
19Odd/Even Total Kills1000.0%1000¢-900¢
20Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor1000.0%1000¢-900¢
21Both Teams Slay a Dragon1000.0%1000¢-900¢
22Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors1000.0%1000¢-900¢
23Any Player Quadra Kill1000.0%1000¢-900¢
24Any Player Penta Kill1000.0%1000¢-900¢
25Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor1000.0%1000¢-900¢
26Both Teams Slay a Dragon1000.0%1000¢-900¢
27Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors1000.0%1000¢-900¢
28Any Player Quadra Kill1000.0%1000¢-900¢
29Any Player Penta Kill1000.0%1000¢-900¢
30Odd/Even Total Kills1000.0%1000¢-900¢
31Any Player Quadra Kill50.0%50¢50¢
32Any Player Penta Kill50.0%50¢50¢
33Game 1 Winner5.0%$24.0K95¢
34Game 3 Winner5.0%$3.7K95¢
35Game 4 Winner5.0%$10.3K95¢
36Match Winner5.0%$35.3K95¢
37O/U 4.5 Games5.0%$37695¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the LoL Semifinal 1 match between MAGAZA and Lenovo Legion Honvéd in the EBL Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 25, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "MAGAZA" if MAGAZA win the match against Lenovo Legion Honvéd.

This market will resolve to "Lenovo Legion Honvéd" if Lenovo Legion Honvéd win the match against MAGAZA.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 8, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 25, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Aug 25, 2026

  • 09:19 AM
    0X0x0c330baa07d0b6F498AD3f273339E0429090E0DA-1776279116069
    $3.75

    Bought 17.04 Lenovo Legion Honvéd for LoL: MAGAZA vs Lenovo Legion Honvéd - Game 3 Winner at 0.22

  • 09:01 AM
    FRFrezPez
    $0.84

    Bought 6.48 Lenovo Legion Honvéd for LoL: MAGAZA vs Lenovo Legion Honvéd (BO5) - EBL Playoffs at 0.13

  • 09:01 AM
    MOmoon-k58-lad
    $1.30

    Bought 10 Lenovo Legion Honvéd for LoL: MAGAZA vs Lenovo Legion Honvéd (BO5) - EBL Playoffs at 0.13

  • 09:01 AM
    SCsc4t
    $2.57

    Bought 2.92045 MAGAZA for LoL: MAGAZA vs Lenovo Legion Honvéd (BO5) - EBL Playoffs at 0.88

  • 09:01 AM
    AMam100
    $854.98

    Bought 982.74 MAGAZA for LoL: MAGAZA vs Lenovo Legion Honvéd (BO5) - EBL Playoffs at 0.87

  • 08:51 AM
    SMsmm.ls
    $1.00

    Bought 1.162785 MAGAZA for LoL: MAGAZA vs Lenovo Legion Honvéd (BO5) - EBL Playoffs at 0.86

  • 08:51 AM
    0X0x6918EA182D963b1Fb7888860b8a8b8bCfbA5782b-1771878010027
    $31.40

    Bought 38.76 MAGAZA for LoL: MAGAZA vs Lenovo Legion Honvéd (BO5) - EBL Playoffs at 0.81

  • 08:51 AM
    CIcigarettes
    $9.00

    Bought 50 Lenovo Legion Honvéd for LoL: MAGAZA vs Lenovo Legion Honvéd (BO5) - EBL Playoffs at 0.18

  • 08:51 AM
    121234ab
    $2.88

    Bought 16 Lenovo Legion Honvéd for LoL: MAGAZA vs Lenovo Legion Honvéd (BO5) - EBL Playoffs at 0.18

  • 08:50 AM
    $1.00

    Bought 1.234563 MAGAZA for LoL: MAGAZA vs Lenovo Legion Honvéd (BO5) - EBL Playoffs at 0.81

  • 08:49 AM
    DAdatradewiz
    $2.50

    Bought 10 Lenovo Legion Honvéd for LoL: MAGAZA vs Lenovo Legion Honvéd (BO5) - EBL Playoffs at 0.25

  • 08:49 AM
    DRDriftCapital
    $5.22

    Bought 21.75 Lenovo Legion Honvéd for LoL: MAGAZA vs Lenovo Legion Honvéd - Game 3 Winner at 0.24

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

LI1
littlelonely777
Event PnL
+$4.99
Volume
$9,986.87
Positions
Lenovo Legion Honvéd
IN2
InAirdropWeTrust
Event PnL
+$196.67
Volume
$5,521.64
Positions
MAGAZAMAGAZA
693
0x6918…0027
Event PnL
-$72.42
Volume
$5,173.77
Positions
MAGAZAMAGAZAMAGAZA+1
AM4
am100
Event PnL
-$36.72
Volume
$4,149.85
Positions
MAGAZAMAGAZA
IT5
itsonlyamatteroftime
Event PnL
-$217.95
Volume
$2,227.02
Positions
Lenovo Legion HonvédLenovo Legion Honvéd
UK6
ukresport
Event PnL
+$3.46
Volume
$1,456.86
Positions
MAGAZA
JJ7
jjjkkl
Event PnL
-$21.53
Volume
$1,420.24
Positions
Lenovo Legion Honvéd
218
21372137
Event PnL
+$237.83
Volume
$1,310.16
Positions
MAGAZAMAGAZA

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "LoL: MAGAZA vs Lenovo Legion Honvéd (BO5) - EBL Playoffs"?

As of the latest update, Game 2 Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by O/U 3.5 Games at 9,995% and Odd/Even Total Kills at 9,000%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $80.1K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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