LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group

$72.8K Vol
Aug 23, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
BNK FEARX 51.5%
Nongshim Red Force 48.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Both Teams Slay a Dragon is dominating the market with an overwhelming 6,450% chance of winning. Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? follows in second place at 6,450%, while Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? sits in third with 6,300%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $72.8K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Both Teams Slay a Dragon (6,450%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Both Teams Slay a Dragon is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 6,450¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? (6,450%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? maintains a 6,450% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 6,450¢.
  • Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? (6,300%): Sitting in third place with a 6,300% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes First Blood in Game 2? (5,400%), Any Player Quadra Kill (5,350%), and Any Player Quadra Kill (5,300%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Both Teams Slay a Dragon6450.0%6450¢-6350¢
2Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?6450.0%$66450¢-6350¢
3Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?6300.0%$76300¢-6200¢
4First Blood in Game 2?5400.0%5400¢-5300¢
5Any Player Quadra Kill5350.0%5350¢-5250¢
6Any Player Quadra Kill5300.0%5300¢-5200¢
7Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5250.0%5250¢-5150¢
8Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5250.0%5250¢-5150¢
9Game 1 Winner5150.0%$3.2K5150¢-5050¢
10Match Winner5150.0%$59.4K5150¢-5050¢
11Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5100.0%5100¢-5000¢
12Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5100.0%5100¢-5000¢
13Both Teams Slay a Dragon5050.0%5050¢-4950¢
14Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
17Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
18Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
19Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
20Game 2 Winner4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
21Both Teams Slay a Dragon4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
22Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?4900.0%$4.1K4900¢-4800¢
23O/U 2.5 Games4850.0%$3284850¢-4750¢
24First Blood in Game 1?4800.0%4800¢-4700¢
25Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?4800.0%$5.2K4800¢-4700¢
26Any Player Quadra Kill2850.0%2850¢-2750¢
27Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5)2600.0%$6912600¢-2500¢
28Any Player Penta Kill2550.0%2550¢-2450¢
29Any Player Penta Kill1550.0%1550¢-1450¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the LoL match between BNK FEARX and Nongshim Red Force in the LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group, initially scheduled for August 23, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "BNK FEARX" if BNK FEARX win the match against Nongshim Red Force.

This market will resolve to "Nongshim Red Force" if Nongshim Red Force win the match against BNK FEARX.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 6, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 23, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Aug 23, 2026

  • 08:15 AM
    CAcaibaoz
    $10.00

    Bought 20.408162 Over for Games Total: O/U 2.5 at 0.49

  • 08:12 AM
    TJTJlv29
    $1.00

    Bought 2.040815 Nongshim Red Force for LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group at 0.49

  • 07:57 AM
    0X0xa3819B2e87714AD1a83CAA4497aE3618ea2C2961-1776021144038
    $1.00

    Bought 1.369862 Nongshim Red Force for Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5) at 0.73

  • 07:53 AM
    GAGated
    $31.00

    Bought 63.265305 Nongshim Red Force for LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group at 0.49

  • 07:52 AM
    LIlif3styl3
    $113.13

    Bought 419 BNK FEARX for Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5) at 0.27

  • 07:40 AM
    1M1MillionInc
    $1.00

    Bought 2.040815 Nongshim Red Force for LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group at 0.49

  • 07:40 AM
    PUpups10
    $1.00

    Bought 2.040815 Nongshim Red Force for LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group at 0.49

  • 07:40 AM
    LOlosealotbegins
    $20.00

    Bought 40.816325 Nongshim Red Force for LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group at 0.49

  • 07:40 AM
    SBsbsigner
    $3,460.15

    Bought 7061.53 Nongshim Red Force for LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group at 0.49

  • 07:24 AM
    DEdeuldeuldeul
    $1.00

    Bought 2.040815 Nongshim Red Force for LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group at 0.49

  • 07:14 AM
    $2.45

    Bought 5 Nongshim Red Force for LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group at 0.49

  • 07:14 AM
    POPortepasloeil
    $250.00

    Bought 480.769229 BNK FEARX for LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group at 0.52

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

EL1
Elaran1993
Event PnL
+$97.48
Volume
$32,651.48
Positions
BNK FEARXBNK FEARX
JT2
jtwyslljy
Event PnL
+$99.36
Volume
$19,862.50
Positions
Nongshim Red Force
ME3
MeiGuNiuBi
Event PnL
+$50.02
Volume
$9,999.99
Positions
BNK FEARX
SB4
sbsigner
Event PnL
-$35.30
Volume
$7,061.53
Positions
Nongshim Red Force
CA5
CAcap
Event PnL
-$55.00
Volume
$7,000.00
Positions
Nongshim Red ForceNongshim Red Force
AM6
am100
Event PnL
-$13.53
Volume
$6,085.69
Positions
OverOver
9E7
0x9e3e…9396
Event PnL
-$95.33
Volume
$5,753.17
Positions
Nongshim Red ForceOverOver+1
FO8
forget4
Event PnL
+$112.50
Volume
$4,500.00
Positions
BNK FEARX

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group"?

As of the latest update, Both Teams Slay a Dragon leads the field as the frontrunner with a 6,450% win probability, followed by Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? at 6,450% and Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? at 6,300%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $72.8K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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