LoL: GIANTX iTero vs LUA Gaming (BO3) - LES Regular Season

$128.9K Vol
Aug 6, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
GIANTX iTero 100.0%
LUA Gaming 0.1%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “LoL: GIANTX iTero vs LUA Gaming (BO3) - LES Regular Season”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Game 2 Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. Match Winner follows in second place at 9,995%, while O/U 2.5 Games sits in third with 9,995%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $128.9K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Game 2 Winner (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Game 2 Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $15.2K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Match Winner (9,995%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Match Winner maintains a 9,995% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,995¢.
  • O/U 2.5 Games (9,995%): Sitting in third place with a 9,995% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward O/U 2.5 Games, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Odd/Even Total Kills (9,000%), Both Teams Slay a Dragon (9,000%), and Odd/Even Total Kills (9,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Game 2 Winner9995.0%$15.2K9995¢-9895¢
2Match Winner9995.0%$78.6K9995¢-9895¢
3O/U 2.5 Games9995.0%$2.2K9995¢-9895¢
4Odd/Even Total Kills9000.0%9000¢-8900¢
5Both Teams Slay a Dragon9000.0%9000¢-8900¢
6Odd/Even Total Kills9000.0%9000¢-8900¢
7Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor1000.0%1000¢-900¢
8Both Teams Slay a Dragon1000.0%1000¢-900¢
9Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors1000.0%1000¢-900¢
10Any Player Quadra Kill1000.0%1000¢-900¢
11Any Player Penta Kill1000.0%1000¢-900¢
12Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor1000.0%1000¢-900¢
13Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors1000.0%1000¢-900¢
14Any Player Quadra Kill1000.0%1000¢-900¢
15Any Player Penta Kill1000.0%1000¢-900¢
16Game Handicap: GXI (-1.5) vs LUA Gaming (+1.5)5.0%$2.7K95¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the LoL match between GIANTX iTero and LUA Gaming in the LES Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 5 at 11:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to "GIANTX iTero" if GIANTX iTero win the match against LUA Gaming.

This market will resolve to "LUA Gaming" if LUA Gaming win the match against GIANTX iTero.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Aug 5, 2026

  • 07:11 AM
    DRDriftCapital
    $4.05

    Bought 5 GIANTX iTero for LoL: GIANTX iTero vs LUA Gaming (BO3) - LES Regular Season at 0.81

  • 07:11 AM
    MIMikiMuster
    $1.62

    Bought 2 GIANTX iTero for LoL: GIANTX iTero vs LUA Gaming (BO3) - LES Regular Season at 0.81

  • 07:11 AM
    DEdentleightadman
    $1.00

    Bought 1.234563 GIANTX iTero for LoL: GIANTX iTero vs LUA Gaming (BO3) - LES Regular Season at 0.81

  • 07:02 AM
    DRDriftCapital
    $4.05

    Bought 5 GIANTX iTero for LoL: GIANTX iTero vs LUA Gaming (BO3) - LES Regular Season at 0.81

  • 07:02 AM
    MIMikiMuster
    $1.62

    Bought 2 GIANTX iTero for LoL: GIANTX iTero vs LUA Gaming (BO3) - LES Regular Season at 0.81

  • 07:01 AM
    DEdentleightadman
    $1.00

    Bought 1.234563 GIANTX iTero for LoL: GIANTX iTero vs LUA Gaming (BO3) - LES Regular Season at 0.81

  • 06:26 AM
    ASasdaesdf
    $10.00

    Bought 12.345678 GIANTX iTero for LoL: GIANTX iTero vs LUA Gaming (BO3) - LES Regular Season at 0.81

  • 06:25 AM
    ZZzzaqq2
    $16.20

    Bought 80.99 LUA Gaming for LoL: GIANTX iTero vs LUA Gaming (BO3) - LES Regular Season at 0.2

  • 06:24 AM
    4O4one
    $164.00

    Bought 202.469131 GIANTX iTero for LoL: GIANTX iTero vs LUA Gaming (BO3) - LES Regular Season at 0.81

  • 06:21 AM
    DRDriftCapital
    $36.00

    Bought 80 LUA Gaming for Game Handicap: GXI (-1.5) vs LUA Gaming (+1.5) at 0.45

  • 06:21 AM
    ANAntiVaxxer
    $5.27

    Bought 11.7 LUA Gaming for Game Handicap: GXI (-1.5) vs LUA Gaming (+1.5) at 0.45

  • 06:21 AM
    GLglushakkk
    $44.00

    Bought 80 GIANTX iTero for Game Handicap: GXI (-1.5) vs LUA Gaming (+1.5) at 0.55

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

FE1
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
-$5,528.53
Volume
$15,805.39
Positions
GIANTX iTeroLUA GamingLUA Gaming
WA2
wangyou1288
Event PnL
+$1,163.99
Volume
$7,211.31
Positions
GIANTX iTero
BI3
BillBenter2026
Event PnL
-$771.96
Volume
$3,746.10
Positions
GIANTX iTeroLUA GamingGIANTX iTero
3B4
0x3b63…5269
Event PnL
+$2.88
Volume
$3,564.73
Positions
GIANTX iTero
BA5
bajacaligold
Event PnL
+$1.59
Volume
$3,189.50
Positions
LUA Gaming
ER6
erbao
Event PnL
+$288.50
Volume
$3,020.55
Positions
GIANTX iTeroGIANTX iTero
DC7
DCAAA
Event PnL
+$1,479.19
Volume
$3,000.00
Positions
GIANTX iTeroLUA Gaming
TR8
trgparking
Event PnL
+$2,179.82
Volume
$2,937.37
Positions
LUA Gaming

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "LoL: GIANTX iTero vs LUA Gaming (BO3) - LES Regular Season"?

As of the latest update, Game 2 Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by Match Winner at 9,995% and O/U 2.5 Games at 9,995%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $128.9K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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