LoL: INTZ e-Sports vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy (BO3) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffs

$127.6K Vol
Aug 25, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Vivo Keyd Stars Academy 100.0%
INTZ e-Sports 0.1%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “LoL: INTZ e-Sports vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy (BO3) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffs”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Any Player Quadra Kill is dominating the market with an overwhelming 27% chance of winning. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $127.6K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Any Player Quadra Kill (27%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Any Player Quadra Kill is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 27¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $35 in volume.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Any Player Quadra Kill27.0%$3527¢73¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket semifinal 2 match between INTZ e-Sports and Vivo Keyd Stars Academy in the Circuito Desafiante Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "INTZ e-Sports" if INTZ e-Sports win the match against Vivo Keyd Stars Academy.

This market will resolve to "Vivo Keyd Stars Academy" if Vivo Keyd Stars Academy win the match against INTZ e-Sports.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 7, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 24, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

AI Valuation Analysis: Finding Market Mispricings & EV Gaps

While human consensus and speculative volume shape the broader prediction market, our quantitative algorithms offer a data-driven counter-perspective. By analyzing fundamental signals, underlying trends and historical distributions, our AI Valuation model calculates an independent “Fair Value” probability for each outcome.

Comparing this Fair Value against the current Trade Value uncovers major disparities — known as the Expected Value (EV) Gap. Contracts with a positive EV Gap represent statistically underpriced outcomes, whereas a negative EV Gap flags a potential market overreaction.

Top AI Alpha & Mispriced Arbitrage Opportunities

Based on the latest data model run, several key contracts stand out with significant deviations:

  • The Most Overvalued Outcome Any Player Quadra Kill currently trades at 27%, but our AI places its Fair Value at just 4%. This creates a large negative EV Gap of -23%, suggesting the crowd may be overhyping this outcome and driving the premium too high.
MarketTrade ValueFair ValueEV Gap
Any Player Quadra Kill27.0%4.0%-23.0%

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Aug 24, 2026

  • 08:59 PM
    FIfinchsmith
    $8.37

    Bought 14.684209 INTZ e-Sports for LoL: INTZ e-Sports vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy (BO3) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffs at 0.57

  • 08:59 PM
    GAGamblersEA
    $90.48

    Bought 158.736841 INTZ e-Sports for LoL: INTZ e-Sports vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy (BO3) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffs at 0.57

  • 08:51 PM
    CRcrinkledaces
    $75.00

    Bought 131.578946 INTZ e-Sports for LoL: INTZ e-Sports vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy (BO3) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffs at 0.57

  • 08:48 PM
    0X0xB70df0371948BF1e5Ad1536dbec5b48Fe404131C-1770931566642
    $270.00

    Bought 613.636362 Vivo Keyd Stars Academy for LoL: INTZ e-Sports vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy (BO3) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffs at 0.44

  • 08:45 PM
    OPOptiqal.io
    $25.00

    Bought 56.81818 Vivo Keyd Stars Academy for LoL: INTZ e-Sports vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy (BO3) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffs at 0.44

  • 08:41 PM
    HAhaluman
    $14.25

    Bought 25 INTZ e-Sports for LoL: INTZ e-Sports vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy (BO3) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffs at 0.57

  • 08:41 PM
    $1.00

    Bought 1.754383 INTZ e-Sports for LoL: INTZ e-Sports vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy (BO3) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffs at 0.57

  • 08:41 PM
    LTlthasd
    $57.00

    Bought 100 INTZ e-Sports for LoL: INTZ e-Sports vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy (BO3) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffs at 0.57

  • 08:29 PM
    SUsuntori
    $20.95

    Bought 36.754383 INTZ e-Sports for LoL: INTZ e-Sports vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy (BO3) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffs at 0.57

  • 08:28 PM
    0X0x207702d39743B9E76595fB2982dccdb300FB8161-1772429680242
    $12.29

    Bought 21.57 INTZ e-Sports for LoL: INTZ e-Sports vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy (BO3) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffs at 0.57

  • 08:26 PM
    SUsuperaiapi
    $14.99

    Bought 34.06818 Vivo Keyd Stars Academy for LoL: INTZ e-Sports vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy (BO3) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffs at 0.44

  • 08:26 PM
    $3.57

    Bought 8.113635 Vivo Keyd Stars Academy for LoL: INTZ e-Sports vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy (BO3) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffs at 0.44

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

GO1
Gooooooollllllllll
Event PnL
+$35.26
Volume
$7,052.60
Positions
Vivo Keyd Stars AcademyVivo Keyd Stars Academy
0X2
0x0x23…h8c9
Event PnL
+$23.26
Volume
$4,651.15
Positions
Vivo Keyd Stars Academy
PU3
purplegatto
Event PnL
-$22.87
Volume
$4,574.87
Positions
INTZ e-Sports
694
0x6918…0027
Event PnL
+$2.55
Volume
$3,272.96
Positions
Vivo Keyd Stars Academy
PR5
PROBABILITYTRADER
Event PnL
-$15.09
Volume
$3,018.92
Positions
Vivo Keyd Stars Academy
CH6
chucro
Event PnL
-$12.50
Volume
$2,500.00
Positions
INTZ e-Sports
AL7
Alexfirst
Event PnL
-$11.18
Volume
$2,236.00
Positions
INTZ e-Sports
SE8
sentrio
Event PnL
+$9.55
Volume
$1,909.21
Positions
Vivo Keyd Stars Academy

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "LoL: INTZ e-Sports vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy (BO3) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffs"?

As of the latest update, Any Player Quadra Kill leads the field as the frontrunner with a 27% win probability. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $127.6K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

How does the AI Fair Value differ from the live Market Trade Value?

The live Market Trade Value reflects public sentiment, order-book momentum and speculative capital. Our AI Fair Value is computed independently with quantitative models that strip out hype to focus on underlying data. When the two diverge, it creates an EV Gap, flagging where the market may be mispricing an outcome.

Is the market consensus overreacting to any specific outcome?

Yes — our data suggests a notable overreaction around Any Player Quadra Kill. The crowd has pushed its live Trade Value up to 27%, yet our Fair Value assessment puts its real likelihood at just 4%, a negative EV Gap of -23% that signals the contract is overpriced.

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