
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Group
Core Summary
According to the latest prediction market data for the query “LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Group”, traders have formed a strong consensus.
Currently, Any Player Quadra Kill is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,950% chance of winning. Any Player Penta Kill follows in second place at 50%, while Any Player Quadra Kill sits in third with 50%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $193.4K, reflecting intense industry interest.
Breakdown of Competitive Tiers
To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:
🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader
- Any Player Quadra Kill (9,950%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Any Player Quadra Kill is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,950¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.
🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers
- Any Player Penta Kill (50%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Any Player Penta Kill maintains a 50% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 50¢.
- Any Player Quadra Kill (50%): Sitting in third place with a 50% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Any Player Quadra Kill, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.
🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)
Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:
- Alternative Options: This includes Any Player Penta Kill (50%).
- Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Any Player Penta Kill are still attracting notable interest.
Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard
The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:
| Rank | Predicted Outcome | Win Probability | Trading Volume | Buy Yes (Cost) | Buy No (Cost) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 9950.0% | — | 9950¢ | -9850¢ |
| 2 | Any Player Penta Kill | 50.0% | — | 50¢ | 50¢ |
| 3 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 50.0% | — | 50¢ | 50¢ |
| 4 | Any Player Penta Kill | 50.0% | — | 50¢ | 50¢ |
Result Rules
This market refers to the LoL match between Hanwha Life Esports Challengers and BNK FearX Youth in the LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Group, initially scheduled for August 19, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Hanwha Life Esports Challengers" if Hanwha Life Esports Challengers win the match against BNK FearX Youth.
This market will resolve to "BNK FearX Youth" if BNK FearX Youth win the match against Hanwha Life Esports Challengers.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 2, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 19, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Trade Activities
Here is the trade activities for this event.
Aug 19, 2026
- 08:06 AM——$10.00
Sold 10 BNK FearX Youth for LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Group at 1
- 08:06 AM——$8.92
Sold 8.92 BNK FearX Youth for LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 2 Winner at 1
- 08:05 AMBObolinger-$13.55
Sold 13.55 BNK FearX Youth for LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 2 Winner at 1
- 08:00 AMMOmoon-k58-lad$39.00
Sold 39 BNK FearX Youth for LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 1 Winner at 1
- 07:54 AMTOToope$25.00
Sold 25 BNK FearX Youth for LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Group at 1
- 07:50 AM0X0xF7eCc389dd5196541b1f681f541ec7aC28DaC264-1747829154913$165.00
Sold 165 BNK FearX Youth for LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 2 Winner at 1
- 07:26 AMBIBIKEDEMALANDRO$800.00
Sold 800 BNK FearX Youth for LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Group at 1
- 07:20 AMHOHopelessPlayer$8.75
Sold 8.75 Under for Games Total: O/U 2.5 at 1
- 07:16 AMMEmeloneneis$205.65
Sold 205.65 BNK FearX Youth for LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 2 Winner at 1
- 07:13 AM0X0xDaA318B73442042ffBa212CE1024057c131aCf5a-1762007312233$56.00
Sold 56 BNK FearX Youth for LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 1 Winner at 1
- 07:10 AM——$7.93
Sold 7.93 BNK FearX Youth for LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Group at 1
- 07:08 AMROroffow$332.79
Sold 332.79 BNK FearX Youth for LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 2 Winner at 1
Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current market consensus on "LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Group"?
As of the latest update, Any Player Quadra Kill leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,950% win probability, followed by Any Player Penta Kill at 50% and Any Player Quadra Kill at 50%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $193.4K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.
