LoL: Fnatic vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

Aug 10, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Karmine Corp 77.0%
Fnatic 23.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “LoL: Fnatic vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Season”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Odd/Even Total Kills is dominating the market with an overwhelming 5,100% chance of winning. Game 2 Winner follows in second place at 5,000%, while Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Fnatic (+1.5) sits in third with 5,000%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached —, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Odd/Even Total Kills (5,100%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Odd/Even Total Kills is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 5,100¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Game 2 Winner (5,000%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Game 2 Winner maintains a 5,000% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,000¢.
  • Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Fnatic (+1.5) (5,000%): Sitting in third place with a 5,000% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Fnatic (+1.5), treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor (5,000%), Both Teams Slay a Dragon (5,000%), and Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Any Player Quadra Kill are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Odd/Even Total Kills5100.0%5100¢-5000¢
2Game 2 Winner5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
3Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Fnatic (+1.5)5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
4Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
5Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
6Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
7Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
17Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
18Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
19O/U 2.5 Games4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
20Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
21Game 1 Winner4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
22Odd/Even Total Kills4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
23Match Winner2700.0%$182700¢-2600¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the LoL match between Fnatic and Karmine Corp in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 9 at 1:15PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Fnatic" if Fnatic win the match against Karmine Corp.

This market will resolve to "Karmine Corp" if Karmine Corp win the match against Fnatic.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "LoL: Fnatic vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Season"?

As of the latest update, Odd/Even Total Kills leads the field as the frontrunner with a 5,100% win probability, followed by Game 2 Winner at 5,000% and Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Fnatic (+1.5) at 5,000%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached —, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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