LoL: Kits Esports vs SDM Tigres (BO5) - LRN Playoffs

$6.4K Vol
Aug 12, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Kits Esports 50.5%
SDM Tigres 49.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “LoL: Kits Esports vs SDM Tigres (BO5) - LRN Playoffs”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, O/U 3.5 Games is dominating the market with an overwhelming 7,050% chance of winning. Both Teams Slay a Dragon follows in second place at 7,000%, while Both Teams Slay a Dragon sits in third with 5,900%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $6.4K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • O/U 3.5 Games (7,050%): Currently commanding the highest probability, O/U 3.5 Games is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 7,050¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $211 in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Both Teams Slay a Dragon (7,000%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Both Teams Slay a Dragon maintains a 7,000% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 7,000¢.
  • Both Teams Slay a Dragon (5,900%): Sitting in third place with a 5,900% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Both Teams Slay a Dragon, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Game Handicap: SDM (-2.5) vs Kits Esports (+2.5) (5,300%), Game 1 Winner (5,150%), and Game 3 Winner (5,050%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Game 4 Winner are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1O/U 3.5 Games7050.0%$2117050¢-6950¢
2Both Teams Slay a Dragon7000.0%7000¢-6900¢
3Both Teams Slay a Dragon5900.0%5900¢-5800¢
4Game Handicap: SDM (-2.5) vs Kits Esports (+2.5)5300.0%$425300¢-5200¢
5Game 1 Winner5150.0%$7795150¢-5050¢
6Game 3 Winner5050.0%$55050¢-4950¢
7Game 4 Winner5050.0%5050¢-4950¢
8Match Winner5050.0%$5.3K5050¢-4950¢
9Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
17Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
18Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
19Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
20Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
21Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
22Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
23Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
24Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
25Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
26Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
27Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
28Game 2 Winner4950.0%$184950¢-4850¢
29Any Player Quadra Kill4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
30Any Player Penta Kill4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
31Both Teams Slay a Dragon4200.0%4200¢-4100¢
32Both Teams Slay a Dragon4100.0%4100¢-4000¢
33O/U 4.5 Games3600.0%3600¢-3500¢
34Game Handicap: SDM (-1.5) vs Kits Esports (+1.5)3050.0%$3323050¢-2950¢
35Any Player Quadra Kill2700.0%2700¢-2600¢
36Any Player Penta Kill2100.0%2100¢-2000¢
37Any Player Penta Kill1600.0%1600¢-1500¢
38Any Player Penta Kill1100.0%1100¢-1000¢
39Any Player Penta Kill1100.0%1100¢-1000¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket quarterfinal 1 match between Kits Esports and SDM Tigres in the LRN Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 11 at 7:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Kits Esports" if Kits Esports win the match against SDM Tigres.

This market will resolve to "SDM Tigres" if SDM Tigres win the match against Kits Esports.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Aug 11, 2026

  • 07:57 PM
    ODoddnectaryon
    $5.00

    Bought 9.80392 Kits Esports for LoL: Kits Esports vs SDM Tigres (BO5) - LRN Playoffs at 0.51

  • 07:54 PM
    AMamaya21
    $26.15

    Bought 52.3 SDM Tigres for LoL: Kits Esports vs SDM Tigres (BO5) - LRN Playoffs at 0.5

  • 07:42 PM
    NEneutralwave23
    $92.97

    Bought 185.94 SDM Tigres for LoL: Kits Esports vs SDM Tigres (BO5) - LRN Playoffs at 0.5

  • 07:41 PM
    868668320355
    $1.00

    Bought 1.923075 Kits Esports for LoL: Kits Esports vs SDM Tigres (BO5) - LRN Playoffs at 0.52

  • 07:40 PM
    0X0xF9088bBB59B17Bae4F5F930E9E0526539E220aaF-1779146385820
    $100.00

    Bought 192.307691 Kits Esports for LoL: Kits Esports vs SDM Tigres (BO5) - LRN Playoffs at 0.52

  • 06:48 PM
    0X0x546a5166295433dddA571cdE5d077Fc46abD1988-1770842732162
    $1.53

    Bought 3.122447 SDM Tigres for LoL: Kits Esports vs SDM Tigres (BO5) - LRN Playoffs at 0.49

  • 06:43 PM
    BRbrokerpe
    $50.00

    Bought 96.153845 Kits Esports for LoL: Kits Esports vs SDM Tigres (BO5) - LRN Playoffs at 0.52

  • 06:35 PM
    JOJohnLau
    $10.00

    Bought 19.230768 Kits Esports for LoL: Kits Esports vs SDM Tigres (BO5) - LRN Playoffs at 0.52

  • 06:21 PM
    CAcallmefilliphe
    $5.00

    Bought 9.615383 Kits Esports for LoL: Kits Esports vs SDM Tigres (BO5) - LRN Playoffs at 0.52

  • 06:19 PM
    LULucasBobato
    $40.00

    Bought 76.923075 Kits Esports for LoL: Kits Esports vs SDM Tigres (BO5) - LRN Playoffs at 0.52

  • 06:17 PM
    VMvmpedra
    $35.00

    Bought 68.62 Kits Esports for LoL: Kits Esports vs SDM Tigres (BO5) - LRN Playoffs at 0.51

  • 06:17 PM
    PEpedroeth
    $19.60

    Bought 38.431371 Kits Esports for LoL: Kits Esports vs SDM Tigres (BO5) - LRN Playoffs at 0.51

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

381
38791873984189
Event PnL
-$91.68
Volume
$2,176.69
Positions
SDM Tigres
ZO2
zoro12123123
Event PnL
-$29.29
Volume
$690.86
Positions
SDM TigresSDM TigresSDM Tigres
RF3
rfver444
Event PnL
+$36.34
Volume
$669.41
Positions
Kits EsportsKits Esports
IG4
igot50k
Event PnL
+$19.93
Volume
$498.93
Positions
Kits EsportsKits Esports
645
0x6407…6364
Event PnL
+$26.51
Volume
$430.32
Positions
Kits EsportsKits Esports
NA6
naicow
Event PnL
+$13.33
Volume
$418.30
Positions
Kits Esports
LI7
liyangwin05
Event PnL
+$30.82
Volume
$409.45
Positions
Kits Esports
578
0x57b2…6696
Event PnL
+$11.77
Volume
$392.29
Positions
Kits Esports

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "LoL: Kits Esports vs SDM Tigres (BO5) - LRN Playoffs"?

As of the latest update, O/U 3.5 Games leads the field as the frontrunner with a 7,050% win probability, followed by Both Teams Slay a Dragon at 7,000% and Both Teams Slay a Dragon at 5,900%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $6.4K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

Get Started