LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Ici Japon Corp. Esport (BO3) - LFL Playoffs

$149.1K Vol
Aug 21, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Karmine Corp Blue 100.0%
Ici Japon Corp. Esport 0.1%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Ici Japon Corp. Esport (BO3) - LFL Playoffs”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Game 1 Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. Game 2 Winner follows in second place at 9,995%, while Match Winner sits in third with 9,995%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $149.1K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Game 1 Winner (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Game 1 Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $53.9K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Game 2 Winner (9,995%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Game 2 Winner maintains a 9,995% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,995¢.
  • Match Winner (9,995%): Sitting in third place with a 9,995% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Match Winner, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Game Handicap: KCB (-1.5) vs Ici Japon Corp. Esport (+1.5) (9,995%), Odd/Even Total Kills (7,450%), and Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Both Teams Slay a Dragon are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Game 1 Winner9995.0%$53.9K9995¢-9895¢
2Game 2 Winner9995.0%$40.9K9995¢-9895¢
3Match Winner9995.0%$40.6K9995¢-9895¢
4Game Handicap: KCB (-1.5) vs Ici Japon Corp. Esport (+1.5)9995.0%$13.1K9995¢-9895¢
5Odd/Even Total Kills7450.0%7450¢-7350¢
6Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
7Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
17Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
18Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
19Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
20Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
21Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
22Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
23First Blood in Game 1?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
24First Blood in Game 2?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
25O/U 2.5 Games5.0%$60795¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket quarterfinal 1 match between Karmine Corp Blue and Ici Japon Corp. Esport in the LFL Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 20, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Karmine Corp Blue" if Karmine Corp Blue win the match against Ici Japon Corp. Esport.

This market will resolve to "Ici Japon Corp. Esport" if Ici Japon Corp. Esport win the match against Karmine Corp Blue.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 3, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 20, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

TA1
TAIWANNUMBERONE
Event PnL
+$111.07
Volume
$23,836.00
Positions
Ici Japon Corp. EsportIci Japon Corp. Esport
SU2
Sunshine.Smile
Event PnL
+$4,251.47
Volume
$11,499.95
Positions
Karmine Corp Blue
ST3
StasPanda
Event PnL
+$6,356.02
Volume
$10,092.16
Positions
Karmine Corp Blue
FU4
Future-Tarot-Trader
Event PnL
+$293.90
Volume
$6,107.26
Positions
Karmine Corp BlueKarmine Corp Blue
XC5
Xc76TH39YCPNGR23T4
Event PnL
-$30.08
Volume
$6,017.94
Positions
Ici Japon Corp. Esport
FE6
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
-$958.07
Volume
$5,759.53
Positions
Ici Japon Corp. EsportIci Japon Corp. Esport
GO7
Gooooooollllllllll
Event PnL
-$18.64
Volume
$5,528.07
Positions
Karmine Corp BlueKarmine Corp Blue
EX8
Excession6
Event PnL
+$27.50
Volume
$5,499.96
Positions
Karmine Corp Blue

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Ici Japon Corp. Esport (BO3) - LFL Playoffs"?

As of the latest update, Game 1 Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by Game 2 Winner at 9,995% and Match Winner at 9,995%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $149.1K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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